Time dependent analysis of finite buffer fluid flows and risk models with a dividend barrier

Based on the matrix-analytic approach to fluid flows initiated by Ramaswami, we develop an efficient time dependent analysis for a general Markov modulated fluid flow model with a finite buffer and an arbitrary initial fluid level at time 0. We also apply this to an insurance risk model with a dividend barrier and a general Markovian arrival process of claims with possible dependencies in successive inter-claim intervals and in claim sizes. We demonstrate the implementability and accuracy of our algorithms through a set of numerical examples that could also serve as test cases for comparing other solution approaches.      

On inequalities of Lieb-Thirring type

Applying the method proposed by Kashin for proving inequalities of Lieb-Thirring type for orthonormal systems, we prove a similar inequality in the multidimensional case.     

Two-sided bounds for the distribution of the deficit at ruin in the renewal risk model

We obtain lower and upper bounds for the severity of ruin in the renewal (Sparre Andersen) model of risk theory. We present two types of bounds: (i) bounds applicable generally; and (ii) exponential bounds for the case where the adjustment coefficient of the risk process exists. Many of these bounds are obtained using existing bounds and the integral equation for the severity of ruin.     

THE DIMENSION FOR RANDOM SUB-SELF-SIMILAR SET

In this article,the Hausdorff dimension and exact Hausdorff measure function of any random sub-self-similar set are obtained under some reasonable conditions.Several examples are given at the end.     

影响西安市燃气出租车发展变量的统计分析

燃气汽车规模化发展是解决城市环境污染的一个主要途径.以西安市燃气出租车发展问卷调查结果为依据,利用因子分析法对影响燃气出租车发展的变量进行分类.总结出影响燃气出租车发展的八个重要指标,覆涵了政府、加气站、司机个人等方面.     

不确定性因素对我国农村居民现金消费支出的影响分析

本文根据1978—2003年中国农村居民现金消费支出数据,综合考虑影响消费的主要因素来研究中国农村居民的现金消费行为。与以往研究不同的是,对于影响消费支出的不确定性因素,本文不是采用某个具体变量进行近似替代,而是采用刻画不确定性的条件异方差来描述。文章的结论是农村居民现金消费支出的主要影响因素并非收入,而是利率和不确定性因素,不确定性因素在1996年后表现得尤为突出。     

艾滋病防治资源投入的效果分析

基于GOALS模型的基本思想,建立了效果分析模型,并针对两种不同的资金分配方案,模拟了两种方案对2006—2010年某地艾滋病流行的影响,并对模拟结果进行了分析.     

Measurability criteria for fuzzy random vectors

Fuzzy random vector is a measurable map from a probability space to a collection of fuzzy vectors. Our aim in this paper is to discuss the measurability criteria for fuzzy random vectors, and show that under mild assumption, the measurability criteria for upper semicontinuous fuzzy random vectors can be expressed in several different but equivalent formulations. Finally, applying the obtained results, we resolve an open problem about the relationship between fuzzy random vectors and fuzzy random variables.     

On the convergence rate and optimization of a numerical method with splitting of boundary conditions for the stokes system in a spherical layer in the axisymmetric case: Modification for thick layers

The convergence rate of a fast-converging second-order accurate iterative method with splitting of boundary conditions constructed by the authors for solving an axisymmetric Dirichlet boundary value problem for the Stokes system in a spherical gap is studied numerically. For R/r exceeding about 30, where r and R are the radii of the inner and outer boundary spheres, it is established that the convergence rate of the method is lower (and considerably lower for large R/r) than the convergence rate of its differential version. For this reason, a really simpler, more slowly converging modification of the original method is constructed on the differential level and a finite-element implementation of this modification is built. Numerical experiments have revealed that this modification has the same convergence rate as its differential counterpart for R/r of up to 5 × 10³. When the multigrid method is used to solve the split and auxiliary boundary value problems arising at iterations, the modification is more efficient than the original method starting from R/r ～ 30 and is considerably more efficient for large values of R/r. It is also established that the convergence rates of both methods depend little on the stretching coefficient η of circularly rectangular mesh cells in a range of η that is well sufficient for effective use of the multigrid method for arbitrary values of R/r smaller than ～ 5 × 10³.     

有限长FGM圆筒的热/机应力的解析解

利用微分方程的级数求解方法,分析了两端简支的有限长功能梯度圆筒的轴对称稳态热弹性问题,推导出了稳态温度场与应力场的解析解。分析中采用指数函数模型来描述FGM圆筒中材料性能在厚度方向的连续变化,同时忽略温度对材料性能的影响。另外,论文以金属钼和多铝红柱石制成的功能梯度圆筒为例,给出了稳态温度场和应力场的数值结果。