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31.
We propose a new model – we call it a smoothed threshold life table (STLT) model – to generate life tables incorporating information on advanced ages. Our method allows a smooth mortality transition from non-extreme to extreme ages, and provides objectively determined highest attained ages with which to close the life table.We proceed by modifying the threshold life table (TLT) model developed by Li et al. (2008). In the TLT model, extreme value theory (EVT) is used to make optimal use of the relatively small number of observations at high ages, while the traditional Gompertz distribution is assumed for earlier ages. Our novel contribution is to constrain the hazard function of the two-part lifetime distribution to be continuous at the changeover point between the Gompertz and EVT models. This simple but far-reaching modification not only guarantees a smooth transition from non-extreme to extreme ages, but also provides a better and more robust fit than the TLT model when applied to a high quality Netherlands dataset. We show that the STLT model also compares favourably with other existing methods, including the Gompertz–Makeham model, logistic models, Heligman–Pollard model and Coale–Kisker method, and that a further generalisation, a time-dependent dynamic smooth threshold life table (DSTLT) model, generally has superior in-sample fitting as well as better out-of-sample forecasting performance, compared, for example, with the Cairns et al. (2006) model. 相似文献
32.
33.
IntroductionThestudyoftheoscillatoryandasymptoticbehaviorofthesolutionsofneutraldelaydifferentialequations,besidesitstheoreticalinterest,isimportantfromtheviewpointofapplications.Forexample,second_orderneutraldifferentialequationshaveapplicationsinprob… 相似文献
34.
In this paper, we investigate a class of parabolic differential equations of neutral type, and obtain some sufficient conditions of the oscillation for such equations satisfying two kinds of boundary value conditions. 相似文献
35.
Z.W. Yang M.Z. Liu Juan J. Nieto 《Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics》2009,233(4):990-1004
In this paper we deal with the numerical solutions of Runge–Kutta methods for first-order periodic boundary value differential equations with piecewise constant arguments. The numerical solution is given by the numerical Green’s function. It is shown that Runge–Kutta methods preserve their original order for first-order periodic boundary value differential equations with piecewise constant arguments. We give the conditions under which the numerical solutions preserve some properties of the analytic solutions, e.g., uniqueness and comparison theorems. Finally, some experiments are given to illustrate our results. 相似文献
36.
本探讨了高等代数与解析几何进行一体化教学的必要性,研究了高等代数与解析几何进行一体化教学以后教学内容的协调性与教学手段的合理性,强调了数学实验在高等代数与解析几何一体化教学中的重要性。 相似文献
37.
In this paper, we consider the following logistic equation with piecewise constant arguments:
38.
This work deals with the convergence and stability of Runge–Kutta methods for systems of differential equation with piecewise continuous arguments x′(t) = Px(t)+Qx([t+1∕2]) under two cases for coe?cient matrix. First, when P and Q are complex matrices, the su?cient condition under which the analytic solution is asymptotically stable is given. It is proven that the Runge–Kutta methods are convergent with order p. Moreover, the su?cient condition under which the analytical stability region is contained in the numerical stability region is obtained. Second, when P and Q are commutable Hermitian matrices, using the theory of characteristic, the necessary and su?cient conditions under which the analytic solution and the numerical solution are asymptotically stable are presented, respectively. Furthermore, whether the Runge–Kutta methods preserve the stability of analytic solution are investigated by the theory of Padé approximation and order star. To demonstrate the theoretical results, some numerical experiments are adopted. 相似文献
39.
于辉 《数学的实践与认识》2017,(1):236-246
针对满足广义Khasminskii条件的由维纳过程和泊松随机测度驱动的自变量分段连续型随机微分方程(EPCASDEs),给出了Euler方法,广义Khasminskii条件比经典条件包容了更多的EPC.ASDEs.现有文献对该类方程的研究成果较少.针对EPCASDEs在广义Khasminskii条件下证明了全局解的存在唯一性,并研究了Euler方法的依概率收敛性.给出了数值算例支持主要结论. 相似文献
40.
《Applied Mathematical Modelling》2014,38(9-10):2505-2521
This paper investigates the essential conditions to improve the accuracy of a resistance spot welding computational study of advanced zinc coated steel sheets using rounded tip electrode. An experimental analysis is performed to highlight the required considerations for a suitable simulation. A sequential Electrical-Thermal-Metallurgical and Mechanical (ETMM) finite element analysis with appropriate precautions of the contact conditions enables to accurately simulate the nugget development during the welding. A critical smooth evolution of the contact radius is required. A fine meshing with an interfacial mesh size of at least 0.05 × 10−3 m combined with a coupling time step of 0.0025 s between the electrical-thermal-metallurgical and the mechanical analysis allows a regular incrementation of the contact radius, without burdening the time computing. Accurate values of the contact resistance depending on the interfacial pressure and temperature are essential for a good simulation of the nugget size. The ETMM calculation is successfully extended to the simulation of the welding of a typical two sheets assembly. 相似文献