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91.
考虑一类"中度偏离"单位根过程,y_t=q_ny_t-1+u_t,其中qn=1+c/(k_n),k_n=o(n),c为一非零常数,{u_t}为随机扰动项序列.在允许扰动项方差无穷的条件下,构造q_n的复合分位数估计,并得到了该估计的渐近分布.最后通过数值模拟,在扰动项服从t(2)分布下,说明了该估计的稳健和有效性. 相似文献
92.
Let denote a Hermite process of order and self-similarity parameter . This process is -self-similar, has stationary increments and exhibits long-range dependence. When , it corresponds to the fractional Brownian motion, whereas it is not Gaussian as soon as . In this paper, we deal with a Vasicek-type model driven by , of the form . Here, and are considered as unknown drift parameters. We provide estimators for and based on continuous-time observations. For all possible values of and , we prove strong consistency and we analyze the asymptotic fluctuations. 相似文献
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94.
The Bayesian model are established for the VaR and related risk measurements. The relationship between VaR and other risk measurements including expect shortfall, tail condition expectation and conditional value at risk are discussed. Furthermore, the Bayesian estimates and Bayesian predictors of these risk measurement are derived. Thirdly, the consistency and asymptotic normality in the exponential risk model are proved. Finally, the numerical simulation method is used to verify the convergence rate under different sample sizes. 相似文献
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97.
Émeline Schmisser 《Stochastic Processes and their Applications》2019,129(12):5364-5405
In this article, we consider a jump diffusion process , with drift function , diffusion coefficient and jump coefficient . This process is observed at discrete times . The sampling interval tends to 0 and the time interval tends to infinity. We assume that is ergodic, strictly stationary and exponentially -mixing. We use a penalized least-square approach to compute adaptive estimators of the functions and . We provide bounds for the risks of the two estimators. 相似文献
98.
在全球甲型H1N1流感大流行背景下,本文在充分考虑各国甲流感死亡率可能存在个体混合效应、独立效应、相关效应及空间相关效应基础上,运用Bayes计量分析框架下的模型选择标准确定描述各国甲流感死亡率的最优模型,并基于该模型对不同国家甲流感死亡率进行估算。结果显示:个体独立、空间相关效应模型能很好拟合各国甲流感疫情统计数据,利用该模型估算的全球甲流感平均死亡率为0.577%。 相似文献
99.
A communication system is implemented on digital signal processors (DSPs) for the underwater acoustic environment. The implemented receiver uses time reversal multi-channel combining followed by a single-channel decision feedback equalizer. Periodic channel estimation is employed to track the channel fluctuations. These techniques are used to mitigate time-varying inter-symbol interference, which is the main challenge in the underwater acoustic channel at operating frequencies greater than 10 kHz. Various optimization tasks are performed to reduce the receiver computational complexity. A fast implementation of the matching pursuit algorithm is tested on the DSP platform. Its performance, in terms of accuracy and run-time, is compared with that of the basic matching pursuit algorithm. Experimental results of the transmission and demodulation of binary phase-shift keying signals at three different symbol rates were obtained in the local Delaware Bay. The low bit error rates demonstrate the effectiveness of our implementation. 相似文献
100.
Ranjini Natarajan Charles E. McCulloch 《Journal of computational and graphical statistics》2013,22(3):267-277
Abstract This article demonstrates by example that the use of the Gibbs sampler with diffuse proper priors can lead to inaccurate posterior estimates. Our results show that such inaccuracies are not merely limited to small sample settings. 相似文献