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The two-phase behaviour in financial markets actually means the bifurcation phenomenon, which represents the change of the conditional probability from an unimodal to a bimodal distribution. We investigate the bifurcation phenomenon in Hang-Sang index. It is observed that the bifurcation phenomenon in financial index is not universal, but specific under certain conditions. For Hang-Sang index and randomly generated time series, the phenomenon just emerges when the power-law exponent of absolute increment distribution is between 1 and 2 with appropriate period. Simulations on a randomly generated time series suggest the bifurcation phenomenon itself is subject to the statistics of absolute increment, thus it may not be able to reflect essential financial behaviours. However, even under the same distribution of absolute increment, the range where bifurcation phenomenon occurs is fax different from real market to artificial data, which may reflect certain market information. 相似文献
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拟鞅分解及非完备市场未定权益的保值 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
证明了拟鞅可选分解定理,并应用这种分解解决非完备金融市场欧式及美式未定权益的保值问题。 相似文献
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容许借贷的消费投资策略研究 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
考虑了容许借贷的消费投资决策问题,投资者选择债券和带有红利回报的风险股票,在效用最大化的标准下,研究了最优消费投资策略。最后就HARA效用函数提供了最优策略。 相似文献
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We report on our model study of stochastic resonance in the stock market using numerical simulation and analysis,In the model,we take the interest rate as the external signal,the randomness of traders‘ behaviour as the noise,and the stock price as the output,With computer simulations.we find that the system demonstrates a characteristic of stochastic resonance as noise intensity varies,An analytical explanation is proposed. 相似文献
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According to the risk management process of financial markets,a financial risk dynamic system is constructed in this paper.Through analyzing the basic dynamic properties,we obtain the conditions for stability and bifurcation of the system based on Hopf bifurcation theory of nonlinear dynamic systems.In order to make the system’s chaos disappear,we select the feedback gain matrix to design a class of chaotic controller.Numerical simulations are performed to reveal the change process of financial market risk.It is shown that,when the parameter of risk transmission rate changes,the system gradually comes into chaos from the asymptotically stable state through bifurcation.The controller can then control the chaos effectively. 相似文献
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抬垫一般是指在粮户未及时交纳粮税的情况下,由中间人垫付并随后向粮户追讨垫付本息的做法。从晚清到民国,四川地区民间性的粮税抬垫机制逐渐被纳入到官方性的税收系统中,但仍带有诸多弊病。在官府、书差、绅士和粮户等各方势力的博弈下,抬垫利率也最终实现了标准化。金融市场为粮税抬垫制度的形成提供了资金可能。粮户利用建立在土地市场与金融市场融通基础上的各类交易手段和地权安排(如卖业留粮、押租和典),来逃漏粮税,导致抬垫纠纷频繁发生。抬垫执行者的选拔体现了金融市场的资本竞争性和去道德化特色。民国四川省军政府曾下令以收益分成来重新认定纳税责任人,但由于未能做到对土地金融市场的完整把握,所以收效不彰。抬垫、抬垫纠纷与相应官方的应对,充分反映了近代中国基层社会中金融、地权、财税和法律等领域间的复杂交织关系。 相似文献