一阶模糊谓词逻辑公式的解释模型真度理论及其应用

基于一阶模糊谓词逻辑公式的有限和可数解释真度的理论,引入了一阶模糊谓词逻辑公式的解释模型及解释模型真度的概念,并讨论了它们的一系列性质及其在近似推理中的应用.     

Trapezoidal approximations of fuzzy numbers preserving the expected interval — Algorithms and properties

Fuzzy number approximation by trapezoidal fuzzy numbers which preserves the expected interval is discussed. Algorithms for calculating the proper approximations are proposed and some properties of the approximation operators are discussed. It is shown that an adequate approximation operator might be chosen through the comparisons of some characteristics of the fuzzy number, like its ambiguity, width, its value and weighted expected value.     

On the combined use of scratch tests and CLA profilometry for the characterization of polyester powder coatings: Influence of scratch load and speed

The prediction of the mechanical properties of polyester powder coatings is of paramount importance, as they have to undergo a wide variety of forces and deformations during their service life. Determine the response of polymeric coatings to the actual loading conditions can be, however, very troublesome as their properties are function of the material physical state, rate-dependence and yield and break behaviour. Further, the characterization of soft, contaminated organic surfaces such as polymers can often cause severe problems with reliability and imaging accuracy due to instrumental artefacts.This is therefore the context in which this paper investigates the capability of multiple parameters scratch tests joined with non-contact CLA profilometry and FE-SEM to detect the scratch response of polyester powder coatings for protective and decorative outdoor applications. Scratch tests with blunt contact geometry were used to evaluate the response of polyester coatings baked at different time-temperature programs and, so, at different stages of their curing process. In particular, being such coatings highly non-linear in their response to mechanical stress or strain, the influence from scratch load and speed was carefully taken into account. Analytical evaluations of the experimental results led to good correlations between the extent of the deformed zone after scratch, scratch parameters and curing operational settings. This allows mapping the scratch response of the polyester topcoats to broad ranges of both scratch parameters and curing conditions.     

Mapping Class Groups of Nonorientable Surfaces

We obtain a finite set of generators for the mapping class group of a nonorientable surface with punctures. We then compute the first homology group of the mapping class group and certain subgroups of it. As an application we prove that the image of a homomorphism from the mapping class group of a nonorientable surface of genus at least nine to the group of real-analytic diffeomorphisms of the circle is either trivial or of order two.     

Decision making under uncertainty with fuzzy targets

This paper discusses the issue of how to use fuzzy targets in the target-based model for decision making under uncertainty. After introducing a target-based interpretation of the expected value on which it is shown that this model implicitly assumes a neutral behavior on attitude about the target, we examine the issue of using fuzzy targets considering different attitudes about the target selection of the decision maker. We also discuss the problem for situations on which the decision maker’s attitude about target may change according to different states of nature. Especially, it is shown that the target-based approach can provide an unified way for solving the problem of fuzzy decision making with uncertainty about the state of nature and imprecision about payoffs. Several numerical examples are given for illustration of the discussed issues.     

An interval-parameter fuzzy nonlinear optimization model for stream water quality management under uncertainty

Planning for water quality management systems is complicated by a variety of uncertainties and nonlinearities, where difficulties in formulating and solving the resulting inexact nonlinear optimization problems exist. With the purpose of tackling such difficulties, this paper presents the development of an interval-fuzzy nonlinear programming (IFNP) model for water quality management under uncertainty. Methods of interval and fuzzy programming were integrated within a general framework to address uncertainties in the left- and right-hand sides of the nonlinear constraints. Uncertainties in water quality, pollutant loading, and the system objective were reflected through the developed IFNP model. The method of piecewise linearization was developed for dealing with the nonlinearity of the objective function. A case study for water quality management planning in the Changsha section of the Xiangjiang River was then conducted for demonstrating applicability of the developed IFNP model. The results demonstrated that the accuracy of solutions through linearized method normally rises positively with the increase of linearization levels. It was also indicated that the proposed linearization method was effective in dealing with IFNP problems; uncertainties can be communicated into optimization process and generate reliable solutions for decision variables and objectives; the decision alternatives can be obtained by adjusting different combinations of the decision variables within their solution intervals. It also suggested that the linearized method should be used under detailed error analysis in tackling IFNP problems.     

Solving fuzzy queueing decision problems via a parametric mixed integer nonlinear programming method

This paper proposes a mathematical programming method to construct the membership functions of the fuzzy objective value of the cost-based queueing decision problem with the cost coefficients and the arrival rate being fuzzy numbers. On the basis of Zadeh’s extension principle, three pairs of mixed integer nonlinear programs (MINLP) parameterized by the possibility level α are formulated to calculate the lower and upper bounds of the minimal expected total cost per unit time at α, through which the membership function of the minimal expected total cost per unit time of the fuzzy objective value is constructed. To provide a suitable optimal service rate for designing queueing systems, the Yager’s ranking index method is adopted. Two numerical examples are solved successfully to demonstrate the validity of the proposed method. Since the objective value is completely expressed by a membership function rather than by a crisp value, it conserves the fuzziness of the input information, thus more information is provided for designing queueing systems. The successful extension of queueing decision models to fuzzy environments permits queueing decision models to have wider applications in practice.     

Influence diagrams with super value nodes involving imprecise information

The concept of super value nodes was established to allow dynamic programming to be performed within the theory of influence diagrams and to reduce the computational complexity in solving problems by means of influence diagrams. This paper is focused on how influence diagrams with super value nodes are affected by the presence of imprecise information. We analyze how to reduce the complexity when evaluating an influence diagram in this framework by modelling these kinds of nodes and random magnitudes in terms of fuzzy random variables. Finally, an applied example of the theoretical results is developed.     

Bankruptcy prediction in banks and firms via statistical and intelligent techniques – A review

This paper presents a comprehensive review of the work done, during the 1968–2005, in the application of statistical and intelligent techniques to solve the bankruptcy prediction problem faced by banks and firms. The review is categorized by taking the type of technique applied to solve this problem as an important dimension. Accordingly, the papers are grouped in the following families of techniques: (i) statistical techniques, (ii) neural networks, (iii) case-based reasoning, (iv) decision trees, (iv) operational research, (v) evolutionary approaches, (vi) rough set based techniques, (vii) other techniques subsuming fuzzy logic, support vector machine and isotonic separation and (viii) soft computing subsuming seamless hybridization of all the above-mentioned techniques. Of particular significance is that in each paper, the review highlights the source of data sets, financial ratios used, country of origin, time line of study and the comparative performance of techniques in terms of prediction accuracy wherever available. The review also lists some important directions for future research.     

Analysis of critical paths in a project network with fuzzy activity times

This paper proposes an approach to critical path analysis for a project network with activity times being fuzzy numbers, in that the membership function of the fuzzy total duration time is constructed. The basic idea is based on the extension principle and linear programming formulation. A pair of linear programs parameterized by possibility level α is formulated to calculate the lower and upper bounds of the fuzzy total duration time at α. By enumerating different values of α, the membership function of the fuzzy total duration time is constructed, and the fuzzy critical paths are identified at the same time. Moreover, by applying the Yager ranking method, definitions of the most critical path and the relative degree of criticality of paths are developed; and these definitions are theoretically sound and easy to use in practice. Two examples with activity times being fuzzy numbers of L-R and L-L types discussed in previous studies are solved successfully to demonstrate the validity of the proposed approach. Since the total duration time is completely expressed by a membership function rather than by a crisp value, the fuzziness of activity times is conserved completely, and more information is provided for critical path analysis.