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51.
Isyaku Muhammad Xingang Wang Changyou Li Mingming Yan Miaoxin Chang 《Entropy (Basel, Switzerland)》2020,22(11)
This paper discussed the estimation of stress-strength reliability parameter based on complete samples when the stress-strength are two independent Poisson half logistic random variables (PHLD). We have addressed the estimation of R in the general case and when the scale parameter is common. The classical and Bayesian estimation (BE) techniques of R are studied. The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and its asymptotic distributions are obtained; an approximate asymptotic confidence interval of R is computed using the asymptotic distribution. The non-parametric percentile bootstrap and student’s bootstrap confidence interval of R are discussed. The Bayes estimators of R are computed using a gamma prior and discussed under various loss functions such as the square error loss function (SEL), absolute error loss function (AEL), linear exponential error loss function (LINEX), generalized entropy error loss function (GEL) and maximum a posteriori (MAP). The Metropolis–Hastings algorithm is used to estimate the posterior distributions of the estimators of R. The highest posterior density (HPD) credible interval is constructed based on the SEL. Monte Carlo simulations are used to numerically analyze the performance of the MLE and Bayes estimators, the results were quite satisfactory based on their mean square error (MSE) and confidence interval. Finally, we used two real data studies to demonstrate the performance of the proposed estimation techniques in practice and to illustrate how PHLD is a good candidate in reliability studies. 相似文献
52.
Ivan Žežula 《Applications of Mathematics》1997,42(1):57-69
We consider a multivariate regression (growth curve) model of the form
, where
and
are unknown scalar covariance components. In the case of replicated observations, we derive the explicit form of the locally best estimators of the covariance components under normality and asymptotic confidence ellipsoids for certain linear functions of the first order parameters {B
ij} estimating simultaneously the first and the second order parameters. 相似文献
53.
死亡率预测是人口预测、长寿风险度量以及寿险公司产品定价和风险管理的基础。在死亡率预测模型中,Lee—Carter模型被广泛采用,但关于Lee-Carter模型的理论分布函数、期望和方差等分布特征,并没有专门的研究。本文在文献研究的基础上,对Lee-Carter模型进行了完整的理论研究,给出了完整的Lee-Carter模型理论分布和区间预测表达式,为相关研究提供了可靠的理论依据。同时,对传统的Lee-Carter预测区间估计方法和文中给出的区间预测估计方法进行了对比研究,发现使用传统Lee-Carter预测区间估计方法得到的预测区间较窄,对长寿风险存在低估,在预测时间较短时,这种低估更严重。 相似文献
54.
N. Mukhopadhyay 《Journal of multivariate analysis》1999,68(2):463
We consider the classical fixed-size confidence region estimation problem for the mean vectorμin theNp(μ, Σ) population where Σ is unknown but positive definite. We writeλ1for the largest characteristic root of Σ and assume thatλ1is simple. Moreover, we suppose that, in many practical applications, we will often have available a numberλ*(>0) and that we can assumeλ1>λ*. Given this addi- tional, and yet very minimal, knowledge regardingλ1, the two-stage procedure of Chatterjee (Calcutta Statist. Assoc. Bull.8(1959a), 121–148;9(1959b), 20–28;11(1962), 144–159) is revised appropriately. The highlight in this paper involves the verification ofsecond-order propertiesassociated with such revised two-stage estimation techniques, along with the maintenance of the nominal confidence coefficient. 相似文献
55.
We investigate properties of square-Gaussian stochastic processes. These processes are formed by quadratic forms of Gaussian processes or by limits in the mean square of quadratic forms of Gaussian processes. Special classes of these processes are determined and investigated. For processes from these classes estimates of large deviation probability are obtained. These estimates we use to estimate the probability that Gaussian vector-valued process leave some region on some interval of time. We construct asymptotic confidence regions for estimates of covariance functions of vector-valued Gaussian processes. Criterion of hypothesis testing on covariance functions of these processes is constructed. 相似文献
56.
57.
58.
Suppose that there are two nonparametric populations x and y with missing data on both of them. We are interested in constructing confidence intervals on the quantile differences of
x and y. Random imputation is used. Empirical likelihood confidence intervals on the differences are constructed.
Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 10661003) and Natural Science Foundation of Guangxi (No.
0728092). 相似文献
59.
A new method is proposed of constructing mortality forecasts. This parameterized approach utilizes Generalized Linear Models (GLMs), based on heteroscedastic Poisson (non-additive) error structures, and using an orthonormal polynomial design matrix. Principal Component (PC) analysis is then applied to the cross-sectional fitted parameters. The produced model can be viewed either as a one-factor parameterized model where the time series are the fitted parameters, or as a principal component model, namely a log-bilinear hierarchical statistical association model of Goodman [Goodman, L.A., 1991. Measures, models, and graphical displays in the analysis of cross-classified data. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 86(416), 1085-1111] or equivalently as a generalized Lee-Carter model with p interaction terms. Mortality forecasts are obtained by applying dynamic linear regression models to the PCs. Two applications are presented: Sweden (1751-2006) and Greece (1957-2006). 相似文献
60.