Relation between the rate of convergence of strong law of large numbers and the rate of concentration of Bayesian prior in game-theoretic probability

We study the behavior of the capital process of a continuous Bayesian mixture of fixed proportion betting strategies in the one-sided unbounded forecasting game in game-theoretic probability. We establish the relation between the rate of convergence of the strong law of large numbers in the self-normalized form and the rate of divergence to infinity of the prior density around the origin. In particular we present prior densities ensuring the validity of Erd?s–Feller–Kolmogorov–Petrowsky law of the iterated logarithm.     

基于增值的绿色建筑监理费用控制模型与运用

获得最大化地增值服务是业主在绿色建筑监理委托的目标,而业主与监理之间的信息不对称往往是导致偏离监理目标的关键因素.为此,以绿色建筑监理服务费作为业主对监理合同管理的重要手段,将监理增值服务价值最大化为目标函数,通过建立相应的函数对绿色建筑监理委托合同管理进行仿真,获得相应的约束函数,从而构建绿色建筑监理费用控制模型.并通过对该模式求解,在不同工程条件下,获得相应的绿色建筑监理费用计价策略.研究结果为业主在绿色建筑监理委托中提供了一种理论指导和实际方法.     

One‐pot synthesis of magnetic palladium–NiFe2O4–graphene oxide composite: an efficient and recyclable catalyst for Heck reaction

A magnetically separable NiFe₂O₄@GO–Pd composite (GO = graphene oxide) was successfully prepared by a facile one‐pot hydrothermal strategy. This new kind of hybrid material was fully characterized using powder X‐ray diffraction, Raman spectroscopy, X‐ray photoelectron spectroscopy, transmission electron microscopy and vibrating sample magnetometry. Structural characterizations confirmed the formation of NiFe₂O₄ and Pd nanocrystals, and the close anchoring between nanoparticles and GO sheets. Additionally, the as‐prepared NiFe₂O₄@GO–Pd nanocomposite was effectively employed in the palladium‐catalyzed Heck reaction in an ethanol–water system as a green solvent. The catalyst was completely recoverable with the simple application of an external magnetic field and with no obvious loss of catalytic activity even after six repeated cycles. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

空间竞争视角下奥特莱斯模式研究

奥特莱斯已演变成为一种新型的零售业态，在实践中取得巨大成功，但相关学术理论成果还相对缺乏。本研究以空间竞争理论为基础，从传统购物中心和奥特莱斯间的博弈出发，在消费者的偏好不确定的情况下，探究了奥特莱斯的区位选择、建设规模以及商品定价问题，试图为奥特莱斯投资人提供决策依据。研究结果表明，最优区位选择和建设规模依赖于消费者的聚集程度，消费者聚集程度较低时，奥特莱斯应紧邻消费者，投资者应尽可能扩大其建设规模，聚集程度较高时，可适当远离消费者，且选址越远，建设规模越大。另外，奥特莱斯中各零售商的商品售价不会偏离购物中心指导价。     

民营资本进行科技风险投资的多元化战略研究——以杉杉企业为例

从杉杉企业参与科技风险投资的多元化战略实例出发,揭示了民营资本进行科技风险投资的多元化战略的主要意图是顺应外部环境、企业持续发展、提高企业信誉的需要,进而发掘出民营资本投资进军科技风险投资领域的深层意识或动机,其战略思维与运作手法可供相关投资者参考．     

单水库在线发电调度策略设计与分析

考察单水库电站的多时段发电调度问题,决策者在每个时段初决策该时段的发电量,目标是使得在整个调度期内总发电量最大。针对在每个时段决策时缺乏当前及后续时段来水信息的情形,运用在线理论建立在线发电调度模型,设计给出了竞争比为2/(2-β(1-Ф))的在线发电调度策略,其中,β∈(0,1)表示每个时段最大来水导致的水头最大增幅与水库有效水头最大落差的比值,Ф∈(0,1)表示最低与最高有效水头数值之比。针对各时段可获知当前时段来水信息的情形,给出了在线调度策略,并证明了其竞争比为1+(1-Ф)/(1+Ф)。     

基于生态教育理念的高中化学校本课程设计

以构建生态教育类高中化学校本课程体系为目标,从课程设计理念、课程目标确立、课程内容组织结构和课程环境设计等方面探讨了生态教育理念下的校本课程设计思路,提出了生态教育类校本课程内容选择的策略,以期为生态教育类化学校本课程的设计和编制提供理论和方法参考。     

骨干教师培训中运用主题研讨策略的探索

从以教师为本的角度介绍了在骨干教师培训中实施主题研讨的3种策略。其中,开放式研讨有助于经验交流与分享;教材比较研究能激发教学创新;研究范文研讨是以典型文献引导行动研究。主题研讨方式符合成人教育的心理特点,对于帮助教师进行有效反思,进而突破成长中的“高原期”有促进作用。     

Optimized routing strategy for complex network with multiple priorities

Different loads in the network require distinct Qo S standard, while present routing strategies for complex networks ignored this fact. To solve this problem, we designed a routing strategy RS-MP with multiple priorities by which packets are classified into privileged-packets and common-packets. In RS-MP, privileged-packets route by the Shortest Path Algorithm, and do not need to queue up. Common-packets' routes are determined by a new factor BJmax of the network. The BJmax stands for the largest betweenness centrality. By minimizing BJmax, the throughout capacity of the network can be maximized. The simulation results show that RS-MP can guarantee privileged-packets with the shortest path length and smallest delay, and maximized throughout capacity for common packets in the no-congestion state.     

一种电子商务环境下耐用品的动态定价模型与策略

针对电子商务环境下消费者对价格歧视的抗拒问题,以及耐用品生命周期长、产品需求依赖于时间、价格等特点,提出了一种动态定价模型与策略。该模型通过构造转移概率矩阵,推导出在线消费者浏览到耐用品的不同价格状态下的概率,接着根据消费者多阶段效用函数分析消费者的购买决策行为,进而给出零售商利润达到最大化时的最优定价策略集合。为了验证模型与策略的有效性,通过数值模拟实验,分析模型主要参数变化对最优定价策略的影响。研究发现当效用折扣因子越高,零售商应该降低促销频率和高价格并且提高低价格,从而诱导高端消费者在高价格购买产品。折扣效用因子大小还决定了网上零售商是否要隐藏自己的促销概率。