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21.
Most of the methods used in the ARCH literature for selecting the appropriate model are based on evaluating the ability of the models to describe the data. An alternative model selection approach is examined based on the evaluation of the predictability of the models in terms of standardized prediction errors. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
22.
本文从非线性自然观的视野。引用与分析了社会经济系统功能模型与效应模型。构建了系统和谐状态模型与和谐状态可信度模型,形象地说明了企业系统的和谐既是一个随机不确定状态。又是企业和谐力量与不和谐力量相互抗争干涉的过程。依据协同学原理提出了企业系统和谐演进的机制,表明企业系统的和谐发展是子系统和谐协同的过程。即子系统竞争合作的过程。文中所构建的模型,从理论上清晰地说明了企业系统和谐有序运行的机理,为如何构建和谐企业。提供了建设性的思考。 相似文献
23.
A. N. Logunov 《Journal of Russian Laser Research》2004,25(4):331-348
A physical multidimensional local model of the propagation process of a laser pulse in air having no analogy to famous models in laser physics is constructed. It is based on the representations of classical wave mechanics characteristic of the theory of scalar wave fields. 相似文献
24.
G. G. Bandyopadhyay S. S. Bhagawan K. N. Ninan Sabu Thomas 《Journal of Polymer Science.Polymer Physics》2004,42(8):1417-1432
The viscoelastic properties of binary blends of nitrile rubber (NBR) and isotactic polypropylene (PP) of different compositions have been calculated with mean‐field theories developed by Kerner. The phase morphology and geometry have been assumed, and experimental data for the component polymers over a wide temperature range have been used. Hashin's elastic–viscoelastic analogy principle is used in applying Kerner's theory of elastic systems for viscoelastic materials, namely, polymer blends. The two theoretical models used are the discrete particle model (which assumes one component as dispersed inclusions in the matrix of the other) and the polyaggregate model (in which no matrix phase but a cocontinuous structure of the two is postulated). A solution method for the coupled equations of the polyaggregate model, considering Poisson's ratio as a complex parameter, is deduced. The viscoelastic properties are determined in terms of the small‐strain dynamic storage modulus and loss tangent with a Rheovibron DDV viscoelastometer for the blends and the component polymers. Theoretical calculations are compared with the experimental small‐strain dynamic mechanical properties of the blends and their morphological characterizations. Predictions are also compared with the experimental mechanical properties of compatibilized and dynamically cured 70/30 PP/NBR blends. The results computed with the discrete particle model with PP as the matrix compare well with the experimental results for 30/70, 70/30, and 50/50 PP/NBR blends. For 70/30 and 50/50 blends, these predictions are supported by scanning electron microscopy (SEM) investigations. However, for 30/70 blends, the predictions are not in agreement with SEM results, which reveal a cocontinuous blend of the two. Predictions of the discrete particle model are poor with NBR as the matrix for all three volume fractions. A closer agreement of the predicted results for a 70/30 PP/NBR blend and the properties of a 1% maleic anhydride modified PP or 3% phenolic‐modified PP compatibilized 70/30 PP/NBR blend in the lower temperature zone has been observed. This may be explained by improved interfacial adhesion and stable phase morphology. A mixed‐cure dynamically vulcanized system gave a better agreement with the predictions with PP as the matrix than the peroxide, sulfur, and unvulcanized systems. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. J Polym Sci Part B: Polym Phys 42: 1417–1432, 2004 相似文献
25.
在喷气Z pinch内爆等离子体研究中,雪铲模型是一种常用的、比较简单的物理模型。根据实验中提供的电流波形,负载线质量和初始半径,可以通过雪铲模型来估算内爆到心的时刻。根据一维运动方程和不同构形下的解析解以及部分实验结果相结合,讨论了雪铲模型的适用范围。数值计算的内爆时间和实验(Gamble II, Double EAGLE, BLACKJACK 5)测量值符合得较好。结果表明,雪铲模型在喷气Z pinch实验的负载优化设计研究中是很有参考价值的方法。 相似文献
26.
27.
Luis L. Bonilla 《Journal of statistical physics》1987,46(3-4):659-678
A nonlinear Fokker-Planck equation is derived to describe the cooperative behavior of general stochastic systems interacting via mean-field couplings, in the limit of an infinite number of such systems. Disordered systems are also considered. In the weak-noise limit; a general result yields the possibility of having bifurcations from stationary solutions of the nonlinear Fokker-Planck equation into stable time-dependent solutions. The latter are interpreted as non-equilibrium probability distributions (states), and the bifurcations to them as nonequilibrium phase transitions. In the thermodynamic limit, results for three models are given for illustrative purposes. A model of self-synchronization of nonlinear oscillators presents a Hopf bifurcation to a time-periodic probability density, which can be analyzed for any value of the noise. The effects of disorder are illustrated by a simplified version of the Sompolinsky-Zippelius model of spin-glasses. Finally, results for the Fukuyama-Lee-Fisher model of charge-density waves are given. A singular perturbation analysis shows that the depinning transition is a bifurcation problem modified by the disorder noise due to impurities. Far from the bifurcation point, the CDW is either pinned or free, obeying (to leading order) the Grüner-Zawadowki-Chaikin equation. Near the bifurcation, the disorder noise drastically modifies the pattern, giving a quenched average of the CDW current which is constant. Critical exponents are found to depend on the noise, and they are larger than Fisher's values for the two probability distributions considered. 相似文献
28.
Biswarup Mukhopadhyaya 《Pramana》1998,51(1-2):181-190
The observable consequences of gauge-mediated supersymmetry breaking (GMSB) are reviewed here. Implications of scenarios both
with a neutralino and a slepton as the next lightest supersymmetric particle (NLSP) are surveyed in relation to hadronic ande
+
e
- colliders. We also discuss the phenomenological consequences of the NLSP decaying slowly, giving rise to delayed events in
the detectors.The importance of distinguishing signals of GMSB models from those of the commonly discussed supergravity-type
theories is emphasized. 相似文献
29.
Mass distributions of fragments in the low-energy fission of nuclei from 187Ir to 213At have been analysed. This analysis has shown that shell effects in symmetric-mode fragment mass yields from the fission of pre-actinide nuclei could be described if one assumes the existence of two strongly deformed neutron shells in the arising fragments with neutron numbers N1 ≈ 52 and N2 ≈ 68. A new method has been proposed for quantitatively describing the mass distributions of the symmetric fission mode for pre-actinides with A ≈ 180–220. 相似文献
30.
随机化交通灯的二维元胞自动机交通模型 总被引:8,自引:0,他引:8
元胞自动机交通模型以简单的规则反映交通系统中的多种因素,可以分析各种交通现象,且可在计算机上方便、高效地运作·Biham-Middleton-Levine模型(BML模型)实现了二维交通问题的元胞自动机模型的模拟研究·本文对BML模型作了改进,解除了该模型中关于交通灯同步变化的限制·在新模型中,每个路口的交通灯可以自由选定起始工作时间和变化节奏,于是可以更全面、准确地反映交通灯对交通系统性能的影响·本文还对新模型中出现的若干新效应作了解释· 相似文献