Real-World Scenarios With Negative Interest Rates Based on the LIBOR Market Model

ABSTRACT

In this article, we present a methodology to simulate the evolution of interest rates under real-world probability measure. More precisely, using the multidimensional Shifted Lognormal LIBOR market model and a specification of the market price of risk vector process, we explain how to perform simulations of the real-world forward rates in the future, using the Euler?Maruyama scheme with a predictor?corrector strategy. The proposed methodology allows for the presence of negative interest rates as currently observed in the markets.     

High amounts of 17-methylated anabolic-androgenic steroids in effervescent tablets on the dietary supplement market

In numerous studies it has been demonstrated that several nutritional supplements contain prohormones not declared on the label. In the current study two products (effervescent tablets) containing high amounts of the 17-methylated anabolic androgenic steroids metandienone (product 1: 16.8 mg/tablet) and stanozolol (product 2: 14.5 mg/tablet) were identified. Additionally in both products norandrostenedione was detected, in product 2 with minor amounts of several other steroids. The substances identified can cause enormous health risks. In addition, the use of the analyzed tablets can lead to positive doping results for metabolites of the respective steroids in sports. This study again shows the insufficient surveillance of the production and trade of dietary supplements. Consumers should be aware of the enormous health and doping risks connected with the use of such products. For GC-MS identification of the analytes the trimethylsilyl derivatives of the steroids and the mixed N-t-butyldimethylsilyl,O-trimethylsilyl derivatives were used. The quantitation of metandienone, norandrostenedione, and stanozolol was performed using HPLC-DAD.     

Study on the model of an insurer’s solvency ratio in Markov-modulated Brownian markets

In this paper the insurer’s solvency ratio model with or without jump diffusion process in the presence of financial distress cost is constructed, where an insurer’s solvency ratio is characterized by a Markov-modulated dynamics. By Girsanov’s theorem and the option pricing formula, the expected present value of shareholders’ terminal payoff is provided.     

债券定价及利率风险的市场价格的重构方法

假设利率变化的模型是由随机微分方程给出,则可以用推导Black-Scholes方程的方法来推出债券价格满足的偏微分方程,得到一个抛物型的偏微分方程.但是,在债券定价的方程中隐含有一个参数λ称为利率风险的市场价格.所谓债券定价的反问题,就是由不同到期时间的债券的现在价格来得到利率风险的市场价格.对随机利率模型下债券定价的正问题先给予介绍和差分数值求解方法,并介绍了反问题,且对反问题给出了数值方法.     

开关式Hurst指数分形Black-Scholes市场中的欧式期权定价

考虑标的资产价值服从几何分形布朗运动,但其Hurst指数以Poisson过程的方式在状态(H1a)之间随机的转换的开关式Hurst指数分形Black-scholes市场模型中的欧式期权定价问题.得到在此模型下欧式看涨期权定价公式;并对定价公式进行简单地定性分析.     

基于门限混合Copula的股市和债市波动变相关结构

股市和债市的波动相关结构是研究金融市场信息流动、风险传递的重要内容.利用拓展的Copula模型——门限混合Copula模型,并结合EM算法等实证检验了我国股市和债市的关联特征.结果表明:两市波动关联性的不同分歧很大程度是注重对样本区间内整体关联性的检验,忽视了不同阶段与市场波动的特定关系;同时新的Copula模型捕捉到...     

基于二层规划的流域水资源交易决策模型

对于一个流域而言,解决水资源短缺及污染最为有效的经济手段是建立以流域统一管理为基础,兼顾水权交易和排污权交易的市场体系.在水交易市场运作过程中存在着流域管理机构和具体用户之间的利益矛盾,为此本文构建了以流域管理机构作为流域水资源系统整体计划、控制和协调中心的上层决策者,各用户作为具有相对自主权的下层决策者的决策管理机制,并利用二层规划方法对流域水资源的交易进行建模研究,期望实现流域水资源的最优分配.最后,应用算例验证了模型及求解方法的可行性和有效性.     

Property prices in urban areas affected by road traffic noise

This paper reports a revealed preference study into the different effects of road traffic noise on property values in residential areas with similarly high road traffic sound levels but with what appear to be important differences in the market for different types of residential property in each area. The results show significant differences in the revealed effects of noise on property prices between the three areas with in one case an increasing (and possibly misleading) relationship between higher monetary values and higher sound levels. A number of possible explanations for the findings are discussed in the paper.     

An array of scarlet and grey booklets: 65 years of the Symposium on Molecular Spectroscopy

A history of the OSU International Symposium on Molecular Spectroscopy is presented with a broad brush, inspired by looking at the evolution of the program booklets of the meeting, and drawing upon a selection of abstracts, all of which are now accessible on-line, and on reminiscences. The important and enduring aspects of the meeting from the perspective of the author are identified, and a few of the changes traced. The essential contributions of the founders and successive official hosts of the meeting, Harald H. Nielsen, David Dennison, K. Narahari Rao, and Terry A. Miller are acknowledged.     

基于标杆管理优化算法的供电商购电组合策略

针对开放式电力市场环境下,供电商的购电风险管理问题,结合金融输电权拍卖市场和电能交易市场,构造了一个考虑阻塞风险的供电商最优购电组合模型.由于此模型的非可微性和非凸性,使用了一种新型的智能计算方法——标杆管理优化算法对该模型进行了求解计算.仿真实例表明,提出求解计算方法是切实可行的,具有一定的实用性和灵活性.