ON JENSEN’S INEQUALITY FOR g-EXPECTATION

Briand et al. gave a counterexample showing that given g, Jensen's inequalityfor g-expectation usually does not hold in general. This paper proves that Jensen'sinequality for g-expectation holds in general if and only if the generator g(t,z) issuper-homogeneous in z. In particular, g is not necessarily convex in z.     

A gradient-related algorithm with inexact line searches

In this paper, a new gradient-related algorithm for solving large-scale unconstrained optimization problems is proposed. The new algorithm is a kind of line search method. The basic idea is to choose a combination of the current gradient and some previous search directions as a new search direction and to find a step-size by using various inexact line searches. Using more information at the current iterative step may improve the performance of the algorithm. This motivates us to find some new gradient algorithms which may be more effective than standard conjugate gradient methods. Uniformly gradient-related conception is useful and it can be used to analyze global convergence of the new algorithm. The global convergence and linear convergence rate of the new algorithm are investigated under diverse weak conditions. Numerical experiments show that the new algorithm seems to converge more stably and is superior to other similar methods in many situations.     

基于加权可能性均值的亚式期权模糊定价

主要探讨不确定环境下用模糊集理论处理亚式期权的定价问题.运用梯形模糊数来表示标的资产价格、无风险利率、红利率和波动率,建立了亚式期权的加权可能性均值模糊定价模型,得到连续几何和算术亚式期权的模糊价格公式.最后通过数值例子表明:亚式期权的加权可能性均值模糊定价模型具有很大的灵活性,更符合现实的不确定情况,具有较强的实用价值.     

On the Convergence of Coderivative of SAA Solution Mapping for a Parametric Stochastic Generalized Equation

The aim of this paper is to investigate the convergence properties for Mordukhovich’s coderivative of the solution map of the sample average approximation (SAA) problem for a parametric stochastic generalized equation. It is demonstrated that, under suitable conditions, both the cosmic deviation and the ρ-deviation between the coderivative of the solution mapping to SAA problem and that of the solution mapping to the parametric stochastic generalized equation converge almost surely to zero as the sample size tends to infinity. Moreover, the exponential convergence rate of coderivatives of the solution maps to the SAA parametric generalized equations is established. The results are used to develop sufficient conditions for the consistency of the Lipschitz-like property of the solution map of SAA problem and the consistency of stationary points of the SAA estimator for a stochastic mathematical program with complementarity constraints.     

时间序列预测模型研究综述

介绍了时间序列预测模型的产生和发展,呈现了时间序列模型研究方向的理论、方法和应用,并就未来的发展势态进行了初步的探讨.     

非负定阵元素的扰动和正定完备化

在保持非负定性不变的前提下,本文对矩阵每一元素容许多大的扰动作了进一步的研究, 将本文的结论和C．R．Johnson提出的部分正定阵的正定完备化进行比较,容易发现对已知的正定矩阵求扰动,本文的结论比用C．R.Johnson的正定完备化计算扰动形式上更简单,同时也给出了不同于C．R．Johnson的部分正定阵的正定完备化表示的另外一个公式,推出了这些正定完备化矩阵应具有的若干性质．     

一类偏微分积分方程的Legendre-Galerkin谱方法空间半离散的全局性

本文借助拉普拉斯变换,运用Legendre-Galerkin谱方法来研究一类线性偏积分微分方程的半离散问题,这类问题就出现在比如粘弹性模型中,我们得到了空间半离散的稳定性和收敛性结果。     

基于最小二乘法的GM(1,1)模型在我国猪肉产量预测中的应用研究

猪肉产量受诸多因素影响,因此数据波动性大,并且具有小样本性及贫信息等特点.本文采用基于最小二乘法的GM(1,1)模型对我国未来几年内猪肉产量进行了短期预测.首先,介绍了GM(1,1)模型;然后,通过最小二乘法的原理弱化波动较大的数据,减少随机性,加强规律性,建立基于最小二乘法的GM(1,1)模型;其次,结合2008至2014年我国猪肉产量数据建立预测模型;最后,使用2014年数据对模型的可靠性进行验证,基于最小二乘法的GM(1,1)模型的预测结果更加接近实际值.预测结果显示未来3年中国猪肉产量将持续增加.该模型为其他相关预测提供了理论依据,也便于我国对未来猪肉产品市场进行宏观调控,维持猪肉市场平衡,避免猪肉价格波动风险.