多种分布下选择后变量显著性分析及其在CEPS数据中的应用

在使用变量选择方法选出模型后,如何评价模型中变量系数的显著性是统计学重点关注的前沿问题之一.文章从适应性Lasso变量选择方法的选择结果出发,在考虑实践中误差分布多样性的前提下,基于选择事件构造了模型保留变量系数的条件检验统计量,并给出了该统计量的一致收敛性质的证明过程.模拟研究显示,在多种误差分布下所提方法均可进一步优化变量选择结果,有较强的实用价值.应用此方法对CEPS学生数据进行了实证分析,最终选取了学生认知能力等10个变量作为影响中学生成绩的主要因素,为相关研究提供了有益的参考.     

Parametric error bounds for convex approximations of two-stage mixed-integer recourse models with a random second-stage cost vector

We consider two-stage recourse models with integer restrictions in the second stage. These models are typically non-convex and hence, hard to solve. There exist convex approximations of these models with accompanying error bounds. However, it is unclear how these error bounds depend on the distributions of the second-stage cost vector q. In this paper, we derive parametric error bounds whose dependence on the distribution of q is explicit: they scale linearly in the expected value of the ${?}_1$-norm of q.     

Sensitivity analysis for a type of statically stable sailcrafts

Two types of sensitivities are proposed for statically stable sailcrafts.One type is the sensitivities of solar-radiation-pressure force with respect to position of the center of mass,and the other type is the sensitivities of solar-radiation-pressure force with respect to attitude.The two types of sensitivities represent how the solar-radiationpressure force changes with the position of mass center and the attitude.Sailcrafts with larger sensitivities undergo larger error of the solar-radiation-pressure force,leading to larger orbit error,as demonstrated by simulation.Then as a case study,detailed formulas are derived to calculate the sensitivities for sailcrafts with four triangular sails.According to these formulas,in order to reduce both types of sensitivities,the angle between opposed sails should not be too large,and the center of mass should be as close to the axis of symmetry of the four sails as possible and as far away from the center of pressure of the sailcraft as possible.     

Gauss’ law of error revisited in the framework of Sharma-Taneja-Mittal information measure

We reformulate the Gauss’ law of error in presence of correlations which are taken into account by means of a deformed product arising in the framework of the Sharma-Taneja-Mittal measure. Having reviewed the main proprieties of the generalized product and its related algebra, we derive, according to the Maximum Likelihood Principle, a family of error distributions with an asymptotic power-law behavior.      

Gaussian pre-filtering for uncertainty minimization in digital image correlation using numerically-designed speckle patterns

This paper discusses the effect of pre-processing image blurring on the uncertainty of two-dimensional digital image correlation (DIC) measurements for the specific case of numerically-designed speckle patterns having particles with well-defined and consistent shape, size and spacing. Such patterns are more suitable for large measurement surfaces on large-scale specimens than traditional spray-painted random patterns without well-defined particles. The methodology consists of numerical simulations where Gaussian digital filters with varying standard deviation are applied to a reference speckle pattern. To simplify the pattern application process for large areas and increase contrast to reduce measurement uncertainty, the speckle shape, mean size and on-center spacing were selected to be representative of numerically-designed patterns that can be applied on large surfaces through different techniques (e.g., spray-painting through stencils). Such “designer patterns” are characterized by well-defined regions of non-zero frequency content and non-zero peaks, and are fundamentally different from typical spray-painted patterns whose frequency content exhibits near-zero peaks. The effect of blurring filters is examined for constant, linear, quadratic and cubic displacement fields. Maximum strains between ±250 and ±20,000 µε are simulated, thus covering a relevant range for structural materials subjected to service and ultimate stresses. The robustness of the simulation procedure is verified experimentally using a physical speckle pattern subjected to constant displacements. The stability of the relation between standard deviation of the Gaussian filter and measurement uncertainty is assessed for linear displacement fields at varying image noise levels, subset size, and frequency content of the speckle pattern. It is shown that bias error as well as measurement uncertainty are minimized through Gaussian pre-filtering. This finding does not apply to typical spray-painted patterns without well-defined particles, for which image blurring is only beneficial in reducing bias errors.     

Muscle oxygenation measurement in humans by noninvasive optical spectroscopy and Locally Weighted Regression

We have developed a method to make real-time, continuous, noninvasive measurements of muscle oxygenation (Mox) from the surface of the skin. A key development was measurement in both the visible and near infrared (NIR) regions. Measurement of both oxygenated and deoxygenated myoglobin and hemoglobin resulted in a more accurate measurement of Mox than could be achieved with measurement of only the deoxygenated components, as in traditional near-infrared spectroscopy (NIRS). Using the second derivative with respect to wavelength reduced the effects of scattering on the spectra and also made oxygenated and deoxygenated forms more distinguishable from each other. Selecting spectral bands where oxygenated and deoxygenated forms absorb filtered out noise and spectral features unrelated to Mox. NIR and visible bands were scaled relative to each other in order to correct for errors introduced by normalization. Multivariate Curve Resolution (MCR) was used to estimate Mox from spectra within each data set collected from healthy subjects. A Locally Weighted Regression (LWR) model was built from calibration set spectra and associated Mox values from 20 subjects using 2562 spectra. LWR and Partial Least Squares (PLS) allow accurate measurement of Mox despite variations in skin pigment or fat layer thickness in different subjects. The method estimated Mox in five healthy subjects with an RMSE of 5.4%.     

Application of XPS imaging analysis in understanding interfacial delamination and X‐ray radiation degradation of PMMA

The recent development of X‐ray Photoelectron Spectroscopy (XPS) instrumentation with spatial resolution down to several microns has advanced the capability of elemental and chemical state imaging. XPS imaging analysis has been applied in understanding the delamination problems of siloxane coatings on polymethyl‐methacrylate (PMMA) polymer. It was found that delamination occurred by interfacial failure, and the coating suffered complete delamination from a PMMA substrate. This example offered an opportunity for the investigation of X‐ray damage on polymers encountered in XPS imaging analysis. This paper also demonstrated how to construct a constrained peak model with the aid of chemical knowledge and supporting evidence of the sample. Monte Carlo error analysis was used to determine the validity of the peak fit models used. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Finding optimal finite field strengths allowing for a maximum of precision in the calculation of polarizabilities and hyperpolarizabilities

The finite field method, widely used for the calculation of static dipole polarizabilities or the first and second hyperpolarizabilities of molecules and polymers, is thoroughly explored. The application of different field strengths and the impact on the precision of the calculations were investigated. Borders could be defined and characterized, establishing a range of feasible field strengths that guarantee reliable numerical results. The quality of different types of meshes to screen the feasible region is assessed. Extrapolation schemes are presented that reduce the truncation error and allow to increase the precision of finite field calculations by one to three orders of magnitude. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.     

Asymptotic expansions of the moments of extremes from general error distribution

In this paper, we derive the asymptotic expansions of the moments of normalized partial maxima for general error distribution. A byproduct is to deduce the convergence rates of the moments of normalized maxima to the moments of the corresponding extreme value distribution.