Synthetic indicators of mutual funds’ environmental responsibility: An application of the Reference Point Method

Socially Responsible Investing (SRI) is broadly defined as an investment process that integrates not only financial but also social, environmental, and ethical (SEE) considerations into investment decision making. SRI has grown rapidly around the world in the last decades. In the last years, given the causes of the 2008 financial crisis, ethical, social, environmental and governance concerns have become even more relevant investment decision criteria. However, while a diverse set of models have been developed to support investment decision-making based on financial criteria, models including also social responsibility criteria are rather scarce.     

政府协调下群体性突发事件的演化博弈分析及应用

在群体性突发事件应急处置过程中,政府处置不当会使得事态扩大,甚至由非利益直接相关者转变为矛盾冲突方。本文将政府部门视为社会矛盾的调解者,运用演化博弈理论分析了政府作为利益协调者在群体性突发事件中的重要作用,并结合对公平因素的考虑,详细分析了一些主要参数对决策行为的影响。结果表明,政府提早介入、公平的利益再分配以及适当的惩罚措施有助于减少群体性突发事件。最后,通过分析案例“重庆市出租车罢工事件”的发展演化历程及政府的协调作用,说明了本文模型的适用性。     

Joint decision on production and pricing for online dual channel supply chain system

Online dual channel supply chain system and its joint decision on production and pricing under information asymmetry are investigated. First, optimal production and pricing strategies are depicted according to the centralized system. Next, two kinds of contracts are designed for the decentralized system to coordinate the channel system, and their production and pricing decisions are depicted using a principle-agent method for the asymmetric information on the traditional channel. Finally, some interesting insights are found: the centralized system is not always being better than the decentralized system with a feasible contract if the traditional and professional retailer has lower selling cost. When uncertainty in the traditional channel information is higher, the manufacturer prefers a menu of contracts according to different channel settings. When uncertainty is lower, the manufacturer prefers a single contract. Furthermore, the higher the uncertainty in the traditional channel, the more the information welfare of the traditional retailer will gain. Performance with a menu of contracts cannot outperform that with a single contract integrating optimistic and pessimistic market setting well; their difference in performance is bigger when uncertainty in the traditional channel information is less.     

Performance appraisal based on distance function methods

Performance appraisal is a process used by some firms to evaluate their employees’ efficiency and productivity in order to plan their promotion policy, salary policy, layoffs policy, etc. Initially this process was just carried out by the executive staff, but recently it has evolved into an evaluation process based on the opinion of different reviewers, supervisors, collaborators, customers and the employees themselves (360-degree method). In such an evaluation process the reviewers evaluate some indicators related to employees performance appraisal. In this paper we propose an evaluation framework where there are different sets of reviewers taking part in the evaluation process. Since reviewers have a different knowledge about the evaluated employee, it seems suitable to offer a flexible framework in which different reviewers can express their assessments in different finite scales according to their knowledge. The final aim is to compute a global evaluation for each employee, that can be used by the management team to make their decisions regarding their human resources policy. In this way, to obtain a global evaluation for each employee, we propose a methodology able to aggregate individual valuation in a metric L_p framework. In this context, the associated optimization problems can be reduced to an Extended Goal Programming formulation that is very easy to compute.     

淡水鱼养殖环节中副溶血性弧菌预测统计建模与分析

以全国6个省份淡水鱼养殖环节中副溶血性弧菌检测结果为样本,对样本进行主成分分析与列联表分析,得出影响副溶血性弧菌是否存在二分类变量的因素为地理位置、温度、盐度、PH值及其交互作用;建立二分类Logistic回归模型和经典决策树模型,预测副溶血性弧菌是否存在;将预测结论与实测结果进行比对,实证检验模型预测效果好,预报准确率高,可用于实际预测预报。     

融合关联性准则模糊测度的改进型VIKOR方法研究

多准则决策环境下,厘清准则关联性对决策结果影响机理将有助于提高决策结果的可靠性。首先,详细阐述了关联性准则的模糊测度表征的shapley值和交互系数;其次,以VIKOR方法为基础,深入分析了关联性准则对群体效用值和方差以及个体遗憾值的影响规律,提炼并总结了3条重要性质;再次,提出了包含准则交互系数的改进型VIKOR方法;最后,通过实例的对比研究凸显了本方法的优越性。     

Optimal monitoring network designs

The selection of a monitoring network is formulated as a decision problem whose solutions would then be optimal. The theory is applied where the underlying field has a multivariate normal probability structure.     

Optimal promotion planning—depth and frequency—for a two-stage supply chain under Markov switching demand

In considering the retailer–supplier supply chain, this paper analyzes how a retailer reasonably decides both the depth and frequency of the price discount promotion including or excluding a supplier’s inventory decision. Assuming that the promotion frequency used by the retailer is probabilistic, we model a promotion-inventory decision under an AR(1) demand with a Markov switching promotion regime. After obtaining the optimal promotion plan, our analysis also considers the behavior of the optimal promotion decision; the retailer’s price format selection, either an Every-Day-Low-Price policy (EDLP) or a Promotion policy (HiLo); and the impact of information sharing of promotion status on the system’s performance. Our results suggest that a retailer tends to overpromote if inventory cost is excluded in its promotion decision, that increasing the market share is a preferable action for both the retailer and the supplier, that total margin and price-elasticity play an important role in selecting the price format, and that the profitability for a supplier of sharing promotion information depends on the transition probabilities of the Markov switching regime.     

An axiomatic characterization of different majority concepts

A lot of decision support systems use some kind of aggregation procedure based on the concept of majority, but not always the same one; it can be simple majority, weak majority or one of the many other kinds of majority. This paper attempts to present the main variants of majority and to characterize them in a uniform way. Consequently, it is now easier to compare different kinds of majority and to understand the dissimilarities (or similarities) between them. This should help decision analysts willing to use a majority procedure to choose the right one for their problem and context.     

一个在置换图中寻找DFS树的最优算法

本是通过在连通置换图中构造辅助树的方法,给出了一个在具有n个顶点的置换图G中寻找深度优先支撑树（简称,DFS树）的最优算法,并证明了该算法的时间复杂性为O(n)。