Risk Minimizing Option Pricing for a Class of Exotic Options in a Markov-Modulated Market

We address risk minimizing option pricing in a regime switching market where the floating interest rate depends on a finite state Markov process. The growth rate and the volatility of the stock also depend on the Markov process. Using the minimal martingale measure, we show that the locally risk minimizing prices for certain exotic options satisfy a system of Black-Scholes partial differential equations with appropriate boundary conditions. We find the corresponding hedging strategies and the residual risk. We develop suitable numerical methods to compute option prices.     

基于市场需求增加的双渠道闭环供应链定价机制研究

针对制造商开辟在线销售渠道现象的普及,考虑混合双渠道销售会增加产品的潜在需求,构建制造商与零售商分散、集中定价两种决策模型,利用博弈理论对模型进行求解分析,研究表明在双方分散、集中两种定价策略模型中,随着双渠道开通导致的市场需求率的增加,制造商的批发价、零售商的销售价格上调,零售商的回收价格下降,闭环供应链系统总利润则呈现先下降后上升的变化。最后,运用数值算例进一步验证和讨论双渠道销售导致的市场需求增加对闭环供应链系统定价策略、双方利润及系统渠道效率的影响。     

基于投资者情绪的市场均衡分析

在行为金融研究框架下,通过分析情绪投资者与理性投资者的市场均衡条件,构建基于投资者情绪的资产定价模型,并对模型进行了数值模拟。结果表明,投资者情绪是影响资产价格的重要因素:被情绪投资者高估的资产,其回报将下降;被情绪投资者低估的资产,其回报将增加;资产回报的变化程度与情绪投资者卖出低估资产的份额正相关,与资产预期回报金额的相关系数负相关;并且,乐观情绪与悲观情绪对资产价格的作用是非对称的。     

利用连续渗流理论构造股市指标波动模型及其讨论

本文引用连续渗流理论构造了股票市场指数波动模型,得到其特征函数收敛于Levy过程这一结论.并且在模型中也体现出了市场波动的"宽尾"现象.     

商业模式创新对财务绩效的影响研究:基于新兴技术企业的实证

研究分析了商业模式创新对财务绩效的影响以及这种影响的环境条件。研究提出了6个理论假设,并采用来自151个新兴技术企业的样本进行了实证检验。研究发现效率型和新颖型商业模式创新都能促进财务绩效。市场不成熟和不正当竞争会加强效率型商业模式创新对财务绩效的促进作用,而不正当竞争会削弱新颖型商业模式创新对财务绩效的促进作用。     

Affordable and adequate annuities with stable payouts: Fantasy or reality?

This paper introduces a class of unit-linked annuities that extends existing annuities by allowing portfolio shocks to be gradually absorbed into the annuity payouts. Consequently, our new class enables insurers to offer an affordable and adequate annuity with a stable payout stream. We show how to price and adequately hedge the annuity payouts in a general financial environment. In particular, our model accounts for various stylized facts of stock returns such as asymmetry and heavy-tailedness. Furthermore, the generality of our framework makes it possible to explore the impact of a parameter misspecification on the annuity price and the hedging performance.     

基于随机占优的股指期货市场有效性分析

2015年中金所出台严格监管措施后,股指期货成交低迷,异象频出。为验证严格监管措施对股指期货市场有效性的影响,本文利用随机占优DD测试法,为风险规避者和风险寻求者分别构建升序和降序占优模型。传统DD测试法用等间距划分的方式产生网格,且假设检验的两个判定阈值为相反数,这不符合金融数据的分布规律。因此,本文提出了对DD测试法的两处改进,利用“等频率划分法”产生网格,利用“非对称分位数法”产生阈值。实证方面,本文对三个股指期货及其现货的15分钟数据进行分析,发现在自股灾以来,上证50指数一阶占优于上证50股指期货,形成套利机会,且该套利策略的年化收益率、夏普比率和卡玛比率都非常优异。实证进一步显示,严格监管措施后占优数量达到最高峰,严格监管措施导致的股指期货功能受损比股灾更严重,而这一现象在中金所逐步放松监管措施后得以稍微缓解但没有根本改变。     

中国股票市场波动特性的实证研究

本文以上证综指和深成分指数的日收益率为研究对象 ,应用 GARCH、TARCH模型理论 ,进一步分析了日收益率波动的条件异方差性、非对称性 ,同时比较了两个股票市场的不同波动特征     

Infinite-Dimensional Black-Scholes Equation with Hereditary Structure

This paper considers the option pricing problem for contingent claims of the European type in a (B,S)-market in which the stock price and the asset in the riskless bank account both have hereditary structures. The Black-Scholes equation for the classical option pricing problem is generalized to an infinite-dimensional equation to include the effects of time delay in the evolution of the financial market as well as a very general payoff function. A computational algorithm for the solution is also obtained via a double sequence of polynomials of a certain bounded linear functional on a Banach space and the time variable.     

Optimal retirement with borrowing constraints and forced unemployment risk

In this paper, we study optimal retirement in a two-dimensional incomplete market caused by borrowing constraints and forced unemployment risk. We show that the two aspects jointly affect an individual’s optimal consumption, investment, and retirement strategies. In contrast to the complete market case, the endogenously determined wealth threshold for retirement is significantly affected by the two-dimensional market incompleteness, resulting in a lower wealth threshold. We also discuss a possible unemployment insurance scheme for the borrowing-constrained individual to respond to the shocks of forced unemployment.