贝叶斯方法在工程建设项目风险分析中的应用

本文探讨了贝叶斯定理及其推广在工程建设项目中的应用。在工程建设项目中,各种风险会随时出现,不了解风险的存在形式,很难进行风险管理。贝叶斯方法提供了一种有效的风险预测手段,能够将主观估计与客观估计结合起来,并能随着资料的不断增加而不断进行预测,使得预测更加精确,有利于工程建设项目的动态风险管理。     

流动性约束对我国城镇居民消费影响的实证分析

根据1978~2007年我国城镇居民消费和收入的相关数据,对我国城镇居民消费和流动性约束之间的关系进行了实证分析,并检验了流动性约束对消费的影响中是否包含了不确定性因素.分析结果表明:我国城镇居民消费受到较强的流动性约束制约;而流动性约束的测度受不确定性影响较小.     

牛顿环实验测量结果不确定度的评定

详细分析了牛顿环实验中测量结果不确定度评定,由于干涉图样中各级暗环弦长左右读数的测量为不等精度测量,因此本文提出一种既简单又易操作的不确定度评定方法。     

海森堡XYZ自旋链系统的热纠缠与局域量子不确定性研究

研究了热平衡温度,自旋交换相互作用,Dzyaloshinskii-Moriya(DM)相互作用及外加非一致性磁场对两比特海森堡XYZ自旋链量子系统的热纠缠与局域量子不确定度的影响,对比分析了并发度量子纠缠与局域量子不确定度描述自旋链系统量子关联的差别.结果表明自旋链系统的量子纠缠在热平衡温度,DM相互作用及外加磁场的非一致性参数的变化情况下均会出现纠缠突然死亡的再生现象,而自旋链系统的局域量子不确定度随着这些参数呈连续变化现象.并且,自旋交换相互作用,DM相互作用及外加横向磁场作用强度较小时,他们的变化对自旋链系统的量子纠缠与局域量子不确定度的影响有着明显的差别.     

石墨炉原子吸收光谱法测定土壤中铅量的测量不确定度评定

通过石墨炉原子吸收光谱法对土壤中的铅量进行了测定,对影响测量结果的不确定度分量进行了量化的计算.从而得出影响铅量测量不确定度的主要因素是测量样品消解液中的铅的质量浓度引起的不确定度.     

On the concept of solution for fractional differential equations with uncertainty

We consider a differential equation of fractional order with uncertainty and present the concept of solution. It extends, for example, the cases of first order ordinary differential equations and of differential equations with uncertainty. Some examples are presented.     

Entanglement conditions for four-mode states via the uncertainty relations in conjunction with partial transposition

From the Heisenberg uncertainty relation in conjunction with partial transposition, we derive a class of inequalities for detecting entanglements in four-mode states. The sufficient conditions for bipartite entangled states are presented. We also discuss the generalization of the entanglement conditions via the Schrödinger-Robertson indeterminacy relation, which are in general stronger than those based on the Heisenberg uncertainty relation.     

第Ⅱ种强度不等的两态叠加多模叠加态光场的等阶N次方H压缩——2腔模总数与压缩阶数两者之积取奇数的情形

构造了由多模复共轭相干态的相反态|{-Z_j^(a)*}〉q和多模虚共轭相干态的相反态|{-Z_j^(b)*}〉q的线性叠加所组成的第Ⅱ种强度不等的非对称两态叠加多模叠加态光场|Ψ(ab)Ⅱ〉q.利用多模压缩态理论,研究了态|Ψ(ab)Ⅱ〉q的等阶N次方H压缩特性.结果发现,在腔模总数与压缩阶数这两者之积取奇数,则当各对应模的初始相位、各对应模的初始相位差,态间的初始相位差、以及光子干涉项的幅度之和等分别满足一定的量子化条件时,态|Ψ(ab)Ⅱ〉q的第一及第二正交分量可分别呈现出周期性变化的等阶N次方H压缩效应.这与现有报道的结果截然不同.     

Evaluation of uncertainty utilising the component by component approach

 This paper reviews the so-called "component by component approach" of evaluating measurement uncertainty. An overview of the evaluation process is given followed by an in-depth discussion of some of the differences between this approach and the approach of utilising validation data. Some of the advantages and disadvantages of using the component by component approach are outlined at the end. Received: 4 August 1999 · Accepted: 11 November 1999     

Karl Menger's contributions to social thought

The work of Karl Menger in social science is briefly surveyed, in particular in the areas of marginal utility and diminishing value, utility, and uncertainty, a logic of imperatives based on deterrence, and a theory of voluntary associations in which cohesive groups are studied combinatorially.