<Emphasis Type="Italic">L</Emphasis><Subscript>1</Subscript> linear interpolator for missing values in time series

We propose a minimum mean absolute error linear interpolator (MMAELI), based on theL ₁ approach. A linear functional of the observed time series due to non-normal innovations is derived. The solution equation for the coefficients of this linear functional is established in terms of the innovation series. It is found that information implied in the innovation series is useful for the interpolation of missing values. The MMAELIs of the AR(1) model with innovations following mixed normal andt distributions are studied in detail. The MMAELI also approximates the minimum mean squared error linear interpolator (MMSELI) well in mean squared error but outperforms the MMSELI in mean absolute error. An application to a real series is presented. Extensions to the general ARMA model and other time series models are discussed. This research was supported by a CityU Research Grant and Natural Science Foundation of China.     

The components of the Wired Spanning Forest are recurrent

 We show that a.s. all of the connected components of the Wired Spanning Forest are recurrent, proving a conjecture of Benjamini, Lyons, Peres and Schramm. Our analysis relies on a simple martingale involving the effective conductance between the endpoints of an edge in a uniform spanning tree. We believe that this martingale is of independent interest and will find further applications in the study of uniform spanning trees and forests. Received: 20 April 2001 / Revised version: 23 July 2002 / Published online: 14 November     

Non-existence of phase transition of oriented percolation on Sierpinski carpet lattices

 A percolation problem on Sierpinski carpet lattices is considered. It is obtained that the critical probability of oriented percolation is equal to 1. In contrast it was already shown that the critical probability p _c of percolation is strictly less than 1 in Kumagai [9]. This result shows a difference between fractal-like lattice and ℤ ^d lattice. Received: 15 May 2002 / Revised version: 11 October 2002 / Published online: 21 February 2003 Mathematics Subject Classification (2000): Primary: 60K35, 82B43; