Improving forecasting performance by employing the Taguchi method

To satisfy the volatile nature of today’s markets, businesses require a significant reduction in product development lead times. Consequently, the ability to develop precise product sales forecasts is of fundamental importance to decision-makers. Over the years, many forecasting techniques of varying capabilities have been introduced. The precise extent of their influences, and the interactions between them, has never been fully clarified, although various forecasting factors have been explored in previous studies. Accordingly, this study adopts the Taguchi method to calibrate the controllable factors of a forecasting model. An L₉(3⁴) inner orthogonal array is constructed for the controllable factors of data period, horizon length, and number of observations required. An experimental design is then performed to establish the appropriate levels for each factor. At the same time, an L₄(2³) outer orthogonal array is used to consider the inherited parameters of forecasting method as the noise factors of Taguchi method simultaneously. An illustrated example, employing data from a power company, serves to demonstrate the thesis. The results show that the proposed model permits the construction of a highly efficient forecasting model through the suggested data collection method.     

带利息力和干扰的批量索赔一般到达风险模型

本文在经典风险模型的基础上,将索赔到达过程推广为更新过程,索赔可以批量到达,且带有常数利息力和Brown运动干扰项,得到一个新的风险模型,运用Markov骨架过程的方法,得出盈余过程的瞬时分布和生存概率.     

Analysis of Antennas with PBG Substrate

The use of photonic materials has been used in the theory of optical waves. The PBG (Photonic Band Gap) theory and material, was developed recently for optical frequencies and can be easily applied to millimeter waves, microwaves and planar antenna frequencies. The presence of photonic materials as substrate in antennas has some good characteristics such as, supression of light spontaneous emission and suppression of surface waves, allowing the application in planar antenna array. In this work an elaborate analysis using the full wave Transverse Transmission Line - TTL method, that provides efficient and concise results is applied to the planar antennas array with PBG substrate.     

$M$-半群的直觉$(S,T)$-模糊$M$-子半群的性质

K.T.Atanassov在1986年首先引入直觉模糊集的概念,本文利用s-范数和t-范数,引入M-半群的直觉(S,T)-模糊M-子半群的概念,刻画其性质和特征,我们再进一步给出了直觉(S,T)-直积的概念,并由此探讨了一些有意义的相关结论。     

Molecular dynamics simulation of P-V-T relationship of ZnO with rock-salt structure using pair-wise interactions

Molecular dynamics (MD) method is used to investigate the behavior of the pressure-volume-temperature (P-V-T) relationship, lattice constant and thermal expansivity for ZnO with rock-salt structure at high pressures and temperatures. The interionic potential is taken to be the sum of pair-wise additive Coulomb, van der Waals attraction, and repulsive interactions. The isothermal and isobaric properties are discussed from the corresponding P-V-T relationship, and it is shown that the MD simulation is successful in reproducing the measured volumes of ZnO over a wide range of temperature and pressure. Meanwhile, the equations of state parameters including lattice constant, linear thermal expansion coefficient, and isothermal bulk modulus are calculated and compared with the available experimental data and the latest theoretical results. At an extended pressure and temperature range, P-V-T relationship, lattice constant, and linear thermal expansion coefficient have been predicted. The structural and thermodynamic properties of ZnO with rock-salt structure are summarized in the pressure 0-100 GPa ranges and the temperature up to 3100 K.     

The Monitoring System Using FOBG Sensor for The Health of the Rocket

A novel heath monitoring system of the rocket based on fiber optic Bragg gratings is brought forward, its component units and working principle are also described.     

锂锰尖晶石红外光谱的研究

本文对锂锰尖晶石的红外光谱进行了研究。由于锂锰尖晶石的晶体结构属于Fd3m空间群,锂离子占据四面体空隙(8a位置),锰离子占据八面体空隙(16d位置)。根据群论的知识,对锂锰尖晶石晶体中离子的振动方式与红外活性之间的内在关系进行了讨论。并列出了锂锰尖晶石的红外光谱实验数据。通过理论分析,我们推断:位于618.6和501.5cm~(-1)的红外吸收带分别来源于Mn(Ⅳ)-O和Mn(Ⅲ)-O键在晶体中的不对称伸缩振动(单元为Mn(Ⅳ)O_6和Mn(Ⅲ)O_6八面体),位于1124cm~(-1)的弱红外吸收带来源于Li-O键的不对称伸缩(单元为LiO_4四面体)。还有一些低于400cm~(-1)的可能吸收带在400～4000cm~(-1)范围内未能检测到。这一结论的可靠性通过锂锰尖晶石和掺杂的锂锰尖晶石的红外光谱实验数据得到证实。     

Foams and surface rheological properties of β-casein, gliadin and glycinin

Interfacial rheological properties and their suitability for foam production and stability of two vegetable proteins were studied and compared to β-casein. Proteins used ranged from flexible to rigid/globular in the order of β-casein, gliadin and soy glycinin. Experiments were performed at pH 6.7. Network forming properties were characterised by the surface dilational modulus (determined with the ring trough) and the critical falling film length (L_still) at which a stagnant protein film will break. Gliadin had the highest dilational modulus, followed by glycinin and β-casein, whereas glycinin formed the strongest film against fracture in the overflowing cylinder. The rate of decrease in the surface tension was studied at the air–water (Wilhelmy plate method) and the oil–water interface (bursting membrane) and the dynamic surface tension during compression and expansion in the caterpillar. Gliadin had the lowest equilibrium interfacial tensions and β-casein the lowest dynamic surface tension during expansion. Hardly any foam could be formed at a concentration of 0.1 g/l by shaking. At a concentration of 1.4 g/l most foam was formed by β-casein, followed by gliadin and glycinin. It seems that in the first place the rate of adsorption is important for foam formation. For the vegetable proteins, adsorption was slow. This resulted in lower foamability, especially for glycinin.     

Ag-Bi高温超导线材转变温度的测量

介绍了 Bi系银包套高温超导线材的电阻温度特性 ,用测电阻和电磁感应两种方法分别测量了材料的超导转变温度 ,电磁感应法测量曲线上台阶的出现表明材料中 Bi(2 2 2 3)和 Bi(2 2 12 )两相的存在。     

Synthesis of single crystalline layered lithium manganese oxide nanorods

Single-crystalline layered lithium manganese oxide nanorods were prepared via a low-temperature molten salt synthesis method. The material was investigated by a variety of techniques, including X-ray powder diffraction (XRD), transmission electron microscopy (TEM), and X-ray photoelectron spectrum (XPS).