灰色Verhulst模型的样条插值函数的残差修正

本用样条函数对灰色Verhulst模型的残差序列进行插值拟合，然后作用于二阶线性微分方程，并以此修正原模型，得到一种新的预测模型的数值解，提高了拟合的精确度。     

A DISCRETE AGE STRUCTURED SI MODEL OF TRACHEAL MITE (Acarapis woodi (RENNIE)) INFESTATION OF HONEY BEES (Apis mellifera L.) AT THE COLONY LEVEL

This paper presents a discrete age structured SI model of tracheal mite (Acarapis woodi (Rennie)) infestation of honey bees (Apis mellifera L.) at the colony level. The model describes the elevated honey bee attrition during winter and predicts that winter brood rearing should promote colony survival by decreasing the colony's infestation and increasing the colony's population. The model also predicts that swarming and the artificial removal of part of the colony's forager honey bees should reduce the colony's infestation level.     

A rate-dependent algebraic stress model for turbulence

Based on the stress transport model, a rate-dependent algebraic expression for the Reynolds stress tensor is developed. It is shown that the new model includes the normal stress effects and exhibits viscoelastic behavior. Furthermore, it is compatible with recently developed improved models of turbulence. The model is also consistent with the limiting behavior of turbulence in the inertial sublayer and is capable of predicting secondary flows in noncircular ducts. The TEACH code is modified according to the requirements of the rate-dependent model and is used to predict turbulent flow fields in a channel and behind a backward-facing step. The predicted results are compared with the available experimental data and those obtained from the standard k-ε and algebraic stress models. It is shown that the predictions of the new model are in better agreements with the experimental data.     

Self-organization in aggregating colloids

Summary The interceluster organization of a two-dimensional colloidal system undergoing diffusion-limited cluster-cluster aggregation is considered. During this process the system evolves into a stationary, scaling state. In this state the organization arises from effective intercluster repulsion due to the mutually exclusive depletion zones surrounding each cluster. It is shown that in the scaling regime the relevant size of the depletion zones is determined by the separation between clusters, rather than the cluster size. Paper presented at the I International Conference on Scaling Concepts and Complex Fluids, Copanello, Italy, July 4–8, 1994.     

On a Boolean-valued Model of the Strict Implication System(Continuous)

The reference [4] proved the consistency of S1 and S2 among Lewis' five strict implication systems in the modal logic by using the method of the Boolean-valued model. But, in this method, the consistency of S3, S4 and S5 in Lewis' five strict implication systems is not decided. This paper makes use of the properties: (1) the equivalence of the modal systems S3 and P3, S4 and P4; (2) the modal systems P3 and P4 all contained the modal axiom T(□p → p); (3) the modal axiom T is correspondence to the reflexive property in VB. Hence, the paper proves: (a) ‖As31‖ = 1; (b) ‖AS41‖ = 1; (c) ‖AS5l‖ = 1 in the model (where B is a complete Boolean algebra, R is reflexive property in VB). Therefore, the paper finally proves that the Boolean-valued model VB of the ZFC axiom system in set theory is also a Boolean-valued model of Lewis' the strict implication system S3, S4 and S5.     

青岛港货运吞吐量的时间序列模型

运用时间序列分析方法对时间序列建立ARMA,ARIMA模型.搜集了青岛港1999年1月～2003年5月的货运吞吐量数据,对进行分析,建立了青岛港货运吞吐量的模型.通过预留的部分数据对模型进行检验,并对模型的残差进行检验,得出模型比较合理.     

Fuzzy Entropy： Axiomatic Definition and Neural Networks Model

The measure of uncertainty is adopted as a measure of information. The measures of fuzziness are known as fuzzy information measures. The measure of a quantity of fuzzy information gained from a fuzzy set or fuzzy system is known as fuzzy entropy. Fuzzy entropy has been focused and studied by many researchers in various fields. In this paper, firstly, the axiomatic definition of fuzzy entropy is discussed. Then, neural networks model of fuzzy entropy is proposed, based on the computing capability of neural networks. In the end, two examples are discussed to show the efficiency of the model.     

最大似然方法和Bayes方法在结构方程模型分析中的讨论(英文)

本文通过模拟研究,讨论了最大似然方法和Bayes方法在分析结构方程模型中的相似点和不同之处。     

加热炉热过程动态操作数学模型

根据加热炉生产特点,建立了钢坯加热过程的动态操作数学模型,分析了待轧时间变化时炉内钢坯温度分布情况。并针对加热炉待轧的灰色性,采用多目标灰色局势决策方法,得出了相应合理的待轧优化控制策略。模拟结果表明:该方法具有良好的动态性能,适合于在线控制。