基于粒子滤波算法的航迹误差分析

当前针对飞行预测的研究主要采用的是kalman算法,在解决非线性问题时存在着只能近似线性的而不够精确的问题.采用近年来受到广泛关注的粒子滤波算法,针对RNAV航路进行分析,结论中得到了对飞行误差仿真分析并对比了卡尔曼滤波仿真效果,证实了粒子滤波在航迹预测中更好的准确性.     

基于多种用海功能的海域使用权拍卖机制研究

海域使用权拍卖是对海域资源进行市场化配置的重要方式.基于海域资源的立体性和层次性特征,提出了多种用海功能约束下的海域使用权拍卖机制,设计了综合效用函数,对海域使用权进行经济价值与生态补偿的综合评价,促进海域资源的多层次利用与开发.仿真结果表明:相比较于单一功能的海域使用权拍卖,多属性拍卖能够改善海域使用权拍卖效率,同时拍卖结果也提高了政府对海域使用权拍卖的满意度和最终效用,为我国海域使用权拍卖方式的创新提供了理论基础.     

有Logistic增长的媒介传播模型分析

建立了贮存宿主鸟类与传染宿主蚊子都具有Logistic增长的西尼罗河病毒传播模型,获得了基本再生数R_0.当R_0<1时,通过构造Lyapunov函数,证明了无病平衡点的全局渐近稳定性.当R_0>1,且满足不同条件时,得到了正平衡点的存在性,数值模拟验证了理论结果的正确性.     

一种新的空间权重矩阵构造及模拟比较研究

空间权重矩阵的构造一直是地理学、空间计量经济学和医学等领域中的难点和热点问题.权重矩阵合适与否,将直接关系到模型的最终估计结果.基于AMOEBA过程,通过局部Moran'I的比较,得到新的"邻接"关系区域,并结合基于经济距离的权重,构造出新的权重矩阵.为了进一步分析其优劣,利用蒙特卡罗模拟,在空间滞后模型下,对几种常用的权重矩阵,通过极大似然估计,利用评价标准进行比较研究.模拟结果表明:在大样本情形下,构造的新的权重矩阵,较其他几种常见权重矩阵对应的估计值更接近真值,模型拟合效果更好.同时,通过模拟比较研究也得到了一些有意义的结论.     

基于有限元法的混凝土输水管内硫酸根离子扩散分析

暴露于硫酸盐环境中的混凝土输水管易遭受硫酸盐化学侵蚀,导致其耐久性退化、提前失效;而环境中硫酸根离子传输进入混凝土是其化学侵蚀的前提.为获得混凝土内硫酸根离子的扩散进程,首先基于Fick定律及质量守恒定律,建立饱和混凝土管内硫酸根离子的扩散-反应模型.其次,将扩散-反应模型的边界条件齐次化,建立其有限元控制方程.然后,开展硫酸钠溶液中水泥砂浆圆柱试件的腐蚀试验,测定试件不同深度处的硫酸根离子浓度,与模型计算结果对比,以验证模型.最后,开展数值模拟研究,分析混凝土输水管外表面、内外表面暴露于浓度恒定或振荡的硫酸盐溶液情况下管内硫酸根离子浓度的时空分布.     

Molecular dynamics simulations of the crystal–melt interface mobility in HCP Mg and BCC Fe

The temperature profile around the moving solid–liquid interface during non-equilibrium molecular dynamics (MD) simulations of crystallization and melting is examined for HCP Mg and BCC Fe. An evident spike (valley) is found around the solid–liquid interface during solidification (melting). Considering the effect of a non-uniform temperature distribution, it is found that, if the actual interface temperature is adopted to compute the interface mobility, rather than the thermostat temperature (or the mean temperature of the whole system), the kinetic coefficient is approximately a factor of two larger than previous estimates. Although the magnitude of the kinetic coefficient is larger than the previous estimates, the crystalline anisotropies derived in the current work are consistent with earlier calculations.     

Three-dimensional global analysis of thermal stress and dislocations in a silicon ingot during a unidirectional solidification process with a square crucible

A three-dimensional global model was used to obtain the solution of a thermal field within the entire furnace during a unidirectional solidification process of multicrystalline silicon with a square crucible. Then the thermal stress distribution in the silicon ingot was solved. Based on the solution of thermal stress, relaxation of stress and multiplication of dislocations were performed by using the Haasen–Alexander–Sumino model (HAS model). The influence of crucible constraint on stress levels and dislocations was investigated. It was found that the crucible constraint had significant influence on the thermal stresses and dislocations in the ingot. The results indicated that it is important to reduce the crucible constraint in order to relax thermal stresses and reduce dislocations in a silicon ingot during the solidification process.     

Efficient implementation of the proper outlet flow conditions in blood flow simulations through asymmetric arterial bifurcations

We present an efficient implementation of the proper (in vivo) outlet boundary conditions in detailed, three‐dimensional (3D) and time‐periodic simulations of blood flow through arteries. This is achieved through the intermediate use of an approximate ‘simulant’ model of the outlet pressure/flow relationship corresponding to the full 3D and time‐dependent numerical simulation. This model allows us to efficiently couple the 3D outlet pressure/flow conditions to the equivalent relations due to the downstream arterial network, as obtained from a one‐dimensional approximate model in the form of Fourier frequency impedance coefficients. An adjustable time‐periodic function correction term in the simulant model requires input from the full 3D model that has to run iteratively until convergence. The advantage of the proposed numerical scheme is that it decouples the upstream detailed simulation from the downstream approximate network model offering exceptional versatility. This approach is demonstrated here in a series of detailed 3D simulations of blood flow, performed using the commercial software FLUENT?, through an asymmetric arterial bifurcation. Two cases are considered: first a healthy system patterned after the left main coronary arterial bifurcation, and second a diseased case where an occlusion has developed in one of the daughter vessels, resulting in strengthening the asymmetry of the bifurcation. Rapid convergence of the iterative process was achieved in both cases. Subtle changes occur in the shear patterns of the daughter vessels, whereas the flow distribution is quite different. In the presence of a stenosis additional regions of low shear develop due to inertial effects. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

On the relative impact of subgrid‐scale modelling and conjugate heat transfer in LES of hot jets in cross‐flow over cold plates

This work describes numerical simulations of a hot jet in cross‐flow with applications to anti‐ice systems of aircraft engine nacelles. Numerical results are compared with experimental measurements obtained at ONERA to evaluate the performances of LES in this industrial context. The combination of complex geometries requiring unstructured meshes and high Reynolds number does not allow the resolution of boundary layers so that wall models must be employed. In this framework, the relative influence of subgrid‐scale modelling and conjugate heat transfer in LESs of aerothermal flows is evaluated. After a general overview of the transverse jet simulation results, a LES coupled with a heat transfer solver in the walls is used to show that thermal boundary conditions at the wall have more influence on the results than subgrid scale models. Coupling fluid flow and heat transfer in solids simulations is the only method to specify their respective thermal boundary conditions. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.