On a class of new and practical performance indexes for approximation of fold bifurcations of nonlinear power flow equations

Efficient measurement of the performance index (the distance of a loading parameter from the voltage collapse point) is one of the key problems in power system operations and planning and such an index indicates the severity of a power system with regard to voltage collapse. There exist many interesting methods and ideas to compute this index. However, some successful methods are not yet mathematically justified while other mathematically sound methods are often proposed directly based on the bifurcation theory and they require the initial stationary state to be too close to the unknown turning point to make the underlying methods practical.This paper first gives a survey of several popular methods for estimating the fold bifurcation point including the continuation methods, bifurcation methods and the test function methods (Seydel's direct solution methods, the tangent vector methods and the reduced Jacobian method) and discuss their relative advantages and problems. Test functions are usually based on scaling of the determinant of the Jacobian matrix and it is generally not clear how to determine the behaviour of such functions. As the underlying nonlinear equations are of a particular type, this allows us to do a new analysis of the determinants of the Jacobian and its submatrices in this paper. Following the analysis, we demonstrate how to construct a class of test functions with a predictable analytical behaviour so that a suitable index can be produced. Finally, examples of two test functions from this class are proposed. For several standard IEEE test systems, promising numerical results have been achieved.     

N指标d维广义Wiener过程象集的m项代数和的几个性质

设珮犠（狋）：犚犖＋ →犚犱是犖指标犱维广义Ｗｉｅｎｅｒ过程，对任意紧集犈１，…，犈犿犚犖＞ ，该文研究了犿项代数和珮犠（犈１）…珮犠（犈犿）的Ｈａｕｓｄｏｒｆｆ维数，Ｐａｃｋｉｎｇ维数和正的Ｌｅｂｅｓｇｕｅ测度及内点的存在性． 其结果包含并推广了布朗单的结果．     

中国股市长记忆的修正R/S分析

本文在比较各种长记忆检验方法优缺点的基础上,采用修正的R/S分析检验我国沪深两股市日收益和日绝对收益序列的长记忆性。结果表明在0.05的显著水平下,两股市的日收益序列均无长记忆,但深圳成指日收益序列的记忆长度比上证综指日收益序列的记忆长度长;以日绝对收益序列为代表的波动序列具有较强的长记忆性。     

关于圈的完全正矩阵实现

本文给出了一个关联图为圈的非负、半正定矩阵A为完全正的一个充要条件.我们还证明了这样的矩阵A（当A为完全正时）的分解指数即为A的阶数.     

中国证券市场股指波动的条件异方差特性分析

股指的波动具有持续性、集聚性 ,如何进行判别 ?本文用 Garch模型理论探讨沪深股指的这种条件异方差特征 ,进一步分析波动是否影响股指未来变化 ,以及股市对利好、利空的消息是否存在不对称的反映。同时 ,比较不同类型的股指的共性及差异 ,并对上述现象作了解释和说明。     

信用担保风险的模糊综合评审研究

信用担保机构是连接银行和企业的桥梁，对于改善企业融资环境和拓展银行业务具有重要意义，信用担保风险的评审是担保机构能否生存及有效运行的关键。信用风险的评审机制主观性强，对担保项目进行客观，公正的评审比较困难。本采用模糊数学中的综合判别方法，全面考虑风险评审所涵盖的各种风险指标及其重要度，建立了定性分析与定量分析方法相结合的信用担保风险综合评审模型，为担保机构提供了一种相对科学、客观的评审方法。     

宽带膜厚实时监控过程中膜层折射率的确定方法

为了准确计算出镀膜过程中每层膜的折射率，介绍了实时监控过程中确定膜层折射率的2种方法：一种是由实测的透射比光谱直接反算出膜层的折射率；另一种是用最小二乘法的优化算法实时拟合折射率。试验结果表明：在线反算适合单点监控，所得折射率误差小于2%。然而在实际镀膜过程中,由于宽带内膜层参数误差较大,一般大于25%。为此，采用最小二乘法拟合，即在整个宽光谱范围内采集每个波长点的信息，所得结果误差很小，一般都在2％～5%之间,有时可达到10%,在很大程度上提高了实际镀膜时膜厚监控的精度。     

相变光盘介电薄膜ZnS-SiO2 的微结构和光学特性

采用射频磁控溅射法制备了ZnS-SiO₂ 介电薄膜,利用透射电镜和椭偏仪研究了溅射条件对ZnS-SiO₂薄膜微结构和折射率n的影响.研究表明,ZnS-SiO₂薄膜中存在微小晶粒,大小为2～10 nm的ZnS颗粒分布在SiO₂基体中,当溅射功率和溅射气压变化时,ZnS-SiO₂薄膜的微结构和折射率n发生显著变化,微结构的变化是导致折射率n变化的主要原因,通过优化溅射条件可以制备适用于相变光盘的高质量ZnS-SiO₂介电薄膜.     

Extremes of deterministic sub‐sampled moving averages with heavy‐tailed innovations

Let {X_k}_k?1 be a strictly stationary time series. For a strictly increasing sampling function g:?→? define Y_k=X_g(k) as the deterministic sub‐sampled time series. In this paper, the extreme value theory of {Y_k} is studied when X_k has representation as a moving average driven by heavy‐tailed innovations. Under mild conditions, convergence results for a sequence of point processes based on {Y_k} are proved and extremal properties of the deterministic sub‐sampled time series are derived. In particular, we obtain the limiting distribution of the maximum and the corresponding extremal index. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Index Heuristics for Multiclass M/G/1 Systems with Nonpreemptive Service and Convex Holding Costs

We consider the optimal service control of a multiclass M/G/1 queueing system in which customers are served nonpreemptively and the system cost rate is additive across classes and increasing convex in the numbers present in each class. Following Whittle's approach to a class of restless bandit problems, we develop a Langrangian relaxation of the service control problem which serves to motivate the development of a class of index heuristics. The index for a particular customer class is characterised as a fair charge for service of that class. The paper develops these indices and reports an extensive numerical investigation which exhibits strong performance of the index heuristics for both discounted and average costs.