灰色Verhulst神经网络组合预测区域空域流量

能够对区域空域的流量做出准确的预测,可以为空中交通管理部门协调航班运行,减缓空域内航路的拥堵提供重要依据.运用灰色Verhulst模型与神经网络的组合模型对区域航班流量进行预测,并结合华东地区飞行流量的数据样本训练并测试模型.结果显示,由组合模型得出的流量预测值与实际值较吻合,说明组合模型比单种预测方法能够更为准确地对区域空域流量做出预测.     

0Interacting model of new agegraphic dark energy:observational constraints and age problem

Many dark energy models fail to pass the cosmic age test because of the old quasar APM 08279+5255 at redshift z=3.91,the ΛCDMmodel and holographic dark energy models being no exception.Inthis paper,we focus onthe topic of the age problem inthe new agegraphic dark energy(NADE)model.We determine the age of the universe in the NADE model by fitting the observational data,including type Ia supernovae(SNIa),baryon acoustic oscillations(BAO)and the cosmic microwave background(CMB).We find that the NADE model also...     

Influence of the mode of deformation on recrystallisation kinetics in Nickel through experiments,theory and phase field model

Abstract

In this paper, we report the influence of the mode of deformation on recrystallisation kinetics through experiments, theory and a phase field model. Ni samples of 99.6% purity are subjected to torsion and rolling at two equivalent plastic strains and the recrystallisation kinetics and microstructure are compared experimentally. Due to significant differences in the distributions of the nuclei and stored energy for the same equivalent strain, large differences are observed in the recrystallisation kinetics of rolled and torsion-tested samples. Next, a multi-phase field model is developed in order to understand and predict the kinetics and microstructural evolution. The coarse-grained free energy parameters of the phase field model are taken to be a function of the stored energy. In order to account for the observed differences in recrystallisation kinetics, the phase field mobility parameter is a required constitutive input. The mobility is calculated by developing a mean field model of the recrystallisation process assuming that the strain free nuclei grow in a uniform stored energy field. The activation energy calculated from the mobilities obtained from the mean field calculation compares very well with the activation energy obtained from the kinetics of recrystallisation. The recrystallisation kinetics and microstructure as characterised by grain size distribution obtained from the phase field simulations match the experimental results to good accord. The novel combination of experiments, phase field simulations and mean field model facilitates a quantitative prediction of the microstructural evolution and kinetics.     

Nonlinearity of muscle stiffness

In this letter, a comparison between three types (two linear and one nonlinear) of models of skeletal muscle stiffness is shown. Results are compared with experimental data for biceps brachii in the case of muscle stretching and with the Hill equation for a biological muscle. It is shown that results for nonlinear stiffness model in case of length-force relationship fits to the experimental data.     

13C NMR quantification of mono and diacylglycerols obtained through the solvent‐free lipase‐catalyzed esterification of saturated fatty acids

In the present investigation, we studied the enzymatic synthesis of monoacylglycerols (MAG) and diacylglycerols (DAG) via the esterification of saturated fatty acids (stearic, palmitic and an industrial residue containing 87% palmitic acid) and glycerol in a solvent‐free system. Three immobilized lipases (Lipozyme RM IM, Lipozyme TL IM and Novozym 435) and different reaction conditions were evaluated. Under the optimal reaction conditions, esterifications catalyzed by Lipozyme RM IM resulted in a mixture of MAG and DAG at high conversion rates for all of the substrates. In addition, except for the reaction of industrial residue at atmospheric pressure, all of these products met the World Health Organization and European Union directives for acylglycerol mixtures for use in food applications. The products were quantified by ¹³C NMR, with the aid of an external reference signal which was generated from a sealed coaxial tube filled with acetonitrile‐d3. After calibrating the area of this signal using the classical external reference method, the same coaxial tube was used repeatedly to quantify the reaction products. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A thermodynamic and dynamic subgrid closure model for two‐material cells

A general and robust subgrid closure model for two‐material cells is proposed. The conservative quantities of the entire cell are apportioned between two materials, and then, pressure and velocity are fully or partially equilibrated by modeling subgrid wave interactions. An unconditionally stable and entropy‐satisfying solution of the processes has been successfully found. The solution is valid for arbitrary level of relaxation. The model is numerically designed with care for general materials and is computationally efficient without recourse to subgrid iterations or subcycling in time. The model is implemented and tested in the Lagrange‐remap framework. Two interesting results are observed in 1D tests. First, on the basis of the closure model without any pressure and velocity relaxation, a material interface can be resolved without creating numerical oscillations and/or large nonphysical jumps in the problem of the modified Sod shock tube. Second, the overheating problem seen near the wall surface can be solved by the present entropy‐satisfying closure model. The generality, robustness, and efficiency of the model make it useful in principle in algorithms, such as ALE methods, volume of fluid methods, and even some mixture models, for compressible two‐phase flow computations. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Liquid crystal mixtures for potential infrared applications

Liquid crystals (LCs) with diazo linkages have high dielectric and optical anisotropy. Two newly synthesized liquid crystalline compounds were dissolved in room temperature LC hosts, E7 and PTTP-24/36, to assess their properties. It was found that these mixtures have higher birefringence, larger dielectric anisotropy, and better elastic properties than the hosts. Satisfactory viscoelastic coefficients were also obtained for these mixtures, showing that they are promising LC materials for applications in the near IR region.     

Do some chemotaxis-growth models possess Lyapunov functionals?

In spirit of a result by W. Alt from 1980 we give some sufficient criteria that guarantee the existence of Lyapunov functionals for parabolic cross-diffusion models including chemotaxis-growth models with non-diffusive chemotactic signals (resp. with non-diffusive memory).     

Bayesian Estimation for the Order of INAR(q) Mo del

In this paper, we consider the problem of determining the order of INAR(q) model on the basis of the Bayesian estimation theory. The Bayesian es-timator for the order is given with respect to a squared-error loss function. The consistency of the estimator is discussed. The results of a simulation study for the estimation method are presented.