Sequential estimation of a parameter of an exponential distribution

We consider the problem of minimum risk point estimation for the parameter =a+b of the exponential distribution with unknown location parameter and scale parameter when the loss function is squared error plus linear cost. In this paper, we propose a sequential estimator of and show that the associated risk is asymptotically one cost less than that given by Ghosh and Mukhopadhyay (1989,South African Statist. J.,23, 251–268).     

Evaluation of the use of consensus values in proficiency testing programmes

Proficiency testing (PT) is an essential tool used by laboratory accreditation bodies to assess the competency of laboratories. Because of limited resources of PT providers or for other reasons, the assigned reference value used in the calculation of z-score values has usually been derived from some sort of consensus value obtained by central tendency estimators such as the arithmetic mean or robust mean. However, if the assigned reference value deviates significantly from the ‘true value’ of the analyte in the test material, laboratories’ performance will be evaluated incorrectly. This paper evaluates the use of consensus values in proficiency testing programmes using the Monte Carlo simulation technique. The results indicated that the deviation of the assigned value from the true value could be as large as 40%, depending on the parameters of the proficiency testing programmes under investigation such as sample homogeneity, number of participant laboratories, concentration level, method precision and laboratory bias. To study how these parameters affect the degree of discrepancy between the consensus value and the true value, a fractional factorial design was also applied. The findings indicate that the number of participating laboratories and the distribution of laboratory bias were the prime two factors affecting the deviation of the consensus value from the true value.     

Durbin-Watson statistic as a morphological estimator of information content

The present work proposes a new approach for the evaluation of the information content in latent variables, and therefore, for the determination of the regression model dimensionality. Several examples are provided, using simulated, real-world, and reference datasets. The results showed that the application of the Durbin-Watson (DW) criterion could be used for the determination of the number of latent variables. Moreover, the method is straightforward in its implementation and could help in the understanding of model behaviour, particularly in complex datasets. A comparison is made with cross-validation techniques for the case of reference datasets, showing the potential of the Durbin-Watson criterion in the characterisation of the regression model. The advantages and disadvantages of this procedure (compared to cross-validation) are discussed. The properties of the information content of the regression vectors (loadings p, w and b vectors) are shown as well as how to use them for the current purpose.     

一般增长曲线模型参数阵的BLU估计

考虑一般增长曲线模型：Ｙ＝Ｘ１ＢＸ２＋εＥ（Ｖｅｃ（ε））＝０Ｖ（Ｖｅｃ（ε））＝σ２ＶＩｎ（Ｖ０）本文对任一可估函数ＫＢＬ给出了它的ＢＬＵ估计（最佳线性无偏估计），并得到了方差σ２的一个无偏估计．     

The Cross-Sectional Intrinsic Entropy—A Comprehensive Stock Market Volatility Estimator

To take into account the temporal dimension of uncertainty in stock markets, this paper introduces a cross-sectional estimation of stock market volatility based on the intrinsic entropy model. The proposed cross-sectional intrinsic entropy (CSIE) is defined and computed as a daily volatility estimate for the entire market, grounded on the daily traded prices—open, high, low, and close prices (OHLC)—along with the daily traded volume for all symbols listed on The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and The National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations (NASDAQ). We perform a comparative analysis between the time series obtained from the CSIE and the historical volatility as provided by the estimators: close-to-close, Parkinson, Garman–Klass, Rogers–Satchell, Yang–Zhang, and intrinsic entropy (IE), defined and computed from historical OHLC daily prices of the Standard & Poor’s 500 index (S&P500), Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), and the NASDAQ Composite index, respectively, for various time intervals. Our study uses an approximate 6000-day reference point, starting 1 January 2001, until 23 January 2022, for both the NYSE and the NASDAQ. We found that the CSIE market volatility estimator is consistently at least 10 times more sensitive to market changes, compared to the volatility estimate captured through the market indices. Furthermore, beta values confirm a consistently lower volatility risk for market indices overall, between 50% and 90% lower, compared to the volatility risk of the entire market in various time intervals and rolling windows.     

变系数计量经济学联立模型的局部线性工具向量估计及其性质

联立方程计量经济学模型在经济政策制定、经济结构分析和经济预测方面起着重要作用。本文首次提出了我国宏观经济的一类变系数联立模型,并建立了函数系数的局部线性工具向量估计,同时在时间点列固定设计、经济变量随机设计条件下,研究了估计量的大样本性质。与我国宏观经济经典线性联立模型相比,变系数联立模型拟合效果更优。另外它也有助于克服我国宏观经济数据不多而造成的非参数方法应用困难的现实情况。     

约束最小二乘估计的优良性

对于线性模型y=Xθ ε,ε服从椭球等高单峰分布,未知参数θ满足不等式约束a′θ≥0,证明了在参数估计优良性的集中概率准则下,θ的约束最小二乘估计θ~*优于最小二乘估计θ.     

Intelligibility enhancement for noisy whispered speech using asymmetric cost function

We proposed two whispered speech enhancement methods based on asymmetric cost functions in this paper to deal with the amplification and attenuation distortions of whispered speech distinctively.The modified Itakura-Saito（MIS）distance function provides more penalties to speech amplification distortion,whereas the Kullback-Leibler（KL）divergence function gives more penalties to speech attenuation distortion.The experimental results show that the MIS function based method achieves significant improvement of intelligibility in contrast to the conventional speech enhancement algorithms when the signal-to-noise ratio（SNR）falls below-6 dB,whereas the KL function based one achieves the similar result as the minimum mean square error（MMSE）speech enhancement method.The results show that the effects of the amplification and attenuation distortions on the intelligibility of the enhanced whisper are different,where larger attenuation distortion may result in better intelligibility of speech with low SNR.However,the attenuation distortion has small effects on intelligibility of speech with high SNR.     

The a posteriori error estimates of Chebyshev–Petrov–Galerkin methods for second-order equations

In this paper, the a posteriori error estimates of Chebyshev–Petrov–Galerkin approximations are investigated. For simplicity, we choose the Poisson equation with Dirichlet boundary conditions to discuss the a posteriori error estimators, and deduce their efficient and reliable properties. Some numerical experiments are performed to verify the theoretical analysis for the a posteriori error estimators.     

Limit theorems for the pre-averaged Hayashi–Yoshida estimator with random sampling

We will focus on estimating the integrated covariance of two diffusion processes observed in a nonsynchronous manner. The observation data is contaminated by some noise, which possibly depends on the time and the latent diffusion processes, while the sampling times also possibly depend on the observed processes. In a high-frequency setting, we consider a modified version of the pre-averaged Hayashi–Yoshida estimator, and we show that such a kind of estimator has the consistency and the asymptotic mixed normality, and attains the optimal rate of convergence.