Variational Bayesian Inference for Nonlinear Hawkes Process with Gaussian Process Self-Effects

Traditionally, Hawkes processes are used to model time-continuous point processes with history dependence. Here, we propose an extended model where the self-effects are of both excitatory and inhibitory types and follow a Gaussian Process. Whereas previous work either relies on a less flexible parameterization of the model, or requires a large amount of data, our formulation allows for both a flexible model and learning when data are scarce. We continue the line of work of Bayesian inference for Hawkes processes, and derive an inference algorithm by performing inference on an aggregated sum of Gaussian Processes. Approximate Bayesian inference is achieved via data augmentation, and we describe a mean-field variational inference approach to learn the model parameters. To demonstrate the flexibility of the model we apply our methodology on data from different domains and compare it to previously reported results.     

合肥光源慢加速过程中高频系统的调节

合肥光源是一台专用同步辐射光源,它在低能注入积累束流,然后同步地把束流加速到高能并在储存环中稳定运行。在加速过程中,粒子的同步辐射能量损失迅速增加,束流负载效应发生变化,需要相应地调节高频系统参数保持束流稳定。讨论了合肥光源加速过程中高频系统可能的两种高频系统调节方式以及高能情况下高频系统的最佳运行状态。     

随机中子动力学及其数值模拟研究进展

随机中子动力学是核动力设计和核反应堆安全中的重要课题,本文从随机中子动力学的基础概念和研究方法出发,介绍随机中子动力学研究的历史发展和研究现状.裂变中子与光子的多重性是反应堆零功率中子噪声主要来源,对中子涨落的方程描述及其求解,演化出零功率中子噪声与功率反应堆噪声的随机理论.随机中子动力学的重要应用包括反应性微观测量、功率反应堆噪声测量和分析、核临界漂移分析和核材料识别与检测等.在半个多世纪的研究中,以脉冲堆点火过程的脉冲爆发等待时间分布为代表的随机性,一直缺乏定量分析方法和工具.直到近几年,模拟随机中子动力学过程的广义半马尔科夫过程模拟方法取得了重要进展,很好地揭示了脉冲堆实验中子点火规律.最后讨论随机中子动力学研究中有待解决的研究课题.     

大学物理实验数据分析与处理软件的研究与实现

本文针对开发计算机数据分析与处理软件来提高实验效率,保证实验教学的质量,介绍了软件的主要功能以及软件开发中遇到的一些问题和解决办法     

旋涂法制备氧化锆介质层及其在薄膜晶体管中的应用

采用旋涂法制备了氧化锆介质层薄膜,重点讨论了退火温度以及旋涂转速对薄膜性能的影响及作用机制。研究发现高温后退火一方面使得氧化锆水合物脱水形成氧化锆,另一方面促使氧化锆薄膜结晶。此外,转速较高时,其变化对薄膜厚度及粗糙度无显著影响。当转速为5 000 r/min、退火温度为300℃时,制备的绝缘层厚度具有良好的厚度均匀性,粗糙度为0.7 nm,漏电流为3.13×10^-5 A/cm²（电场强度1 MV/cm）。最终,利用ZrO₂薄膜作为栅极绝缘层,在玻璃基板上制备了铟镓锌氧化物-薄膜晶体管（IGZO-TFT）,其迁移率为6.5 cm²/（V·s）,开关比为2×10⁴。     

Mean first passage time of active Brownian particle in one dimension

We investigate the mean first passage time of an active Brownian particle in one dimension using numerical simulations. The activity in one dimension is modelled as a two state model; the particle moves with a constant propulsion strength but its orientation switches from one state to other as in a random telegraphic process. We study the influence of a finite resetting rate r on the mean first passage time to a fixed target of a single free active Brownian particle and map this result using an effective diffusion process. As in the case of a passive Brownian particle, we can find an optimal resetting rate r* for an active Brownian particle for which the target is found with the minimum average time. In the case of the presence of an external potential, we find good agreement between the theory and numerical simulations using an effective potential approach.     

A non-thermal chemical synthesis of hydrophilic and amorphous cobalt oxide films for supercapacitor application

Present work explored a room temperature, simple and low cost chemical route for the preparation of hydrophilic cobalt oxide films from alkaline cobalt chloride (CoCl₂:6H₂O) and double distilled water precursor solutions. As-deposited cobalt oxide films showed amorphous nature, which is one of the prime requirements for supercapacitor, as confirmed from X-ray diffraction studies. Changes in direct band gap energy and electrical resistivity of as-deposited cobalt oxide films were confirmed after annealing. Spherical grains of about 40-50 nm diameters were uniformly distributed over the substrate surface. Surface wettability studied in contact with liquid interface, showed hydrophilic nature as water contact angle was <90°. Finally, presence of cobalt-oxygen covalent bond was observed from Raman shift experiment.     

小型平板CPL蒸发器预热驱动过程研究

分析了小型平板CPL蒸发器毛细多孔芯上下表面温差对启动的影响,建立了蒸发器满液启动的数学模型.结果表明,对不同的金属外壁,多孔芯上下表面平均温差存在一个最大值,铜壁时,温差较小,侧壁效应明显;采用不锈钢壁及上壁铜、侧壁下壁不锈钢时,温差大,侧壁效应小;采用不锈钢外壁时蒸发器加热面的温度过高.上壁采用导热系数大、侧壁下壁为导热系数小的金属对小型平板CPL蒸发器的正常启动以及降低加热表面温度非常有利.     

再谈静电能的损失

本文从暂态过程的角度和能流的观点分析和讨论电容器并联过程中能量的损失问题.