Optimal volume-corrected laplace-metropolis method

The article provides a refinement for the volume-corrected Laplace-Metropolis estimator of the marginal likelihood of DiCiccioet al. The correction volume of probability α in DiCiccioet al. is fixed and suggested to take the value α=0.05. In this article α is selected based on an asymptotic analysis to minimize the mean square relative error (MSRE). This optimal choice of α is shown to be invariant under linear transformations. The invariance property leads to easy implementation for multivariate problems. An implementation procedure is provided for practical use. A simulation study and a real data example are presented.     

基于流率入树枝向量行列式算法的循环经济系统增长反馈分析

设计了江西省萍乡市兰坡村“猪-沼-粮”循环经济系统工程的流率入树模型,并利用流率入树枝向量行列式算法得到了系统的反馈环,在反馈环基础上,构造了系统增长基模,得到结论,以沼气工程（沼肥）为纽带,发展养殖业能实现生猪养殖、稻谷种植和蔬菜种植之间的良性循环,能够达到稻谷增产和收入增长,在微观层面上实现粮食安全和农民增收双赢。     

随机环境马氏链上一类集合的分形维数

假设{Xn}是随机环境的马氏链，引入Hopf Markov链，在此基础上定义了绕积Markov链，用此方法，将正则马氏链下一类集合的分形维数的结果推广到了随机环境马氏链下一类集合，并且获得了相应的结论．     

横向型企业集群供应链关系模型研究

在分析横向型企业集群供应链特点的基础上,侧重于从物流方面阐述了横向型企业集群内制造商与其上下游企业间的供应链关系,以及制造商与制造商之间的供应链关系.同时结合当前横向型企业集群存在的问题,从改善其供应链关系的角度构建了水平集成型虚拟组织供应链模型,并给出了一个应用案例.     

Capacity Constrained Transit Assignment with Common Lines

This paper proposes the use of absorbing Markov chains to solve the capacity constrained transit network loading problem taking common lines into account. The approach handles congested transit networks, where some passengers will not be able to board because of the absence of sufficient space. The model also handles the common lines problem, where choice of route depends on frequency of arrivals. The mathematical formulation of the problem is presented together with a numerical example. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

有向图上的随机游动

设G=(V,Г)是有向图,G上的随机游动X(G)定义如下:位于某个顶点上的一个粒子将以等概率转移到该顶点的所有后继顶点.令M(j,n)表示随机游动X(G)在前n步内访问顶点j的平均次数,用W(j)表示随机游动X(G)到达顶点j所需要的平均步效.我们对M(j,n)和W(j)的值进行了估计,证明了M(j,n)=O(n),并给出了W(j)的上界.     

关于任意随机变量序列泛函的强极限定理

本文在k是固定的正整数，{fn}是R^k 1上的Borel可测函数列时，得到了任意随机变量序列{Xrn≥0}的泛函{fn(Xn-k,…,Xn)}的强极限定理，它是Chung的关于独立随机变量序列的强大数律的推广，作为推论，得到了k重非齐次马尔科夫链的一类强极限定理．     

分布式配送系统在运输时间均匀分布条件下的性能分析

本文在运输时间不确定的前提下，对分布式配送系统在两个部件和最终产品早到无限制的情形下建立了随机优化模型。我们在极小化库存费用的同时以满足定时送货要求为目标，讨论了如何确定运输提前期，并给出了敏感性分析结果。     

A queueing system with linear repeated attempts,bernoulli schedule and feedback

We analyse a single-server retrial queueing system with infinite buffer, Poisson arrivals, general distribution of service time and linear retrial policy. If an arriving customer finds the server occupied, he joins with probabilityp a retrial group (called orbit) and with complementary probabilityq a priority queue in order to be served. After the customer is served completely, he will decide either to return to the priority queue for another service with probability ϑ or to leave the system forever with probability =1−ϑ, where 0≤ϑ<1. We study the ergodicity of the embedded Markov chain, its stationary distribution function and the joint generating function of the number of customers in both groups in the steady-state regime. Moreover, we obtain the generating function of system size distribution, which generalizes the well-knownPollaczek-Khinchin formula. Also we obtain a stochastic decomposition law for our queueing system and as an application we study the asymptotic behaviour under high rate of retrials. The results agree with known special cases. Finally, we give numerical examples to illustrate the effect of the parameters on several performance characteristics.