On the covariance of the level sizes in random recursive trees

In this paper we study the covariance structure of the number of nodes k and l steps away from the root in random recursive trees. We give an analytic expression valid for all k, l and tree sizes N. The fraction of nodes k steps away from the root is a random probability distribution in k. The expression for the covariances allows us to show that the total variation distance between this (random) probability distribution and its mean converges in probability to zero. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Random Struct. Alg., 20: 519–539, 2002     

基于SVM局部后验概率融合方法研究

研究了基于支持向量机的后验概率的应用,提出了对样本集进行分解,以产生局部后验概率,根据模式的稳健性对局部后验概率进行凸组合融合的方法.     

Chaotic oscillations and noise transformations in a simple dissipative system with delayed feedback

We analyze the statistical behavior of signals in nonlinear circuits with delayed feedback in the presence of external Markovian noise. For the special class of circuits with intense phase mixing we develop an approach for the computation of the probability distributions and multitime correlation functions based on the random phase approximation. Both Gaussian and Kubo-Andersen models of external noise statistics are analyzed and the existence of the stationary (asymptotic) random process in the long-time limit is shown. We demonstrate that a nonlinear system with chaotic behavior becomes a noise amplifier with specific statistical transformation properties.     

Degree distribution of the greatest common divisor of polynomials over 𝔽q

We study the degree distribution of the greatest common divisor of two or more random polynomials over a finite field ??_q. We provide estimates for several parameters like number of distinct common irreducible factors, number of irreducible factors counting repetitions, and total degree of the gcd of two or more polynomials. We show that the limiting distribution of a random variable counting the total degree of the gcd is geometric and that the distributions of random variables counting the number of common factors (with and without repetitions) are very close to Poisson distributions when q is large. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Random Struct. Alg., 2006     

Bayesian Probabilities and the Histories Algebra

We attempt a justification of a generalisation of the consistent histories programme using a notion of probability that is valid for all complete sets of history propositions. This consists of introducing Cox's axioms of probability theory and showing that our candidate notion of probability obeys them. We also give a generalisation of Bayes' theorem and comment upon how Bayesianism should be useful for the quantum gravity/cosmology programmes. PACS: 02.50.Cw;03.65.Ta;04.60.-m.     

B—模糊集合代数和广义互信息公式

基于两种概率的区分，推导出了一个广义Shannon熵公式和一个广义互信息公式。后者和模糊性有关，并且柯用于语言和感觉中的信息度量。为了由原子语句为真的条件概率求出合语句为真的条件概率，提出了一个遵循存尔运算的模糊集合代数。所谓的模糊信息被还原为概率信息。新的理论在经典理论－概率论，集合论及Shannon信息论－的基础上容易理解。     

Wait-and-switch stochastic model of the non-Debye relaxation. Derivation of the Burr survival probability

Stochastic mechanism of relaxation, in which a dipole waits until a favourable condition for reorientation exists, is discussed. Assuming that an imposed direction of a dipole moment may be changed when a migrating defect reaches the dipole, we present a mathematically rigorous scheme relating the local random characteristics of a macroscopic system to its effective relaxation behaviour. We derive a relaxation function (the Burr survival probability) that is characterized by the stretched exponential or the power-law behaviour.     

有序分组资料的线性趋势检验的确切概率计算

有序分组资料的线性趋势检验主要用于检验几个二项总体反应率的线性趋势；在医学与生物学中最典型的用途是研究剂量和反应的关系． 如果用Ｚ检验来代替通常在本检验中所用的卡方检验，就可容易地导出本检验的确切概率计算方法，和其他２×Ｃ有序列联表有着相同的形式．本文给出了该检验的确切概率计算方法．     

复合广义齐次Poisson过程的多险种破产概率

本文推广了经典的复合泊松风险模型，建立了两类复合广义齐次poisson过程的多险种破产模型．对于新模型，我们得到了初始资本为u的破产概率φ(u)的精确表达式以及特殊情况下φ(0)的表达式，并且导出了调节系数方程和调节系数R的上下界．