A group additivity methodology for predicting the thermochemistry of oxygen-containing organosilanes

A combinatorial approach was applied to devise a set of reference Si–C–O–H species that is used to derive group-additivity values (GAVs) for this class of molecules. The reference species include 62 stable single-bonded, 19 cyclic, and nine double-bonded Si–C–O–H species. The thermochemistry of these reference species, that is, the standard enthalpy of formation, entropy, and heat capacities covering the temperature range from 298 to 2000 K was obtained from quantum chemical calculations using several composite methods, including G4, G4MP2, and CBSQB3, and the isodesmic reaction approach. To calculate the GAVs from the ab initio based thermochemistry of the compounds in the training set, a multivariable linear regression analysis is performed. The sensitivity of GAVs to the different composite methods is discussed, and thermodynamics properties calculated via group additivity are compared with available ab initio calculated values from the literature.     

Probing Substrate/Catalyst Effects Using QSPR Analysis on Friedel-Crafts Acylation Reactions over Hierarchical BEA Zeolites

Attempts to optimize heterogeneous catalysis often lack quantitative comparative analysis. The use of kinetic modelling leads to rate (k) and relative sorption equilibrium constants (K), which can be further rationalized using Quantitative Structure-Property Relationships (QSPR) based on Multiple Linear Regressions (MLR). Friedel-Crafts acylation using commercial and hierarchical BEA zeolites as heterogeneous catalysts, acetic anhydride as the acylating agent, and a set of seven substrates with different sizes and chemical functionalities were herein studied. Catalytic results were correlated with the physicochemical properties of substrates and catalysts. From this analysis, a robust set of equations was obtained allowing inferences about the dominant factors governing the processes. Not entirely surprising, the rate and sorption equilibrium constants were found to be explained in part by common factors but of opposite signs: higher and stronger adsorption forces increase reaction rates, but they also make the zeolite active sites less accessible to new reactant molecules. The most relevant parameters are related to the substrates’ molecular size, which can be associated with different reaction steps, namely accessibility to micropores, diffusion capacity, and polarizability of molecules. The relatively large set of substrates used here reinforces previous findings and brings further insights into the factors that hamper/speed up Friedel-Crafts reactions in heterogeneous media.     

Artificial intelligence–based models for the qualitative and quantitative prediction of a phytochemical compound using HPLC method

Isoquercitrin is a flavonoid chemical compound that can be extracted from different plant species such as Mangifera indica (mango), Rheum nobile , Annona squamosal , Camellia sinensis (tea), and coriander ( Coriandrum sativum L.). It possesses various biological activities such as the prevention of thromboembolism and has anticancer, antiinflammatory, and antifatigue activities. Therefore, there is a critical need to elucidate and predict the qualitative and quantitative properties of this phytochemical compound using the high performance liquid chromatography (HPLC) technique. In this paper, three different nonlinear models including artificial neural network (ANN), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), and support vector machine (SVM),in addition to a classical linear model [multilinear regression analysis (MLR)], were used for the prediction of the retention time (tR) and peak area (PA) for isoquercitrin using HPLC. The simulation uses concentration of the standard, composition of the mobile phases (MP-A and MP-B), and pH as the corresponding input variables. The performance efficiency of the models was evaluated using relative mean square error (RMSE), mean square error (MSE), determination coefficient (DC), and correlation coefficient (CC). The obtained results demonstrated that all four models are capable of predicting the qualitative and quantitative properties of the bioactive compound. A predictive comparison of the models showed that M3 had the highest prediction accuracy among the three models. Further evaluation of the results showed that ANFIS–M3 outperformed the other models and serves as the best model for the prediction of PA. On the other hand, ANN–M3proved its merit and emerged as the best model for tR simulation. The overall predictive accuracy of the best models showed them to be reliable tools for both qualitative and quantitative determination.     

An Exploratory Study on the Complexity and Machine Learning Predictability of Stock Market Data

This paper shows if and how the predictability and complexity of stock market data changed over the last half-century and what influence the M1 money supply has. We use three different machine learning algorithms, i.e., a stochastic gradient descent linear regression, a lasso regression, and an XGBoost tree regression, to test the predictability of two stock market indices, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the NASDAQ (National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations) Composite. In addition, all data under study are discussed in the context of a variety of measures of signal complexity. The results of this complexity analysis are then linked with the machine learning results to discover trends and correlations between predictability and complexity. Our results show a decrease in predictability and an increase in complexity for more recent years. We find a correlation between approximate entropy, sample entropy, and the predictability of the employed machine learning algorithms on the data under study. This link between the predictability of machine learning algorithms and the mentioned entropy measures has not been shown before. It should be considered when analyzing and predicting complex time series data, e.g., stock market data, to e.g., identify regions of increased predictability.     

