Smoothness in Bayesian Non-parametric Regression with Wavelets

Consider the classical nonparametric regression problem y_i = f(t_i) + _ii = 1,...,n where t_i = i/n, and _i are i.i.d. zero mean normal with variance ². The aim is to estimate the true function f which is assumed to belong to the smoothness class described by the Besov space B _pq ^q . These are functions belonging to L_p with derivatives up to order s, in L_p sense. The parameter q controls a further finer degree of smoothness. In a Bayesian setting, a prior on B _pq ^q is chosen following Abramovich, Sapatinas and Silverman (1998). We show that the optimal Bayesian estimator of f is then also a.s. in B _pq ^q if the loss function is chosen to be the Besov norm of B _pq ^q . Because it is impossible to compute this optimal Bayesian estimator analytically, we propose a stochastic algorithm based on an approximation of the Bayesian risk and simulated annealing. Some simulations are presented to show that the algorithm performs well and that the new estimator is competitive when compared to the more standard posterior mean.     

Hydrogen adsorption on Mo1−xRex(110) (x=0–0.25) surfaces

The effects of adsorbed H on the Mo_1−xRe_x(110), x=0, 0.05, 0.15, and 0.25, surfaces have been investigated using low-energy electron diffraction (LEED) and high-resolution electron energy loss spectroscopy (HREELS). For the x=0.15 alloy only, a c(2×2) LEED pattern is observed at a coverage Θ0.25 ML. A (2×2) pattern is observed for H coverages around Θ0.5 ML from surfaces with x=0, 0.05, and 0.15. Both c(2×2) and (2×2) patterns are attributed to reconstruction of the substrate. At higher coverages, a (1×1) pattern is observed. For the alloy surface with x=0.25, only a (1×1) pattern is obtained for all H coverages. Two H vibrations are observed in HREELS spectra for all Re concentrations, which shift to higher energies at intermediate coverages. Both peaks exhibit an isotopic shift, confirming their assignment to hydrogen. For Re concentrations of x=0.15 and higher, a third HREELS peak appears at 50 meV as H (D) coverage approaches saturation. This peak does not shift in energy with isotopic substitution, yet cannot be explained by contamination. The intrinsic width of the loss peaks depends on the Re concentration in the surface region and becomes broader with increasing x. This broadening can be attributed to surface inhomogeneity, but may also reflect increased delocalization of the adsorbed hydrogen atom.     

Reduction of AC losses applying novel resistive interfilamentary carbonate barriers in multifilamentary Bi(2223) tapes

Hysteresis losses and coupling losses, a main component of the AC losses in Bi(2223) tapes, can effectively be reduced by enhancing the resistivity of the matrix material between the filaments and applying a filament twist. Since through alloying the sheath, as using AgAu(8 wt.%), the resistivity can only be raised by a factor <10 (77 K), a new conductor configuration with a quite novel composite matrix having resistive SrCO₃ barriers inside the Ag matrix between the filaments was developed. These new barriers, a cheap and commercial material, withstand the tape annealing, do not react with the superconductor, sinter dense and have a good bonding to Ag. Applying two different preparation techniques for 19 filament prototype tapes, critical current densities up to 20.7 kA cm⁻² were achieved. We report on tape preparation, the effect on the phase texture and the superconducting properties of such barrier tapes.     

Three-Dimensional Analytical Models for Virus Transport in Saturated Porous Media

Analytical models for virus transport in saturated, homogeneous porous media are developed. The models account for three-dimensional dispersion in a uniform flow field, and first-order inactivation of suspended and deposited viruses with different inactivation rate coefficients. Virus deposition onto solid particles is described by two different processes: nonequilibrium adsorption which is applicable to viruses behaving as solutes; and colloid filtration which is applicable to viruses behaving as colloids. The governing virus transport equations are solved analytically by employing Laplace/Fourier transform techniques. Instantaneous and continuous/periodic virus loadings from a point source are examined.     

Shrinkage estimators of the location parameter for certain spherically symmetric distributions

We consider estimation of a location vector for particular subclasses of spherically symmetric distributions in the presence of a known or unknown scale parameter. Specifically, for these spherically symmetric distributions we obtain slightly more general conditions and larger classes of estimators than Brandwein and Strawderman (1991,Ann. Statist.,19, 1639–1650) under which estimators of the formX +ag(X) dominateX for quadratic loss, concave functions of quadratic loss and general quadratic loss.Research supported by NSF grant DMS-88-22622     

Single-phase AC losses in prototype HTS conductors for superconducting power transmission lines

We report single-phase AC loss measurements on 8-, 4-, and 3-layer, multi-strand, HTS prototype conductors for power transmission lines. We use both calorimetric and electrical techniques. The agreement between the two techniques suggests that the interlayer current distribution in 1-m long conductors are representative of those in long conductors. The losses for the 8- and 4-layer conductors are in rough agreement, with the 8-layer losses being somewhat lower. The 3-layer conductor losses are substantially higher — probably due to unbalanced azimuthal currents for this configuration.     

产品开发决策的灵敏性分析

文章着重研究了市场需求服从正态分布时参数估计误差变化对产品开发决策正确性的影响。通过实例分析，得到了处理这类问题的方法。文章进而给出了需求为有限方差与数学期望的一般随机量的处理方法，还给出了对Poisson变量的分析公式。     

A class of loss functions of catenary form

The catenary form of loss function is considered in the framework of Bayesian decision theory. The mathematical tractability of this form seems to be unrecognized; it contains quadratic loss as a limiting case. For various probability distributions expressions are given for posterior analysis, and limiting properties are investigated.     

Aqueous flat-cells perpendicular to the electric field for use in electron paramagnetic resonance spectroscopy, II: design

This paper builds on the work of Mett and Hyde [J. Magn. Reson. 165 (2003) 137]. Various aqueous flat-cell geometries in the perpendicular orientation have been studied using Ansoft High Frequency Structure Simulator (version 9.0, Pittsburgh, PA) and Computer Simulation Technology Microwave Studio (version 5.0, Wellesley Hills, MA). The analytic theory of Mett and Hyde has been refined to predict optimum dimensions of multiple sample cell structures including the effect of the sample holder dielectric properties and the interaction of the cells with each other on EPR signal strength. From these calculations and simulations we propose a practical multiple cell sample structure for use in commercial rectangular TE102 cavities that yields 2.0-2.3 times higher sensitivity relative to a single flat-cell in the nodal orientation. We also describe a modified TE102 resonator design with square rather than cylindrical sample-access stacks that is predicted to give a factor of 2.2-2.7 enhancement in EPR signal strength of a single flat-cell in the nodal orientation. These signal enhancements are predicted with sample holders fabricated from polytetrafluoroethylene. Additional improvement in EPR signal of up to 75% can be achieved by using sample holder materials with lower dielectric constants.