人口迁入与新增确诊数的趋势关系及因果量化分析

目前,很多地区新冠肺炎疫情已得到缓解,复工、复产已被多地政府部门提上日程.2月10日前后,全国各地返城复工人数增多,2月14日开始,广东、河南等地新增病例数出现了明显反弹,人口跨地区迁徙使疫情防控更加困难.目前全国返工、返校需求还远未得到满足,需要通过数据分析,对"返城复工"的风险进行评估.通过观察数据可以发现人口迁徙与新增确诊病例数有很强的正相关性,因此由"格兰杰因果检验"确定了人口迁徙与新增确诊病例数有显著的因果关系.     

Solutions to semilinear <Emphasis Type="Italic">p</Emphasis>-Laplacian Dirichlet problem in population dynamics

In this article, we study a semilinear p-Laplacian Dirichlet problem arising in population dynamics. We obtain the Morse critical groups at zero. The results show that the energy functional of the problem is trivial. As a consequence, the existence and bifurcation of the nontrivial solutions to the problem are established.     

Positive periodic solution for a nonautonomous periodic model of population with time delays and impulses

In this paper, a nonautonomous periodic model of population with time delays and impulses, which arises in order to describe the control of a single population of cells, is studied. By the coincidence degree theory we obtain the conditions for the existence of periodic solution of this system.     

Collision-Induced Coherence Effect on Coherent Population Transfer

We investigate the effect of collision-induced coherence on coherent population transfer with the stimulated Raman adiabatic passage technique in a double A-type four-level system with a widely separated excited doublet. It is shown that when the two pulsed lasers with Rabi frequencies nearly comparable to the energy separation of the doublet are tuned to the particular frequency where the condition for quantum interference is satisfied, the very low transfer efficiency due to the nonadiabatic coupling between the two degenerate adiabatic states could be enhanced significantly with the increase of the collisional decay rates in a moderate range. The enhanced transfer efficiency results from the weakening of the nonadiabatic coupling between the two degenerate adiabatic states realized through collision-induced destructive quantum interference.     

中国人口分布规律及演化机理研究

近20年来,中国的总人口近似地按指数规律增加,但增加的速度有减缓的趋势.省、市、县三级的人口分布具有相似的规律：人口数k小的各级人口分布随k缓慢地变化;而k较大时,人口分布随k急剧变化,满足齐普夫定律.研究结果表明中国人口系统的各级分布具有自相似性.采用无标度网络上的聚集体迁移模型较好地解释了中国人口分布的演化规律. 关键词： 人口分布 齐普夫定律 迁移 动力学行为     

Spatiotemporal Characteristic of Epidemic Spreading in Mobile Individuals

We numerical simulate the propagation behaviour and people distribution trait of epidemic spreading in mobile individuals by using cellular automaton method. The simulation results show that there exists a critical value of infected rate fluctuating amplitude, above which the epidemic can spread in whole population. Moreover, with the value of infected rate fluctuating amplitude increasing, the spatial distribution of infected population exhibits the spontaneous formation of irregular spiral waves and convergence phenomena, at the same time, the density of different populations will oscillate automatically with time. What is more, the traits of dynamic grow clearly and stably when the time and the value of infected rate fluctuating amplitude increasing. It is also found that the maximal proportion of infected individuals is independent of the value of fluctuating amplitude rate, but increases linearly with the population density.     

陕西省人口状态的类型划分

一个省的人口状态是一个具有许多规定和关系的丰富的总体。对这个复杂总体的特征,人们通常是利用人口统计指标体系,通过对人口规模、人口的社会构成、自然构成、再生产过程及人口经济等诸多方面的研究来描述,陕西省106个县虽在以上方面各有不同,但各县间同时也存在某种意义上的相似性,这就需要我们将人口状态相似的县找出来且视为同一类。这种统计分析的实质就是多因素的数值分类法.这样做对于深入进行全省的人口分析至少有两大好处,一是可按类构造人口分析模型;二是为制定抽样调查方案提供信息。传统的分层等距抽样是以市区、平原县、山区…     

一个具有年龄结构非自治种群模型的稳定性与周期解

本文讨论一个具有年龄结构的非线性非自治种群模型解的渐近性态,得到了零解稳定和全局稳定的充分条件,也给出了周期解存在及稳定的判别准则。     

人口结构变动对中国能源消费碳排放的影响——基于城镇化和居民消费视角

本文通过引入城镇化及居民消费等因素拓展LMDI模型,解构中国能源消费碳排放变动为碳排放因子、能源强度、消费抑制因子、城镇化、居民消费和人口规模六大效应,并探讨上述六种效应变动对中国能源消费碳排放量变动的贡献率及其作用机理。然后,选择中国30个省份,2003-2012年的面板数据实证分析人口结构变动对区域能源消费碳排放量变动及其分解效应的影响。结果表明:2003 2012年中国碳排放总量增加42.1167亿吨,消费抑制因子效应、城镇化效应、居民消费效应和人口规模效应对碳排放量的影响呈现为正效应,而碳排放因子效应和能源强度效应对碳排放量的影响整体上呈现为负效应,并且居民消费效应对碳排放量变动的影响最大。人口城镇化已成为影响中国碳排放量变动的主要人口因素。较之中、西部地区,东部地区的人口规模效应明显较高,但其能源强度效应则相反,中部地区碳排放因子效应明显高于东、西部地区。现阶段,人口年龄结构、人口教育结构和人口职业结构变动减缓了中国碳排放量的增长,而人口城乡结构、区域经济水平和人口规模变动的影响方向则相反,最后,人口性别结构变动对碳排放量变动无显著地影响。     

具有一般传染率的年龄结构传染病模型动力学分析

考虑到年龄在疾病感染和流行过程中的作用和影响,本文建立了具有一般感染率的年龄结构传染病动力学模型.利用Hille-Yosida算子及相关理论,分析了模型平衡点的稳定性及平衡点失稳时周期解的存在性和分支问题.通过在平衡点处对模型系统的线性化处理,讨论了当基本再生数R₀> 1时特征方程根的分布情况,研究了免疫年龄扰动导致地方病平衡点失稳从而产生局部Hopf分支的条件.同时选取临界免疫年龄为分支参数,利用数值模拟显示了一定参数取值下免疫年龄对模型动力学性态的改变和影响.