Unit-linked life insurance policies: Optimal hedging in partially observable market models

In this paper we investigate the hedging problem of a unit-linked life insurance contract via the local risk-minimization approach, when the insurer has a restricted information on the market. In particular, we consider an endowment insurance contract, that is a combination of a term insurance policy and a pure endowment, whose final value depends on the trend of a stock market where the premia the policyholder pays are invested. To allow for mutual dependence between the financial and the insurance markets, we use the progressive enlargement of filtration approach. We assume that the stock price process dynamics depends on an exogenous unobservable stochastic factor that also influences the mortality rate of the policyholder. We characterize the optimal hedging strategy in terms of the integrand in the Galtchouk–Kunita–Watanabe decomposition of the insurance claim with respect to the minimal martingale measure and the available information flow. We provide an explicit formula by means of predictable projection of the corresponding hedging strategy under full information with respect to the natural filtration of the risky asset price and the minimal martingale measure. Finally, we discuss applications in a Markovian setting via filtering.     

On Cones of Nonnegative Quartic Forms

Historically, much of the theory and practice in nonlinear optimization has revolved around the quadratic models. Though quadratic functions are nonlinear polynomials, they are well structured and many of them are found easy to deal with. Limitations of the quadratics, however, become increasingly binding as higher-degree nonlinearity is imperative in modern applications of optimization. In recent years, one observes a surge of research activities in polynomial optimization, and modeling with quartic or higher-degree polynomial functions has been more commonly accepted. On the theoretical side, there are also major recent progresses on polynomial functions and optimization. For instance, Ahmadi et al. (Math Program Ser A 137:453–476, 2013) proved that checking the convexity of a quartic polynomial is strongly NP-hard in general, which settles a long-standing open question. In this paper, we proceed to study six fundamentally important convex cones of quartic forms in the space of super-symmetric tensors, including the cone of nonnegative quartic forms, the sums of squared forms, the convex quartic forms, and the sums of fourth-power forms. It turns out that these convex cones coagulate into a chain in a decreasing order with varying complexity status. Potential applications of these results to solve highly nonlinear and/or combinatorial optimization problems are discussed.     

A complete characterization of disjunctive conic cuts for mixed integer second order cone optimization

We study the convex hull of the intersection of a disjunctive set defined by parallel hyperplanes and the feasible set of a mixed integer second order cone optimization (MISOCO) problem. We extend our prior work on disjunctive conic cuts (DCCs), which has thus far been restricted to the case in which the intersection of the hyperplanes and the feasible set is bounded. Using a similar technique, we show that one can extend our previous results to the case in which that intersection is unbounded. We provide a complete characterization in closed form of the conic inequalities required to describe the convex hull when the hyperplanes defining the disjunction are parallel.     

Uncertain partial differential equation with application to heat conduction

This paper first presents a tool of uncertain partial differential equation, which is a type of partial differential equations driven by Liu processes. As an application of uncertain partial differential equation, uncertain heat equation whose noise of heat source is described by Liu process is investigated. Moreover, the analytic solution of uncertain heat equation is derived and the inverse uncertainty distribution of solution is explored. This paper also presents a paradox of stochastic heat equation.     

Maximum likelihood estimation for stochastic volatility in mean models with heavy‐tailed distributions

In this article, we introduce a likelihood‐based estimation method for the stochastic volatility in mean (SVM) model with scale mixtures of normal (SMN) distributions. Our estimation method is based on the fact that the powerful hidden Markov model (HMM) machinery can be applied in order to evaluate an arbitrarily accurate approximation of the likelihood of an SVM model with SMN distributions. Likelihood‐based estimation of the parameters of stochastic volatility models, in general, and SVM models with SMN distributions, in particular, is usually regarded as challenging as the likelihood is a high‐dimensional multiple integral. However, the HMM approximation, which is very easy to implement, makes numerical maximum of the likelihood feasible and leads to simple formulae for forecast distributions, for computing appropriately defined residuals, and for decoding, that is, estimating the volatility of the process. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Inductive tools for connected delta-matroids and multimatroids

We prove a splitter theorem for tight multimatroids, generalizing the corresponding result for matroids, obtained independently by Brylawski and Seymour. Further corollaries give splitter theorems for delta-matroids and ribbon graphs.     

Matrix-analytic solution of infinite,finite and level-dependent second-order fluid models

This paper presents a matrix-analytic solution for second-order Markov fluid models (also known as Markov-modulated Brownian motion) with level-dependent behavior. A set of thresholds is given that divide the fluid buffer into homogeneous regimes. The generator matrix of the background Markov chain, the fluid rates (drifts) and the variances can be regime dependent. The model allows the mixing of second-order states (with positive variance) and first-order states (with zero variance) and states with zero drift. The behavior at the upper and lower boundary can be reflecting, absorbing, or a combination of them. In every regime, the solution is expressed as a matrix-exponential combination, whose matrix parameters are given by the minimal nonnegative solution of matrix quadratic equations that can be obtained by any of the well-known solution methods available for quasi birth death processes. The probability masses and the initial vectors of the matrix-exponential terms are the solutions of a set of linear equations. However, to have the necessary number of equations, new relations are required for the level boundary behavior, relations that were not needed in first-order level dependent and in homogeneous (non-level-dependent) second-order fluid models. The method presented can solve systems with hundreds of states and hundreds of thresholds without numerical issues.     

On the construction of non-affine jump-diffusion models

We describe a method for construction of jump analogues of certain one-dimensional diffusion processes satisfying solvable stochastic differential equations. The method is based on the reduction of the original stochastic differential equations to the ones with linear diffusion coefficients, which are reducible to the associated ordinary differential equations, by using the appropriate integrating factor processes. The analogues are constructed by means of adding the jump components linearly into the reduced stochastic differential equations. We illustrate the method by constructing jump analogues of several diffusion processes and expand the notion of market price of risk to the resulting non-affine jump-diffusion models.     

Vertices of FFLV polytopes

FFLV polytopes describe monomial bases in irreducible representations of \(\mathfrak {sl}_n\) and \(\mathfrak {sp}_{2n}\). We study various sets of vertices of FFLV polytopes. First, we consider the special linear case. We prove the locality of the set of vertices with respect to the type A Dynkin diagram. Then we describe all the permutation vertices and after that we describe all the simple vertices and prove that their number is equal to the large Schröder number. Finally, we derive analogous results for symplectic Lie algebras.     

Couplings and Strong Approximations to Time-Dependent Empirical Processes Based on I.I.D. Fractional Brownian Motions

We define a time-dependent empirical process based on n i.i.d. fractional Brownian motions and establish Gaussian couplings and strong approximations to it by Gaussian processes. They lead to functional laws of the iterated logarithm for this process.