Weather Risk in Offshore Projects

Risk analysis tools have been used to help manage various projects. This paper describes a case study in which an extension to the stochastic project network model was developed for a risk analysis of an oil platform installation, quantifying the possible impact of the weather on the project's schedule. Examination of the weather data suggested the use of a Markov weather model combined with a separate residence time distribution for key states. The weather model was incorporated into the stochastic project network allowing the interactions of the various project uncertainties to be examined. While the weather introduced a significant additional risk to the project, analysis of management's options indicated that much of the risk might be avoided. In particular, the analysis quantified the benefits of scheduling the project start to take advantage of the seasonal variations and hiring heavy duty equipment to operate in more arduous conditions.     

The combined effects of evaporation and quench steps on asymmetric membrane formation by phase inversion

An analysis of the effects of combined evaporation and quench periods on the formation of asymmetric membranes by the phase inversion technique is presented. The model for the evaporation period assumes binary diffusion and includes composition dependence in the mutual diffusion coefficient and free convection mass transfer in the gas phase. The quench period model includes the use of 4 composition-dependent diffusion coefficients and incorporates a modified from of the interface jump mass balance which enables efficient numerical analysis of composition gradients in the film at the beginning of the quench period. Results for the effects of evaporation-period variable, including: evaporation time, initial cast film thickness, casting surface dimension, and vapor-phase composition, clearly indicate that significant effects of the evaporation period on membrane structure formation and its reproducibility occur within 20 seconds.     

Deciding Frattini is NP-complete

We show that it is a NP-complete problem to decide whether a finite poset arises as the (Birkhoff) dual of the Frattini sublattice of some finite distributive lattice.This work was supported in part by Swiss NSF grant 20-32644.91.     

Investigations of potassium-cerium phosphates rich in P2O5

In the ternary system Ce₂O₃-K₂O-P₂O₅, the partial system Ce(PO₃)₃-KPO₃-P₂O₅ was examined by means of differential thermal analysis and powder X-ray diffraction. The phase compositions of the products obtained on various thermal treatments were investigated. The phase diagram of the system Ce(PO₃)₃-KPO₃-P₂O₅ is suggested.

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Zusammenfassung Mittels DTA und Röntgendiffraktion wurde im ternären System Ce₂O₃-K₂O-P₂O₅ das Teilsystem Ce(PO₃)₃-KPO₃-P₂O₅ untersucht. Die Phasenzusammensetzungen der durch verschiedene Erhitzungsvorgänge erhaltenen Produkte wurden untersucht und ein Phasendiagramm für das System Ce(PO₃)₃-KPO₃-P₂O₅ erstellt.

     

Short-range order in miscible polymer blends: A monte carlo study

Local ordering in miscible binary polymer blends with strong attractive interactions between the two types of chains was investigated by computer simulation of allowable conformations on an incompressible cubic lattice. A tendency toward maximum ordering (in which chains pack in alternate parallel rows) is shown by the calculation of pair correlations and in “snapshots” of the mixtures. A specific directional interaction is not necessarily required for ordering. A comparison of these results with those recently obtained using mean-field theory is presented. The heat capacity of mixing was also calculated and found to be positive, with a value close to that reported experimentally.     

Step-strain deformations for viscoelastic fluids: Formulation of a strain-coupling constitutive equation

An integral constitutive equation which includes strain-coupling effects is proposed. The constitutive equation is more general than the K-BKZ equation, and it is shown that this equation can explain various important aspects of double-step stress-relaxation data.     

The evolution of the viscoelastic retardation spectrum during the development of an epoxy resin network

The evolution of the viscoelastic behavior of an epoxy resin at various stages of curing has been followed with the changes in the retardation spectrum. The creep J(t) and recoverable creep compliance J_r(t) curves of the neat epoxy resin Epon l00lF (Shell) were determined at temperatures between 30 and 77°C. The viscosity decreased over 8 orders of magnitude as the temperature was increased. Specimens with eight stages of network development were prepared by reacting all of the epoxy resin's oxirane rings with amine hydrogens from varying ratios of a monofunctional amine (methyl aniline) and a tetrafunctional amine 4,4′-diamino diphenyl sulfone (DDS). Preparations in which 25, 35, and 40% DDS were used did not result in a molecular network, so they were viscoelastic liquids. With 45% DDS, the product had a nascent network and was judged to be just beyond the point of incipient gelation. The remaining preparations from 0.50, 0.60, 0.70, and 1.0 DDS yielded tighter less compliant molecular networks. The creep and recoverable compliance curves were measured over a range of temperatures above the glass transition temperature, T_g. They were reduced to T_g, and retardation spectra L(ln τ) were calculated.     

On the reconstruction index of permutation groups: semiregular groups

Summary. The reconstruction index of all semiregular permutation groups is determined. We show that this index satisfies 3 ￡ r(G, W) ￡ 5 3 \leq \rho(G, \Omega) \leq 5 and we classify the groups in each case.