Network traffic prediction based on a new time series model

Fast and accurate methods for predicting traffic properties and trend are essential for dynamic network resource management and congestion control. With the aim of performing online and feasible prediction of network traffic, this paper proposes a novel time series model, named adaptive autoregressive (AAR). This model is built upon an adaptive memory‐shortening technique and an adaptive‐order selection method originally developed by this study. Compared to the conventional one‐step ahead prediction using traditional Box–Jenkins time series models (e.g. AR, MA, ARMA, ARIMA and ARFIMA), performance results obtained from actual Internet traffic traces have demonstrated that the proposed AAR model is able to support online prediction of dynamic network traffic with reasonable accuracy and relatively low computation complexity. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

广义频率响应函数的鲁棒建模新方法

针对基于非线性谱分析的故障诊断技术的需要,研究了非线性系统的广义频率响应函数的鲁棒在线建模方 法。首先将次元分析算法应用于Volterra级数模型的辨识,并通过对此算法的修正,得到了一种改进的Volterra系统的鲁 棒辨识算法。对其鲁棒性能进行的分析表明,改进算法的鲁棒抗噪性能被明显提高。在此基础上,提出了一种广义频率响 应函数的两步鲁棒建模新方法。仿真实验表明,该方法具有良好的鲁棒收敛性能,能够有效解决GFRF的在线建模问题。     

Stability control of the electrooptic effect with new maleimide copolymers containing photoreactive tricyanopyrrolidene‐based chromophores

New photocrosslinkable maleimide copolymers have been synthesized by the attachment of a tricyanopyrrolidene‐based chromophore. The 2‐(3‐cyano‐4‐(2‐{4‐[hexyl‐(6‐hydroxy‐hexyl)‐amino]‐phenyl}‐vinyl)‐5‐oxo‐1‐{4‐[4‐(3‐oxo‐3‐phenyl‐propenyl)‐ phenoxy]‐butyl}‐1,5‐dihydro‐pyrrol‐2‐ylidene)‐malononitrile chromophore exhibits nonlinear optical activity and contains a chalcone moiety that is sensitive to UV light (λ = 330–360 nm) for crosslink formation. The maleimide monomers have also been functionalized with chalcone moieties. The resultant copolymers exhibit great processability, and one of them shows a maximum electrooptic coefficient of 90 pm/V at 1300 nm. We could control the thermal stability of the electrooptic coefficient with the newly synthesized photoreactive copolymers successfully. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. J Polym Sci Part A: Polym Chem 45: 531–542, 2007     

Microstructural evolution of decagonal quasicrystal in the undercooled Al72Ni12Co16 alloy melts

The microstructure evolution of decagonal quasicrystals in Al₇₂Ni₁₂Co₁₆ alloy was investigated by the electromagnetic melting and cyclic superheating method. Single-phase decagonal quasicrystals have been obtained when the undercoolings were larger than 60 K. The decagonal quasicrystals formed at various undercoolings show different microstructural morphologies. Furthermore, grain refinement was found near the undercooling of 120 K. Based on current thermodynamic and dendrite growth theories, a dimensionless superheating parameter was adopted to explain the effect of processing conditions on the microstructure of Al₇₂Ni₁₂Co₁₆ alloy. The result indicate that the fine equiaxied microstructure of decagonal quasicrystal (D-phase) formed near on undercooling of 120 K originates from the break-up of dendrites.     

在可交换四元数空间中的双曲方程的特征边值问题

讨论了一阶和二阶双曲复方程的特征边值问题.对其中两种线性方程,分别在不同的情况下获得通解和可解条件.而对于拟线性的二阶双曲复方程,证明了解的存在性和唯一性.     

基于预前控制异步电机直接转矩控制方案的研究

在传统异步电动机直接转矩控制方案中，由于负载的变化规律不可预测，因此其常会带来较大的开关频率的变化，为此提出了一种基于预前控制的异步电动机直接转矩控制的方法。该方法依据前一个周期的磁链和转矩误差，对下一个开关周期所应施加到异步电动机的定子电压矢量进行预测，然后借助空间矢量PWM的方法，合成此开关电压矢量。样机实验结果表明，该方案不但能维持逆变器的开关频率基本恒定，而且还具有比传统直接转矩控制更为优良的动静态特性。     

NI联手同行"华山论剑"角逐测试测量市场

十几年前，NI提出“软件就是仪器”概念，引起了传统仪器产业的一场新革命。可是，现今各大测量仪器厂商仍力主创新传统仪器。那么，在这个盛行“做生意不简单，苦日子是常态”的现象之下，NI又是如何联手其系统联盟商和同行企业一步步角逐测量市场？也许，NI要成功，必须比对手更会执行，更了解客户!     

德尔威:用承诺与负责任和经销商唇齿相依--采访台湾威华电子股份有限公司行销处长康孟智和北京德尔威科技总经理谢育铮

编者按: 在仪器市场,大多数仪器制造商采用经销商代理产品来拓展市场,而经销商也通常是通过代理多个品牌的仪器来谋生存.那么,当这种渠道模式不可避免,而决定品牌的胜负关键又从"知名度"转移到"认同度"的时候,品牌厂商则要持续性学习与思考--如何保持与经销商之间唇齿相依的关系.因为,经销商已经成为另一类"媒体"!     

Synthesis and characterization of highly fluorescent europium functionalized β-diketonate complexes

Several functionalized β-diketones and their europium complexes have been synthesized and characterized. The UV-Vis absorption, photoluminescent spectra, thermal and electrochemical properties of these complexes were investigated. The thermal analysis shows that the complexes have good thermal stability. By introducing the number of extended phenyl rings we succeeded in obtaining europium complexes with extremely high photoluminescent quantum yield (PLQY) in solution due to strong site isolation effect.     

Interfacial structure and electrical properties of LaAlO3 gate dielectric films on Si by metalorganic chemical vapor deposition

LaAlO₃ (LAO) gate dielectric films were deposited on Si substrates by low-pressure metalorganic chemical vapor deposition. The interfacial structure and composition distribution were investigated by high-resolution transmission electron microscopy (HRTEM), X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS), secondary-ion mass spectroscopy (SIMS), and Auger-electron spectroscopy (AES). HRTEM confirms that there exists an interfacial layer between LAO and Si in most samples. AES, SIMS, and XPS analyses indicate that the interfacial layer is compositionally graded La–Al silicate and the Al element is severely deficient close to the Si surface. Electrical properties of LAO films were evaluated. No evident difference in electrical properties between samples with and without native SiO₂ layers was observed. The electrical properties are discussed in terms of LAO growth mechanisms, in relation to the interfacial structure. PACS 73.40.Qv; 81.15.Gh; 77.55.+f; 68.35.-p