一类变时滞离散Cohen-Grossberg神经网络模型周期解的存在性及其指数稳定性

利用重合度理论研究了一类变时滞的离散Cohen-Grossberg神经网络模型的周期解,并得到了模型周期解的全局指数稳定性的充分条件,推广了已有的结果,为神经网络的应用提供了重要的理论基础.最后给出一个例子进行数值模拟,数值模拟的结果更好地验证了结论.     

差分吸收光谱系统监测污染物浓度实时预测模型

差分吸收光谱(DOAS)法是一种有效的监测大气污染气体浓度的光学遥感方法,不仅有好的时间分辨率,而且测量灵敏度也很高。但是由于遥测系统处于复杂的大气环境中,各种干扰因素以及恶劣的气候条件,都会对系统产生影响。针对现有实时、在线监测差分吸收光谱系统中存在的不足,作者提出了一种基于改进Elman网络的实时预测模型。利用逐步回归筛选预测因子,不仅降低了预测网络的复杂程度,而且增强了系统的预测实时性。利用带自适应学习率的动态BP算法对改进的Elman网络进行训练,使预测系统能更好地辨识要预测的差分吸收光谱系统,该模型能较准确地对DOAS系统监测污染物数据进行实时跟踪监控,一定程度上弥补了遥测系统的不足。     

Pattern recognition and data mining software based on artificial neural networks applied to proton transfer in aqueous environments

In computational physics proton transfer phenomena could be viewed as pattern classification problems based on a set of input features allowing classification of the proton motion into two categories： transfer ＇occurred＇ and transfer ＇not occurred＇. The goal of this paper is to evaluate the use of artificial neural networks in the classification of proton transfer events, based on the feed-forward back propagation neural network, used as a classifier to distinguish between the two transfer cases. In this paper, we use a new developed data mining and pattern recognition tool for automating, controlling, and drawing charts of the output data of an Empirical Valence Bond existing code. The study analyzes the need for pattern recognition in aqueous proton transfer processes and how the learning approach in error back propagation （multilayer perceptron algorithms） could be satisfactorily employed in the present case. We present a tool for pattern recognition and validate the code including a real physical case study. The results of applying the artificial neural networks methodology to crowd patterns based upon selected physical properties （e.g., temperature, density） show the abilities of the network to learn proton transfer patterns corresponding to properties of the aqueous environments, which is in turn proved to be fully compatible with previous proton transfer studies.     

GLOBAL EXPONENTIAL STABILITY IN HOPFIELD AND BIDIRECTIONAL ASSOCIATIVE MEMORY NEURAL NETWORKS WITH TIME DELAYS

Without assuming the boundedness, strict monotonicity and differentiability of the activation functions, the authors utilize the Lyapunov functional method to analyze the global convergence of some delayed models. For the Hopfield neural network with time delays, a new sufficient condition ensuring the existence, uniqueness and global exponential stability of the equilibrium point is derived. This criterion concerning the signs of entries in the connection matrix imposes constraints on the feedback matrix independently of the delay parameters. From a new viewpoint, the bidirectional associative memory neural network with time delays is investigated and a new global exponential stability result is given.     

Nonlinear Time Series Forecast Using Radial Basis Function Neural Networks

In the research of using Radial Basis Function Neural Network (RBF NN) forecasting nonlinear time series, we investigate how the different clusterings affect the process of learning and forecasting. We find that k-means clustering is very suitable. In order to increase the precision we introduce a nonlinear feedback term to escape from the local minima of energy, then we use the model to forecast the nonlinear time series which are produced by Mackey-Glass equation and stocks. By selecting the k-means clustering and the suitable feedback term, much better forecasting results are obtained.     

油田开发指标系统的概率模拟预测

基于油田开发指标系统的复杂性和其影响因素带有明显的随机特征,从理论和实用上研究了油田开发指标系统的不确定性预测方法.方法提出采用神经网络建立开发指标和影响因素的关联关系;利用微分模拟研究开发指标的影响因素的概率分布;使用蒙特卡罗方法对影响因素进行随机抽样;依据得到的关联关系和影响因素的随机样本建立油田开发指标的概率预测模型.此外,设计了概率模拟器.实例研究表明开发指标的预测值以某概率落在某个区间内,这可为决策者做出符合实际的决策和准备应急决策方案提供依据.     

基于ARIMA与神经网络集成的GDP时间序列预测研究

本文深入分析了单整自回归移动平均(ARIMA)模型与神经网络(NN)模型的预测特性和优劣,并在此基础上建立了由ARIMA模型和NN模型集成的GDP时间序列预测模型与算法。其基本思想是充分发挥两种模型在线性空间和非线性空间的预测优势,据此将GDP时间序列的数据结构分解为线性自相关主体和非线性残差两部分,首先用ARIMA模型预测序列的线性主体,然后用NN模型对其非线性残差进行估计,最终集成为整个序列的预测结果。仿真实验表明:集成模型的预测准确率显著高于单一模型的预测准确率,从而证实了集成模型用于GDP预测的有效性。     

基于和积和最大积的信念传播算法的收敛性分析

在介绍马尔可夫网络和标准信念传播(Belief Propagation,BP)算法的基础上,以具有4个隐含结点的无环马尔可夫网络为例,详细分析了基于和积和最大积的BP算法收敛性,结果表明,在网络为无环马尔可夫网络时,基于和积的BP算法收敛于全局最优解,而基于最大积的BP算法在任何初值条件下,只要经过有限次迭代,BP算法必收敛到唯一固定点,若算法有唯一最优点,则此固定点为最优点.以实证分析为工具,研究BP算法收敛性,可作为BP算法基础理论研究的一次有益尝试.     

PLS分析与RBF神经网络耦合环境模型

鉴于城市大气环境质量受到诸多复杂因素影响,且各因素间存在多重相关性,本文将偏最小二乘(PLS)分析与人工神经网络径向基网络(RBF)耦合,建立偏最小二乘径向基神经网络模型(PLSRBF),应用于贵阳大气环境质量的检验和预测。实例表明:PLSRBF模型可对原多自变量模型进行降维简化,并可有效提取解释变量信息,防止信息丢失,且具有较强的拟合能力。     

基于灰关联分析的GA-BP神经网络在汽车油耗估算中的应用

从设计参数特征入手分析影响汽车油耗的因素,利用灰关联分析方法,解析了各设计参数对汽车油耗的影响程度,选择其中灰关联度较大的设计参数作为输入数据,综合工况油耗作为输出数据,构建6-5-1层结构的BP神经网络预测模型,并利用遗传算法获得优化后的BP神经网络的权值和阈值,然后训练BP神经网络得到最优值,最后以国内市场340款汽车作为研究样本,进行有效性验证.研究结果表明,模型利用灰关联分析获得影响汽车油耗的主要因素,简化了网络结构;与优化前的BP神经网络相比,具有更高的预测精度和可靠性.