一类广义Lanchester模型的数值解及若干结论

本讨论了一类广义的Lanchester模型在一些限制条件下的近似解，并给出了若干结论。     

基于状态驻留时间下由转移弧产生输出的HMM模型中的参数估计

本讨论了用状态驻留时间来模型化传统的HMM模型。HMM的一个基本假设是它认为语音信号是准平稳的。然而由状态输出yt的HMM模型，并不能很好地表征语音信号中平稳段或平稳段之间的具体特征；由转移弧产生输出的自左向右HMM系统,则对语音特征作更为细致的描述。本主要讨论在[2]的基础上,对新建模型进行参数估计。     

MINIMAL SURFACES IN 3—DIMENSIONAL SOLVABLE LIE GROUPS

The author studies minimal surfaces in 3-dimensional solvable Lie groups with left invariant Riemannian metrics. A Weierstraβ type integral representation formula for minimal surfaces is obtained.     

Comparison of MINQUE and Simple Estimate of the Error Variance in the General Linear Models

Comparison is made between the MINQUE and simple estimate of the error variance in the normal linear model under the nean square errors criterion,where the model matrix need not have full rank and the dispersion matrix can be singular.Our results show that any one of both estimates cannot be always superior to the other.Some sufficient criteria for any one of them to be better than the other are established.Some interesting relations between these two estimates are also given.     

Testing Lack-of-fit for a Polynomial Errors-in-variables Model

When a regression model is applied as an approximation of underlying model of data, the model checking is important and relevant. In this paper, we investigate the lack-of-fit test for a polynomial error-in-variables model. As the ordinary residuals are biased when there exist measurement errors in covariables,we correct them and then construct a residual-based test of score type. The constructed test is asymptotically chi-squared under null hypotheses. Simulation study shows that the test can maintain the significance level well.The choice of weight functions involved in the test statistic and the related power study are also investigated.The application to two examples is illustrated. The approach can be readily extended to handle more general models.     

连续时间折扣矩最优模型及其与离散时间拟折扣矩最优模型的关系——Q 矩阵族未必保守的情形

本文是首次在转移率矩阵族为一般 Q 矩阵族(未必保守亦未必一致有界)的条件下,研究状态空间与决策集均为可数集的连续时间折扣矩最优模型(M_k-CTMDP);提出离散时间折扣依赖于状态与决策的拟折扣矩最优模型(β_k-GTMDP);并揭示二者之间的关系;给出在 f~∞下折扣总报酬 k 阶矩向量 μ_k(f)满足:kαμ_k(f)=kr(f)(?)μ_(k-1)(f)+Q(f)μ_k(f)及μ_k(f)=kP~(min)(kα,f)(r(f)(?)μ_(k-1)(f))的简洁表达式;给出报酬矩最优是矩最优方程组唯一有界解的一个很弱的充分条件与解法;给出矩最优策略存在的充要条件与若干性质.本文结果对 MDP 理论的发展与应用有重要意义,而且对跳跃型马氏过程的一类积分型泛函的研究与应用也颇有意义.     

Researches of DC—Problem Under the Model S in which the Numbers of Defective Coins are not Fixed

In this paper,we research general Defective Cion Problem under the model S,i.e,the number d of Defective cions is not fixed. For d=O,1,or 2. we get some good results.     

线性模型中均值向量的LSE和BLUE的偏差估计

对于线性模型 Y=Xβ+e,E(e)=0,cov(e)=σ~2∑,∑≥0μ=Xβ的LSE和BLUE分别为■=X(X′X)-X′Y和μ~*=X(X′T-X)-X′T-Y,其中T=∑+XUX′,U是对称阵且使Rank(T)=Rank(∑X)和T≥0,本文证明了‖■-μ~*‖_2≤(λ_r-λ_ζ)/(2(λ+λ_k)~(1/2))‖Y-■‖_2这里λ_4=ch_4(T),i=1,2,…,n,λ_1≥…≥λ_n≥0。k=Rank(X),‖a‖_2=(a′a)~(1/2),并且给出了‖cov(■)-cov(μ~*)‖_s‖PT~2P-(PTP)~2‖_s和‖(cov+(μ~*))~(1/2)cov(■)(cov+(μ~*))~(1/2)‖s的上界,这里‖A‖_s=(tr(A′A)~(3/2))~(■),s≥1。     

免疫鹅血清中和抗体消长的数学模型

本文通过变量转换，对种母鹅注射小鹅瘟疫苗后血清中和抗体含量免疫后时间的变化建立了二次多项式回归模型，该模型的准确度Ｒ~２＝０．７６９０．应用该模型估计了血清中和抗体达到要求含量（滴度为１：１６或高于１：１６，即滴度倒数ｈ≥１６的免疫期间为第８天至第１９６天．并得出了整个产蛋期只需对种母鹅免疫注射一次的结论．