Improving forecasting performance by employing the Taguchi method

To satisfy the volatile nature of today’s markets, businesses require a significant reduction in product development lead times. Consequently, the ability to develop precise product sales forecasts is of fundamental importance to decision-makers. Over the years, many forecasting techniques of varying capabilities have been introduced. The precise extent of their influences, and the interactions between them, has never been fully clarified, although various forecasting factors have been explored in previous studies. Accordingly, this study adopts the Taguchi method to calibrate the controllable factors of a forecasting model. An L₉(3⁴) inner orthogonal array is constructed for the controllable factors of data period, horizon length, and number of observations required. An experimental design is then performed to establish the appropriate levels for each factor. At the same time, an L₄(2³) outer orthogonal array is used to consider the inherited parameters of forecasting method as the noise factors of Taguchi method simultaneously. An illustrated example, employing data from a power company, serves to demonstrate the thesis. The results show that the proposed model permits the construction of a highly efficient forecasting model through the suggested data collection method.     

Erds方程的全等解

本文运用初等方法给出了Erds方程的所有全等解.     

Hydrolysis of palm kernel olein in AOT-isooctane-water reversed micelles

Rhizopus arrhizus lipase (EC 3.1.1.3; triacylglycerol hydrolase) was used in this study to investigate the hydrolysis of palm kernel olein in AOT-isooctane-water reversed micelle system at W_o = 13, pH = 7, and T = 30?C. The hydrolytic reaction obeys Michaelis-Menten kinetics for substrate concentrations in the range (0.175 and 0.877M). The apparentK _m and V_max for the substrate were 0.397M (equivalent to 9.06% w/v) and 5523 U/mg protein, respectively. Product inhibition with a dissociation constant of the enzyme-product complex,K _I = 9.74 mM, was confirmed. Experimental results from the change of product concentrations with respect to time correlated sufficiently with those predicted theoretically from the rate equation for a reaction time up to 100 min. However, the discrepancy between the observed results and the predicted ones would increase with reaction time. Possible reasons for this deviation were discussed.     

光放大器前置可调光学滤波器

介绍Ｆ－Ｐ干涉滤波器实现中心波长可调的两种机理，给出通过改变腔距来改变中心波工的滤波器的典型结构，并且给出了相应的电压驱动电路，实验表明选择合适的光放大器前置滤波器可以提高系统的灵敏度。     

KrF准分子激光激发掺锗光纤折射率扰动的非线性过程

本文采用了一种简单的功率监测法,观察了KrF准分子激光对掺锗光纤折射率影响的非线性过程。观察到子纤芯折射率扰动过程中非稳定现象、饱和现象和折射率扰动的非线性。     

关于非线性Pochhammer-Chree方程的解

本文研究了弹性杆纵向形变方程:u_(tt)—u_(ttxx)—u_(xx)—(1/3)(u~3)xx=0的椭圆余弦波解,并用Adomian分解法,求出了其初边值问题解.