风险投资和大额索赔下更新模型的破产概率

本文考虑了带有风险投资的更新风险模型,基于该模型分析了大额个体索赔情形下保险公司破产概率的渐近行为.作为推论,对于Pareto型索赔额我们给出了一个相当简洁的渐近公式.     

跳-扩散风险模型的最优投资策略和破产概率研究

对盈余投资于金融市场的跳-扩散风险模型的最优投资策略和破产概率进行了研究,得到最优投资策略和最小破产概率的显示解,发现破产概率满足Lundberg等式．最后通过数值计算,得到最小破产概率与无风险利率,投资和相关系数之间的关系,以及无风险利率和相关系数对最优投资策略的影响．     

具有混合保费收入的双险种二项风险模型

将双二项风险模型推广为具有混合保费收入的新模型,并运用鞅论的方法得出破产概率满足Lundberg不等式和一般表达式.     

实时定期人寿保险的破产模型及破产概率的计算

研究定期人寿保险中破产风险问题。建立了该类问题的数学模型,并分析其结构特征,推导破产概率的计算公式,并设计其计算方法。同以往模型相比,新模型的建立考虑了初始准备金的利息积累和任何时刻的新投保人的加入,采用了新的分组方式。这种新模型更加真实地刻画了实际过程,保证了传统模型中常用的某些假设得到了满足。     

Sparre Andersen模型中破产概率的边界

研究在Andersen Spaxre模型中,当破产概率的初始边界已知的时候,根据更新方程和更新方程中函数的单调性来改进破产概率的边界,并进一步改进了严重损失函数G（x,y）的边界．     

依生灭过程索赔两险种风险模型

本文建立了依生灭过程索赔的两险种风险模型,主要对该模型的破产概率进行了研究,并给出了关于条件破产概率序列的微分积分方程以及破产概率收敛速率的上界,这类似于Cramer-Lundberg逼近,其逼近程度虽然不如Cramer-Lundberg逼近"精确",但不要求索赔额分布是尾指数的.     

Precise rates in the law of the logarithm for the moment convergence in Hilbert spaces

Let （X, Xn; n ≥1） be a sequence of i.i.d, random variables taking values in a real separable Hilbert space （H, ｜｜·｜｜） with covariance operator ∑. Set Sn = X1 ＋ X2 ＋ ... ＋ Xn, n≥ 1. We prove that, for b 〉 -1,
lim ε→0 ε^2（b＋1） ∞ ∑n=1 （logn）^b/n^3/2 E{｜｜Sn｜｜-σε√nlogn}=σ^-2（b＋1）/（2b＋3）（b＋1） B｜｜Y｜^2b＋3
holds if EX=0,and E｜｜X｜｜^2（log｜｜x｜｜）^3bv（b＋4）〈∞ where Y is a Gaussian random variable taking value in a real separable Hilbert space with mean zero and covariance operator ∑, and σ^2 denotes the largest eigenvalue of ∑.     

Semi-empirical likelihood confidence intervals for the differences of quantiles with missing data

Detecting population （group） differences is useful in many applications, such as medical research. In this paper, we explore the probabilistic theory for identifying the quantile differences .between two populations. Suppose that there are two populations x and y with missing data on both of them, where x is nonparametric and y is parametric. We are interested in constructing confidence intervals on the quantile differences of x and y. Random hot deck imputation is used to fill in missing data. Semi-empirical likelihood confidence intervals on the differences are constructed.     

低频纯音不愉悦感主观评价的实验研究

本文提出分别采用“不愉悦度”和“不愉悦概率”作为衡量低频噪声主观感觉的整体评价指标,并确定出评价等级与相应的计算公式。在此基础上,以人工产生的低频纯音为研究对象,结合“5点4级”评价尺度,采用语义细分法,设计并完成了实验室主观评价实验。分析处理实验数据后发现：（1）“不愉悦度”与“不愉悦概率”两种感觉指标的评价结果之间及其各自所确定的评价等级之间存在较高相关性;（2）A,C及线性声级均可用于衡量低频纯音的不愉悦度,三者的衡量效果基本一致;（3）不同频率低频纯音的不愉悦度随声压级的变化趋势不同。     

Hawking radiation as tunnelling from arbitrarily dimensional Reissner-Nordstrom de Sitter black hole

This paper extends Parikh-Wilzcek＇s recent work, which treats the Hawking radiation as a semi-classical tunnelling process from the event horizon of four dimensional Schwarzshild and Reissner-Nordstrom black holes, to that of arbitrarily dimensional Reissner-Nordstrom de Sitter black hole. The result shows that the tunnelling rate is related to the change of Bekenstein-Hawking entropy and the factually radiant spectrum is no longer precisely thermal after taking the dynamical black hole background and energy conservation into account, but is consistent with the underlying unitary theory and then satisfies the first law of the black hole thermodynamics. Meanwhile, in Parikh-Wilzcek＇s framework, this paper points out that the information conservation is only suitable for the reversible process but in highly unstable evaporating black hole （irreversible process） the information loss is possible.