基于近红外光谱技术的石油组分定量分析新方法

针对石油化工产品生产控制和质量检查的需要,为提高测定产品组成的效率,将近红外光谱法作为基础测定方法,以直馏柴油、加氢精制柴油和催化裂化柴油为校正模型的训练样本,测定其中饱和烃、胶质、单环芳烃、双环芳烃、三环芳烃和环烷烃的组成,论述了采用模糊神经网络建立校正模型测定石油化工产品组成的可行性。基于dSPACE硬件平台,用验证样本对模糊神经网络校正模型进行了检验,实验结果表明,该方法响应快、误差小、鲁棒性强,在近红外长波区内,校正样品和验证样品的均方误差小于10-6。该方法可用于石油化工产品的生产工艺研究中。     

Epidemic spreading in complex networks

The study of epidemic spreading in complex networks is currently a hot topic and a large body of results have been achieved. In this paper, we briefly review our contributions to this field, which includes the underlying mechanism of rumor propagation, the epidemic spreading in community networks, the influence of varying topology, and the influence of mobility of agents. Also, some future directions are pointed out.      

Routing strategies in traffic network and phase transition in network traffic flow

The dynamics of information traffic over scale-free networks has been investigated systematically. A series of routing strategies of data packets have been proposed, including the local routing strategy, the next-nearest-neighbour routing strategy, and the mixed routing strategy based on local static and dynamic information. The capacity of the network can be quantified by the phase transition from free flow state to congestion state. The optimal parameter values of each model leading to the highest efficiency of scale-free networked traffic systems have been found. Moreover, we have found hysteretic loop in networked traffic systems with finite packets delivering ability. Such hysteretic loop indicates the existence of the bi-stable state in the traffic dynamics over scale-free networks.      

Reliable computing with unreliable components: Using separable environments to stabilize long-term information storage

How, in the face of both intrinsic and extrinsic volatility, can unconventional computing fabrics store information over arbitrarily long periods? Here, we argue that the predictable structure of many realistic environments, both natural and artificial, can be used to maintain useful categorical boundaries even when the computational fabric itself is inherently volatile and the inputs and outputs are partially stochastic. As a concrete example, we consider the storage of binary classifications in connectionist networks, although the underlying principles should be applicable to other unconventional computing paradigms. Specifically, we demonstrate that an unsupervised, activity dependent plasticity rule, AHAH (Anti-Hebbian-And-Hebbian), allows binary classifications to remain stable even when the underlying synaptic weights are subject to random noise. When embedded in environments composed of separable features, the weight vector is restricted by the AHAH rule to local attractors representing stable partitions of the input space, allowing unsupervised recovery of stored binary classifications following random perturbations that leave the system in the same basin of attraction. We conclude that the stability of long-term memories may depend not so much on the reliability of the underlying substrate, but rather on the reproducible structure of the environment itself, suggesting a new paradigm for reliable computing with unreliable components.     

Characterizing the influence of reinforcing resin on the structure and the mechanical response of filled isoprene rubber

In the present study, a specific type of reinforcing resin behavior is investigated using various mechanical approaches as well as microscopic techniques such as transmission electron microscopy and atomic force microscopy. Based on these observations, it could be concluded that the reinforcing resin introduces a synergistic effect with carbon black in order to strengthen the system. This is implied since the percolation threshold is significantly reduced and the morphology of the filler aggregates changes toward higher compactness, i.e., an increase of volume-to-size ratio with the addition of resin.     

Censored lifetime learning: Optimal Bayesian age-replacement policies

We consider a sequence of age-replacement problems with a general lifetime distribution parametrized by an a-priori unknown parameter. There is a trade-off: Preventive replacements are censored but cheap, whereas corrective replacements are uncensored but costly observations of the lifetime distribution. We first analyze the optimal policy for a finite sequence and establish some properties. We then propose a myopic Bayesian policy that almost surely learns the unknown parameter and converges to the optimal policy with full knowledge of the parameter.     

Design and build an elastic crosslinked network to strengthen and toughen soybean-meal based bioadhesive using organo-sepiolite and greener crosslinker triglycidylamine

Poor water resistance and curing layer brittleness are significant challenges of greener soybean meal (SM) adhesive promotion and application. In this study an elastic network was built to crosslink the SM adhesive and improve the cured layer toughness of the resultant adhesive. Long-chain organo-sepiolite (OSEP) was first prepared by compound modification using KH-560 and KH-602 silane coupling agents. Triglycidylamine (TGA), a greener crosslinking agent with a large number of effective epoxy functional groups, was then synthesized. SM-based adhesives were fabricated using SM, OSEP and TGA. Results indicated that an elastic network was fabricated by the cross-linked reaction of SM, OSEP, and TGA. The elastic network effectively improved the toughness of the resultant adhesive. The wet shear strength of the plywood (PlyW) bonded by SM with 1% OSEP (SM/TGA/OSEP-1 adhesive) increased by 60% to 1.25 MPa relative to that of the SM/TGA adhesive. This study provided a greener, simple and cheap method improving the toughness and wet shear strength of SM-based adhesive, which contributes to the industrialized application of the product.     

A class of loss functions of catenary form

The catenary form of loss function is considered in the framework of Bayesian decision theory. The mathematical tractability of this form seems to be unrecognized; it contains quadratic loss as a limiting case. For various probability distributions expressions are given for posterior analysis, and limiting properties are investigated.     

Bayesian Nonparametric Estimation for Reinforced Markov Renewal Processes

Starting from the definitions and the properties of reinforced renewal processes and reinforced Markov renewal processes, we characterize, via exchangeability and de Finetti’s representation theorem, a prior that consists of a family of Dirichlet distributions on the space of Markov transition matrices and beta-Stacy processes on distribution functions. Then, we show that this family is conjugate and give some estimate results.

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差分吸收光谱系统监测污染物浓度实时预测模型

差分吸收光谱(DOAS)法是一种有效的监测大气污染气体浓度的光学遥感方法,不仅有好的时间分辨率,而且测量灵敏度也很高。但是由于遥测系统处于复杂的大气环境中,各种干扰因素以及恶劣的气候条件,都会对系统产生影响。针对现有实时、在线监测差分吸收光谱系统中存在的不足,作者提出了一种基于改进Elman网络的实时预测模型。利用逐步回归筛选预测因子,不仅降低了预测网络的复杂程度,而且增强了系统的预测实时性。利用带自适应学习率的动态BP算法对改进的Elman网络进行训练,使预测系统能更好地辨识要预测的差分吸收光谱系统,该模型能较准确地对DOAS系统监测污染物数据进行实时跟踪监控,一定程度上弥补了遥测系统的不足。