关于随机变量期望方差的两个注记

文献[1]中给出了有关条件期望与三个随机变量独立的两个充要条件,本文通过几个反例说明其充分性是不成立的.分析了文献[4]中一个定理证明存在的错误,并给出了新的证明.     

A Multinomial Approximation Approach for the Finite Time Survival Probability Under the Markov-modulated Risk Model

In this paper, we consider the problem of computing different types of finite time survival probabilities for a Markov-Modulated risk model and a Markov-Modulated risk model with reinsurance, both with varying premium rates. We use the multinomial approximation scheme to derive an efficient recursive algorithm to compute finite time survival probabilities and finite time draw-down survival probabilities. Numerical results show that by comparing with MCMC approximation, discretize approximation and diffusion approximation methods, the proposed scheme performs accurate results in all the considered cases and with better computation efficiency.

     

Some problems of linear differential equations on abstract spaces and unbounded perturbations of linear operator semigroup

This paper is a survey for development of linear distributed parameter system. At first we point out some questions existing in current study of control theory for the L^p linear system with an unbounded control operator and an unbounded observation operator, such as stabilization problem and observer theory that are closely relevant to state feedback operator. After then we survey briefly some results on relevant problems that are related to solvability of linear differential equations in general Banach space and semigroup perturbations. As a principle, we propose a concept of admissible state feedback operator for system (A, B). Finally we give an existence result of admissible state feedback operators, including semigroup generation and the equivalent conditions of admissibility of state feedback operators, for an L^p well-posed system.     

Determination of the atmospheric neutrino spectra with the Fréjus detector

The combined analysis of the final event set of data on neutrino interactions inside the detector, upward going stopping muons and horizontal muons recorded in the Fréjus experiment is presented. The absolute atmospheric neutrino spectra in the energy range for electron neutrinos and for muon neutrinos are determined. Based on the parameterization of Volkova for thev ^µ a spectral index of =2.66±0.05 is obtained from the ratio of horizontal muons over upward going stopping muons and from the measurement of the energy loss of horizontal muons inside the detector. The neutrino spectra are compared with various flux calculations. They do not show any evidence for neutrino oscillations in agreement with earlier analyses of the Fréjus data.Now atUniversity of Michigan, Ann Arbor, USA     

PP回归方法在预测模型中的应用－用PP回归建立“积累”“消费”模型

本文利用ＰＰ回归方法,建立“积累”“消费”回归模型,并与最小二乘法拟合的线性回归模型相比较,说明用ＰＰ回归建立的模型预测精度较高．