双层PLS算法及其在近红外光谱分析中的应用

针对近红外光谱数据局部效应显著,变量个数多,且彼此间常存在严重的复共线性,并与样品组分含量呈非线性关系,构建了一种双层非线性偏最小二乘回归 (DNPLSR)算法。它将非线性回归和偏最小二 乘(PLS)相结合,先在外层由PLS从样本数据中提取成分,并实现每对成分间的非线性映射,再在内层实施PLS算法,将外层因变量成分的拟合误差反馈计算转换权向量的增量,进一步修正转换权向量,以使外层所提取的成分对因变量具有更优的解释能力。最后,将该法应用于80个谷物样品的水组分含量与其近红外光谱的定量关系建模,效果良好,显示出很强的学习能力,所建模型的预报性能也优于其他方法。     

光程对黄酒金属元素近红外透射光谱分析精度的影响

应用近红外透射光谱分析技术开展了不同光程对黄酒中金属元素(钾、钙、镁、锌和铁)分析结果影响的研究。实验采用傅里叶变换近红外光谱仪(800～2 500 nm)及不同光程(1,2,5,10 mm),石英比色皿以空气为参比进行了光谱采集,并采用偏最小二乘法进行了数据分析。金属含量采用原子吸收光谱分析法测定。分析结果表明, 5 mm光程的分析结果最优,对于钾、钙、镁、锌和铁的相关系数(r2)分别为0.93,0.85,0.93,0.72,0.66,交互验证误差(RMSECV)分别为26.5,35.6,4.63,0.26,0.64 mg·L-1;而10 mm光程的光谱分析结果最差,其r2分别为0.61,0.65,0.63,0.09,0.25。通过实验说明, 光程对近红外透射光谱分析的影响,不是光程越长或越短越好,需要通过测试及对比分析确定。     

油菜叶片的光谱特征与叶绿素含量之间的关系研究

叶绿素是作物生长中的重要因素,是植物营养胁迫、光合作用能力和生长状况的良好指示剂。实时、可靠的作物营养诊断是进行科学施肥管理的基础,也是实践精细农业的关键技术之一。采用便携式可见-近红外光谱仪,在室外自然光照条件下对不同氮肥水平下油菜叶片的光谱特性进行了研究,并根据作物特有的光谱特征,采用逐步回归分析方法建立了油菜叶片的叶绿素含量与红边位置和绿峰位置之间的定量分析模型。结果表明,将红边位置、绿峰位置二者作为自变量时,建立的模型效果优于采用单一的红边位置为自变量时建立的模型效果。其相关系数分别为0.863和0.848;校正标准偏差SEC分别为5.273和5.459, 说明采用红边位置和绿峰位置这两个参数更能很好地预测叶片的叶绿素含量。     

中国出境旅游的外交效应

2000年以来,中国出境旅游高增长、高消费,影响力不断增大,成为国家外交战略的重要内容,外交效应逐渐显现。通过辨析中国出境旅游外交效应的概念、表现形式和结果,基于10个中国主要出境目的国的旅游互动数据,采用DIF-GMM计量经济模型,实证检验了中国出境旅游外交效应。结果表明,中国通过有序推进ADS协议、加强经济援助、举办“旅游年”活动、实施旅游“制裁”,并积极参与国际制度建设等旅游外交行为,促进了与世界各国的友好交往,维护了自身核心利益,提升了外交软实力和国际影响力。国际旅游反作用于国际关系,对国际关系具有显著的正向促进作用,不仅是国际关系的结果,而且是其重要动因之一。中国出境旅游与政治、经济、社会、文化等联动,多方面提升了中国的国际影响力。     

基于二阶段异质随机森林的汽油辛烷值预测

构建了基于二阶段异质随机森林的汽油辛烷值预测模型.首先利用样本-位点信息表知识约简模型,筛选出对汽油辛烷值影响大的位点数据作为第一阶段;然后,利用集成学习思想集成支持向量回归和动态时间序列神经网络,构建异质随机森林预测模型作为第二阶段.利用十折交叉法验证模型精度,结果表明该集成学习算法具有有效性和高精度.