Nonparametric Approach for Non-Gaussian Vector Stationary Processes

Suppose that {z(t)} is a non-Gaussian vector stationary process with spectral density matrixf(λ). In this paper we consider the testing problemH: ∫^π_−π K{f(λ)} dλ=cagainstA: ∫^π_−π K{f(λ)} dλ≠c, whereK{·} is an appropriate function andcis a given constant. For this problem we propose a testT_nbased on ∫^π_−π K{f(λ)} dλ=c, wheref(λ) is a nonparametric spectral estimator off(λ), and we define an efficacy ofT_nunder a sequence of nonparametric contiguous alternatives. The efficacy usually depnds on the fourth-order cumulant spectraf₄^Zofz(t). If it does not depend onf₄^Z, we say thatT_nis non-Gaussian robust. We will give sufficient conditions forT_nto be non-Gaussian robust. Since our test setting is very wide we can apply the result to many problems in time series. We discuss interrelation analysis of the components of {z(t)} and eigenvalue analysis off(λ). The essential point of our approach is that we do not assume the parametric form off(λ). Also some numerical studies are given and they confirm the theoretical results.     

Spatial Point Process Models of Defensive Strategies: Detecting Changes

The study of stochastic processes can take many forms. Theoretical properties are important to ensure consistent model definition. Statistical inference on unknown parameters is equally important but can be difficult. This is principally because many of the standard assumptions for proving consistency and asymptotic normality of estimators involve independence and homogeneity. In the case where inference is concerned with detecting change in a spatial process from one time point to another, a statistical-computing approach can be rewarding. Regardless of the complexity of the stochastic process, if simulating from it is relatively easy, then detecting change is possible using a Monte Carlo approach. The methodology is applied in a military scenario, where a country’s defensive posture changes as a function of its perceived threat. For tactical-decision purposes, it is extremely important to know whether the country’s perceived threat level has changed.     

An integrated toolchain for model based functional safety analysis

The significant increase in the complexity and autonomy of the hardware systems renders the verification of the functional safety of each individual component as well as of the entire system a complex task and underlines the need for integrated, model based tools that would assist this process. In this paper the authors present such a tool, coupled with an approach to functional safety analysis, based on the integration of functional tests into the model itself. The analysis of the resulting model is done through a stochastic Bayesian model. This approach strives to both bypass the necessity for costly hardware testing and integrate the functional safety analysis into an intuitive component development process.     

假设检验的相对稳定性

郑祖康^[1]提出了数理统计学中一个有意义的新问题－假设检验的稳定性。但是,由于稳定性定义的条件太强,从而通常检验统计量的稳定性并不好。本文根据假设检验的实际意义,定义了假设检验的相对稳定性,讨论了一类常用检验统计量的相对稳定性的一些性质,作为特例,得到似然比检验的相对稳定性的性质。     

Inferences on interclass and intraclass correlations in multivariate familial data

Inference procedures for interelass and intraclass correlations are given in the multivariate context of familial data for which measurements are taken on more than one characteristic. Unified estimators are proposed based on a certain class of unbiased estimators of covariance matrices. Asymptotic distributions of the proposed estimators are derived under the assumption of multivariate normality. The results can be used to construct approximate confidence intervals and test procedures.Research supported by the Department of Statistics, the Pennsylvania State University and the Air Force Office of Scientific Research under Grant AFSO-88-0030.Institute of Statistical Mathematics     

我国教育投资与经济增长的协整分析与误差修正模型

近年来"教育产业化"已成为一个热门话题,教育界、经济学家、政府官员等社会各界人士仁者见仁、智者见智,有学者提出用教育促进消费、拉动内需、推动经济发展的观点.然而,教育投资与经济增长的关系究竟如何呢?以国家统计局发布的1952~2006年度的统计数据为基础,对我国教育投资与经济增长的内在依存关系进行实证分析,结果表明短期内扩大教育投资对经济增长不产生作用,但长期来看教育投资对经济增长具有显著的拉动作用.     

幂律一威布尔模型下简单步进应力加速寿命试验的区间估计

对寿命分布为威布尔分布,加速方程为逆幂律的情况,由简单步进应力加速寿命试验所获得的数据,给出了有关参数和加速系数的点和区间估计,并论证了这种估计的存在和唯一性．     

几何分布截尾样本场合步进应力加速寿命试验TFR模型下的统计分析

讨论了几何分布产品在步进应力加速试验TFR模型下寿命分布.给出了其寿命分布函数步进形式,在截尾样本场合利用极大似然估计方法和拟矩估计方法求出了未知参数的点估计,最后利用计算机模拟考察了说明本文方法的可行性.     

Testing Monotonicity of Regression

Abstract

This article provides a test of monotonicity of a regression function. The test is based on the size of a “critical” bandwidth, the amount of smoothing necessary to force a nonparametric regression estimate to be monotone. It is analogous to Silverman's test of multimodality in density estimation. Bootstrapping is used to provide a null distribution for the test statistic. The methodology is particularly simple in regression models in which the variance is a specified function of the mean, but we also discuss in detail the homoscedastic case with unknown variance. Simulation evidence indicates the usefulness of the method. Two examples are given.     

分组检测方法综述

分组检测是一种经济且有效的检测算法。它在流行病学、农业及基因组学等领域有着广泛的应用。本文主要从分组检测的起源、发展及其应用着手,着重于介绍分组检测算法中的统计推断方法,并讨论了目前分组检测算法面临的一些问题和挑战。