时间序列的变化点检测和趋势分析

趋势分析和变化点检测是时间序列分析中常用的工具. 变化点检测是识别过程行为的自然或人为的突然的变化,而趋势可以定义为对逐渐偏离过去的规范的估计. 本文使用了Cox-Stuart方法和变化点算法分析时间序列数据趋势的存在,并以澳大利亚的近地表风速时间序列为例. 澳大利亚的近地表风速趋势是根据研究出的新开发的风速数据集,通过使用局部表面粗糙度信息,以及不同高度收集的混合观测数据构建. 10 m处的风的速度趋势通常会增加,而2 m处则趋于减小. 假设检验测试,变化点分析和人工检查记录表明有几个因素可能是导致差异的原因,例如伴随仪器变化的系统性偏差,随机数据错误(例如累积日错误)和数据采样问题. 均质化以及基于变化点检测的技术和多期趋势分析阐明了风速趋势不一致的根源.     

Output Intensity Variations of the Laser Used in a Prism Coupling System and Its Application

The output intensity variations of the laser used in a prism coupling system are observed and found to be induced by the external optical feedback, which comes from the reflection on the prism. The intensity variations are explained with laser theory. The trough in the intensity variation corresponds to the position of the prism when the output light beam propagates perpendicularly to the prism. Based on the trough a new method for rotating the prism and reading out the step numbers is proposed, by which the angle 0° in the system need not to be calibrated. It is proven by experiment that the new method would improve the accuracy of the refractive index up to ±0.00001 and thickness to ±1 nm.     

锂铌比对铪铁铌酸锂晶体全息存储性能的影响

以掺杂4mol%Hf4+的LiNbO3:Fe:Hf系列晶体([Li]/[Nb]比变化)为研究对象,研究了系列晶体的可见吸收光谱,在632.8nm的写入光下晶体的衍射效率、灵敏度和抗光散射能力在不同[Li]/[Nb]下的变化规律.研究发现Hf4+的浓度达到阈值浓度后,随着[Li]/[Nb]比的增大,晶体的可见吸收边会发生红移,而且晶格中[Fe2+]/[Fe3+]也会增加,这就导致随着[Li]/[Nb]比的增加,样品的衍射效率逐渐减小,写入时间缩短,灵敏度增大.同时,在晶体中,随着[Li]/[Nb]的增大,陷阱中心Fe2Li+数量增大会使得晶体抗光散射能力减弱.     

刘国芳：市值管理需要创造性

各位CFO朋友：你们好! 市值管理在中国仍是一个新事物，创造性的市值管理行为还是显得较为罕见。作为上市公司市值管理重要决策人与执行人之一的CFO，如何立足公司自身情况，根据经济、行业和市场环境变化。采取灵活和创造性市值管理措施，无疑对提升上市公司竞争力，实现股东价值最大化，具有重要意义。     

Preparation and Inhibitory Effects of 20（S）-Ginsenoside Rh2 on Hep-A-22 Cells

<正>A modified method of preparing 20(S)-ginsenoside Rh_2(G-Rh_2) and the inhibitory effect of 20(S)-ginse-noside Rh_2 on Hep-A-22 cells were investigated.The total saponins and strong alkali were dissolved in glycerol at the atmospheric pressure,and the degradation was performed at a high temperature.After G-Rh_2 had been isolated and purified,MTT(methyl thiazolyl tetrazolium) assay was applied to evaluating the effect of 20(S)-ginsenoside Rh_2 on the cells viability and morphological changes were observed.It was shown that 20(S)-ginsenoside Rh_2 can reduce Hep-A-22 cells viability in dose-dependent manner and the cells took on cell shrinkage,membrane blebbing,chromosomal condensations,especially under the higher concentrations of it.In conclusion,20(S)-ginsenoside Rh_2 can be prepared effectively that not only decreases viability but also induces the apoptosis of Hep-A-22 cells.     

Thermal analysis of the CSNS H－ ion source

There are two cooling systems to maintain the thermal stability of the CSNS H^- ion source during its operation： Air-cooling in the source body of the discharging chamber and water-cooling in the flange on which the discharging chamber is installed. The optimal cooling parameters to ensure the operation of the H^- ion source are determined through a thermal analysis. In addition, a transient analysis is also performed to know exactly the transient temperature variation during the whole 40 ms period of the pulsed mode operation of the ion source.     

Tracking problem under a time-varying topology

This paper studies the multi-agent tracking problem of a third-order maneuvering target under uncertain communication environments. Each tracking agent is assumed to be a third-order system and can only use its own and neighbors＇ position, velocity, and acceleration information to design its control input. In this work, the uncertain communication environments are modelled by a finite number of constant Laplacian matrices together with their corresponding scheduling functions. Sufficient conditions for the existence of a tracking strategy have been expressed in terms of the solvability of linear matrix inequalities. Finally, a numerical example is employed to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed tracking strategy.     

Molecular dynamics study of ice structural evolution

Molecular dynamics simulation is employed to study the structural evolution of low density amorphous ice during its compression from one atmosphere to 2.5 GPa. Calculated results show that high density amorphous ice is formed at an intermediate pressure of -1.0 GPa; the O-O-O bond angle ranges from 83° to 113°, and the O-H… O bond is bent from 112° to 160°. Very high density amorphous ice is obtained by quenching to 80 K and decompressing the ice to ambient pressure from 160 K/1.3 GPa or 160 K/1.7 GPa; and the next-nearest O-O length is found to be 0.310 nm, just 0.035 nm beyond the nearest O-O distance of 0.275 nm.     

Quantum analysis on the four-photon interference

We present a theory for quantum interference of four photons generated by spontaneous parametric downconversion. Detailed investigation of the dependence of fourfold coincidence count rate on time delay between the incident and the reflective pump laser pulses is carried out. Gaussian type dependence is found, and good agreement between our theoretical results and experimental data reported in the literature is achieved.