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11.
A new class of estimators of a “scale” second order parameter 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
For a large class of heavy-tailed distribution functions F in the domain of attraction for maxima of an Extreme Value distribution with tail index γ>0, the function A(t), controlling the speed of convergence of maximum values, linearly normalized, towards a non-degenerate limiting random variable,
may be parameterized as , ρ < 0, β∈ℝ, where β and ρ are second order parameters. The estimation of ρ, the “shape” second order parameter has been extensively addressed in the literature, but practically nothing has been done
related to the estimation of the “scale” second order parameter β. In this paper, and motivated by the importance of a reliable β-estimation in recent reduced bias tail index estimators, we shall deal with such a topic. Under a semi-parametric framework,
we introduce a class of β-estimators and study their consistency. We deal with the conditions enabling us to get the asymptotic normality of the members
of this class, and we illustrate the behaviour of the estimators, through Monte Carlo simulation techniques.
Research partially supported by FCT / POCTI and POCI / FEDER. 相似文献
12.
The current state of using expert system (ES) techniques for statistics is expounded through the difficulties of defining the notion of statistical expert system (SES) and through several well-known examples. The main characteristics of statistical expertise, and particularly the important concept of strategy are emphasized. The current state of SESs is seen in the context of the global trend of the evolution of ES, i.e. within the growth of second generation expert system (SGESs). The knowledge base of these ESs represent an attempt to represent not only experts' knowledge but also the way experts acquire their expertise, thanks to the existence of an underlying model. We show through many examples how far SESs are and/or will be able to be SGESs. 相似文献
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学生在学习"概率统计"课时,常常会产生一些困惑,感到难学,尤其是对概念的理解以及知识间的联系、深化更让部分学生感到抽象、甚至模糊不清.教学中科学运用学生心理发展规律,可以及时有效地消除学生学习中的困惑,澄清模糊认识,提高学习效率,增强教学的实效性. 相似文献
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This paper presents a comprehensive review of the work done, during the 1968–2005, in the application of statistical and intelligent techniques to solve the bankruptcy prediction problem faced by banks and firms. The review is categorized by taking the type of technique applied to solve this problem as an important dimension. Accordingly, the papers are grouped in the following families of techniques: (i) statistical techniques, (ii) neural networks, (iii) case-based reasoning, (iv) decision trees, (iv) operational research, (v) evolutionary approaches, (vi) rough set based techniques, (vii) other techniques subsuming fuzzy logic, support vector machine and isotonic separation and (viii) soft computing subsuming seamless hybridization of all the above-mentioned techniques. Of particular significance is that in each paper, the review highlights the source of data sets, financial ratios used, country of origin, time line of study and the comparative performance of techniques in terms of prediction accuracy wherever available. The review also lists some important directions for future research. 相似文献
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THE 'HYBRID' TECHNIQUE FOR RISK ANALYSIS OF SOME DISEASES 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
51. IntroductionSince the theory of fuszy set was introduced by Lotfi A. Zadeh in 1965, fuzzy techniquehas developed rapidly and has been successfully aPplied into many fields.In receat yeaJrs3 a new and promising way of using the fuzzy technique is combinedwith other deterministic and statistica1 methods. The so-called 'hybrid' technique has beenaPplied to insurance business and achieved positive results (see [1, 2], etc.).Based on the data obtained from a survey recelltly made in a commun… 相似文献
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Based on the data obtained from a survey recently made in Shanghai, this paper presents the hybrid technique for risk analysis and evaluation of some diseases. After determination of main risk factors of these diseases by analysis of variance, the authors introduce a new concept ‘Illness Fuzzy Set‘ and use fuzzy comprehensive evaluation to evaluate the risk of suffering from a disease for residents. Optimal technique is used to determinethe weights wi in fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, and a new method ‘Improved Information Distribution‘ is also introduced for the treatment of small sample problem. It is shown that the results obtained by using the hybrid technique are better than by using single fuzzy technique or single statistical method. 相似文献
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基于PP技术、Bootstrap方法和数论方法,对于k个总体协方差矩阵相等的检验,给出了PP型检验统计量,并讨论了它的渐近分布和Bootstrap逼近,最后给出了一些实际模拟结果。 相似文献