信息不对称下多因素波动的应急数量弹性契约

考虑突发事件导致市场需求大幅波动、市场价格随机波动,构建生产成本信息不对称时应急供应链的数量弹性契约模型,寻找最优定价及订货策略;与完全信息情形对比,分析突发事件的信息共享及其对供应链最优决策的影响程度。研究发现,在生产成本信息不对称情形下,突发事件发生时,虽然零售商设计的数量弹性契约可以有效体现真实生产成本,但对供应链协调不起作用。同时,如果市场需求规模缩减,制造商表现出隐藏信息行为,可以促使供应链整体效益增加。最后通过算例验证了这些结论。     

Evolutionary stability of auction and supply chain contracting: An analysis based on disintermediation in the Indian tea supply chains

The purpose of this paper is to show that evolutionary stable market equilibrium is achievable through complete disintermediation of auctioneers if the option of bargaining-based supply chain contracting exists. The paper analyzes the evolutionary dynamics of a market that caters both the scopes of auction-intermediation and supply chain contracting to a set of homogeneous buyers and sellers. The motivation of this work developed from the contradiction between the theoretical framework of Lu and McAfee (1996) that identifies auction to be evolutionary stable over bargaining and the real instance of sustained disintermediation of auctioneers in the world’s largest tea industry in India where supply chain contracting is the other option of trading.     

A mathematical model for a capacity reservation contract

It is common practice in many industries to use a replenishment contract with a mechanism of capacity reservation. In this paper, we focus on a multi-period capacity reservation contract practiced between a buyer, who buys a single type of product and sells it to end-customers, and two or more heterogeneous suppliers, who produce and replenish the product as agreed upon contractually.In this paper, a mathematical model including several key features of a real contract is developed for a single supplier situation from the buyer’s perspective. It is then extended to a multiple supplier model for a system in which there are several heterogeneous suppliers with different capacities and prices. A rolling-horizon implementation strategy is suggested for the efficient application of the models. Extensive computational experiments demonstrate that the model and strategy can produce cost effective contractual terms for the buyer within a few seconds.     

公平偏好下双渠道供应链改进收入共享契约与协调

在市场需求是随机的且受零售商努力水平影响的一般情形下,考虑零售商的不利不公平厌恶偏好,研究设计双渠道供应链协调的改进收入共享契约机制.结果表明,在一定的契约参数取值条件下,双渠道供应链能够实现协调.双渠道供应链协调时,制造商完全占有直销渠道的销售收入.研究结论拓展了收入共享契约协调供应链的理论研究.     

Stochastic models for bidding strategies on oligopoly electricity market

In this paper we consider the forward/futures contracts and Asian-type call options for power delivery as important components of the bidding strategies of the players’ profits on the electricity market. We show how these derivatives can affect their profit. We use linear asymmetric supply function equilibrium (SFE) and Cournot models to develop firms’ optimal bidding strategies by including forward/futures contracts and Asian-type options. We extend the methodology proposed by Niu et al. (IEEE Trans Power Syst 20(4):1859–1867, 2005), where only forward contracts for power delivery were considered in the SFE model.     

Investment timing,agency and overconfidence

We consider a real option model in which a principal funds an agent to implement a project. Success depends on the quality of the project as well as the unknown ability of the agent. The possibility of the agent diverting project implementation funds to his private uses creates an agency problem which leads to delayed investment and over-experimentation. The principal prefers to fund an agent who is overconfident about his ability and such overconfidence reduces inefficiency due to agency problem.     

考虑决策者失望规避的供应链协同绿色创新动态优化与协调研究

针对决策者存在失望规避行为且产品绿色水平具有动态变化特征的情形,基于失望理论,运用微分博弈的方法研究了供应链协同绿色创新动态优化与协调问题,探讨了供应链成员失望规避程度对绿色创新决策及供应链绩效的影响,并提出双向成本分担契约对供应链进行协调。结果表明,供应链成员是否选择协同绿色创新及产品的绿色水平均与成员的失望规避程度密切相关;分散式决策下,若制造商选择分担供应商部分绿色创新成本,其分担比例与制造商失望规避程度负相关,与供应商失望规避程度正相关;集中式决策下,产品绿色水平、成员绿色创新水平及效用现值均高于协调前分散系统中的对应值;在一定条件下,双向成本分担契约的设计与实施,能有效提升供应链成员效用现值,实现供应链协调。     

销售努力及双市场化期权下的三级供应链协调

本文针对需求随机且受到零售商销售努力影响的情况,研究了由制造商、分销商和零售商组成的三级供应链的协调问题。文章首先用双期权契约对三级供应链进行协调,即在制造商和分销商以及分销商和零售商之间都采用期权契约,发现在零售商独自承担努力成本的情况下仅通过双期权契约无法协调供应链。因此在双期权契约的基础上加入了努力成本共担契约,发现当期权价格满足某种线性关系以及零售商努力成本按特定比例分摊时,联合双期权契约和努力成本共担契约能顺利协调供应链。在此基础上,文章还引入了期权的市场化定价规则,研究了期权采用市场化定价规则对供应链协调产生的影响,研究表明,引入期权市场化定价规则增加了供应链协调需要满足的条件,降低了协调的可能性,且协调状态下的期权价格受到市场因素如利率、价格波动率等的影响。最后,文章给出了期权市场化定价规则下供应链协调的条件以及参数变化对协调的影响。     

基于差价补偿策略的斯塔克尔伯格博弈协调优化

以智能产品为研究对象,建立了差价补偿策略下制造商与销售商的博弈模型,分别通过纳什均衡博弈和斯塔克尔伯格博弈协调优化对制造商和销售商的决策行为进行探讨,得到了Nash均衡下制造商与销售商之间交易策略,讨论了斯塔克尔伯格博弈下制造商的最优订购、最优补偿系数和销售商的订购量之间关系,提出了求解在给定补偿系数下斯塔克尔伯格博弈协调优化的近似最优批发价与最优订购量的算法。通过数值实验表明,制造商占优势地位时,差价补偿策略能实现整体供应链的协调优化,提高销售商的订购量以及制造商和销售商的利润,说明差价补偿策略可以有效地改善零供关系。     

政府补贴下供应链合作减排与低碳宣传的动态协调策略

基于微分博弈理论,研究由制造商和零售商构成的低碳供应链长期纵向合作减排、低碳宣传以及政府补贴问题。考虑到需求受减排量和零售商低碳宣传努力的双重影响下,构建了Stackelberg微分博弈模型。当政府对各决策下供应链成员提供相同补贴时,设计的利润共享契约实现了供应链利润的合理分配。设计的减排成本分担契约使得供应链利润得到Pareto改进,比较并分析三种模式下政府补贴率和供应链的均衡策略,并探讨了政府和供应链成员的交互影响。最后,对模型结果进行比较分析和算例分析,验证了结论的合理性。