用贝叶斯公式解释化验结果

借助概率论中的贝叶斯公式理论和方法,对现实中人们对有关化验结果的疑惑进行了详细的解释,从而使人们能更科学地理解化验结果,深刻感知数学在解决实际问题的作用.     

COMPACT DIFFERENCE SCHEMES FOR THE DIFFUSION AND SCHRODINGER EQUATIONS. APPROXIMATION,STABILITY, CONVERGENCE,EFFECTIVENESS, MONOTONY

Various compact difference schemes （both old and new, explicit and implicit, one-level and two-level）, which approximate the diffusion equation and SchrSdinger equation with periodical boundary conditions are constructed by means of the general approach. The results of numerical experiments for various initial data and right hand side are presented. We evaluate the real order of their convergence, as well as their stability, effectiveness, and various kinds of monotony. The optimal Courant number depends on the number of grid knots and on the smoothness of solutions. The competition of various schemes should be organized for the fixed number of arithmetic operations, which are necessary for numerical integration of a given Cauchy problem. This approach to the construction of compact schemes can be developed for numerical solution of various problems of mathematical physics.     

The effect of a generalized nonlinear incidence rate on the stochastic SIS epidemic model

In this paper, we aim to analyze the classical SIS epidemic model with a generalized force of infection (including nonmonotonic cases), where the transmission rate is perturbed by white noise. Using Feller's test for explosions, we prove that the disease dies out with probability one without any restriction on the model parameters.     

More accurate breakdown voltage estimation for the new step-up test method in the gumbel distribution model

The estimation problems for the conventional step-up method (the observed breakdown voltages are not given at all) and the new step-up method (some of the observed breakdown voltages are given) are analyzed when the underlying probability distribution (of breakdown voltage level) is assumed to be gumbel distributions for minima and maxima. The new step-up test method has advantages compared to the conventional method: (1) the confidence intervals of the estimates become smaller and (2) the estimates can be obtained with higher probability. In some case of real step-up breakdown voltage test, a fit of the gumbel distribution to the data case is found to be superior to that of the normal distribution, which suggests the usefulness of the gumbel distribution for the underlying distribution in the step-up breakdown voltage test.     

Graded annihilators of modules over the Frobenius skew polynomial ring, and tight closure

This paper is concerned with the tight closure of an ideal in a commutative Noetherian local ring of prime characteristic . Several authors, including R. Fedder, K-i. Watanabe, K. E. Smith, N. Hara and F. Enescu, have used the natural Frobenius action on the top local cohomology module of such an to good effect in the study of tight closure, and this paper uses that device. The main part of the paper develops a theory of what are here called `special annihilator submodules' of a left module over the Frobenius skew polynomial ring associated to ; this theory is then applied in the later sections of the paper to the top local cohomology module of and used to show that, if is Cohen-Macaulay, then it must have a weak parameter test element, even if it is not excellent.

     

二项分布下的一种贝叶斯可靠性验收试验方案

为了合理利用先验信息制定可靠性验收试验方案，以降低验收试验的费用，在进行可靠性定型试验的前提下，提出了一种先验信息加工方法，并根据生产与使用双方实际所关心的风险意义，制定了产品可靠性验收试验的一种贝叶斯方案。算例结果证实，该方案在保证了生产方与使用方利益的前提下，减少了试验量，降低了验收试验费用。说明所提出的先验信息利用方式是有效的。     

Canonical correlation analysis based on information theory

In this article, we propose a new canonical correlation method based on information theory. This method examines potential nonlinear relationships between p×1 vector Y-set and q×1 vector X-set. It finds canonical coefficient vectors a and b by maximizing a more general measure, the mutual information, between a^TX and b^TY. We use a permutation test to determine the pairs of the new canonical correlation variates, which requires no specific distributions for X and Y as long as one can estimate the densities of a^TX and b^TY nonparametrically. Examples illustrating the new method are presented.     

基于正极性或-符合展开的易测性网络

为提高数字电路的可测性,提出了可实现任意逻辑函数的正极性或-符合网络的易测性实现,并给出了测试网络中所有单固定故障的通用测试集．该实现基于逻辑函数的正极性或-符合展开,网络的同或部分分别采用了串联和树形结构．为提高可测性,同或串的实现结构只需增加1个控制端及1个观察端,同或树的实现结构只需增加3个控制端及1个观察端．对于1个n变量的逻辑函数,两种实现结构下通用测试集的基数分别为（n＋4）和（n＋5）．这样短的通用测试集非常适合用内建自测试实现,从而有效地缩短测试时间．     

Large Sample Properties of Mixture Models with Covariates for Competing Risks

We study the large-sample properties of a class of parametric mixture models with covariates for competing risks. The models allow general distributions for the survival times and incorporate the idea of long-term survivors. Asymptotic results are obtained under a commonly assumed independent censoring mechanism and some modest regularity conditions on the survival distributions. The existence, consistency, and asymptotic normality of maximum likelihood estimators for the parameters of the model are rigorously derived under general sufficient conditions. Specific conditions for particular models can be derived from the general conditions for ready check. In addition, a likelihood-ratio statistic is proposed to test various hypotheses of practical interest, and its asymptotic distribution is provided.     

Tests of fit for the Rayleigh distribution based on the empirical Laplace transform

In this paper a class of goodness-of-fit tests for the Rayleigh distribution is proposed. The tests are based on a weighted integral involving the empirical Laplace transform. The consistency of the tests as well as their asymptotic distribution under the null hypothesis are investigated. As the decay of the weight function tends to infinity the test statistics approach limit values. In a particular case the resulting limit statistic is related to the first nonzero component of Neyman’s smooth test for this distribution. The new tests are compared with other omnibus tests for the Rayleigh distribution.