基于重复测量数据的Poisson回归模型的偏大离差的Score检验

Poisson回归模型广泛应用于分析计数型数据 ,Dean&Lawless(1989)和Dean(1992 )讨论了非重复测量得到的计数型数据的偏大离差存在性的检验问题 .本文分别利用随机系数模型和对数非线性模型讨论了基于重复测量得到的计数型数据的偏大离差的检验问题 ,得到了检验的score统计量 .     

标准体系的比例型寿命使用期模型与分析

本文在基于标准被废除按比例进行时的标准体系使用期的两个新模型。首先给出了模型假设条件,然后定义了标准使用期。根据假设给出了两个模型条件下的标准使用期公式,最后通过数值示例说明了标准使用期的公式使用。     

Mackey Theory for p-adic Lie Groups

This paper gives a p-adic analogue of the Mackey theory, which relates representations of a group of type G - H × t A to systems of imprimitivity.     

Qualitative properties of stationary measures for three-dimensional Navier-Stokes equations

The paper is devoted to studying the distribution of stationary solutions for 3D Navier-Stokes equations perturbed by a random force. Under a non-degeneracy assumption, we show that the support of such a distribution coincides with the entire phase space, and its finite-dimensional projections are minorised by a measure possessing an almost surely positive smooth density with respect to the Lebesgue measure. Similar assertions are true for weak solutions of the Cauchy problem with a regular initial function. The results of this paper were announced in the short note [A. Shirikyan, Controllability of three-dimensional Navier-Stokes equations and applications, in: Sémin. Équ. Dériv. Partielles, 2005-2006, École Polytech., Palaiseau, 2006].     

模式评价理论模型及其应用

基于事前评价过程和自然界生物进化过程的相似性，提出了系统结构、系统结构模式和系统环境模式矩阵的概念，并根据系统结构、系统结构模式与系统环境模式矩阵的适应程度，建立了模式评价决策模型，制定了评价系统的评价分类准则，并对评价系统作了一定的理论分析．将此模型和方法应用于城市生态安全评价中，通过与模糊综合评价法的比较，表明了该评价模型和方法的优越性．     

The Exact Solutions of Some (2 + 1)-Dimensional Integrable Systems

The equivalence of three (2 1)-dimensional soliton equations is proved, and the quite generalsolutionswitha some arbitrary functions of x, t and y respectively are obtained. By selecting the arbitrary functions, many specialtypes of the localized excitations like the solitoff solitons, multi-dromion solutions, lump, and multi-ring soliton solutionsare obtained.     

松纵坑切梢小蠹虫害的仿真模型与生态防治的优化策略

根据松纵坑切梢小蠹的主要生物学特征,通过分析抚育间伐持续控制松纵坑切梢小蠹虫害的机理,应用复杂适应系统(CA S)理论,建立了模拟松纵坑切梢小蠹虫害的一种动态演化数学模型,并讨论了模型的收敛性.然后选用昆明小哨林场为背景,进行了各种抚育间伐决策的仿真,从中优选抚育间伐决策.结果表明:模拟优化方案与实际调查统计分析结果一致:均为弱度间伐与中弱度间伐控制蠹害效果最好.最后通过森林积材量与虫害程度之间的优化,给出了抚育间伐的优化策略.     

Estimating Invariant Probability Densities for Dynamical Systems

Knowing a probability density (ideally, an invariant density) for the trajectories of a dynamical system allows many significant estimates to be made, from the well-known dynamical invariants such as Lyapunov exponents and mutual information to conditional probabilities which are potentially more suitable for prediction than the single number produced by most predictors. Densities on typical attractors have properties, such as singularity with respect to Lebesgue measure, which make standard density estimators less useful than one would hope. In this paper we present a new method of estimating densities which can smooth in a way that tends to preserve fractal structure down to some level, and that also maintains invariance. We demonstrate with applications to real and artificial data.     

一类平面七次多项式系统赤道环的稳定性与极限环分支

本文研究一类平面七次多项式系统赤道环的稳定性和极限环分支，给出了系统的前12个奇点量公式，可积性条件及在赤道附近存在3个极限环的条件，较为精细地指出了极限环的存在位置。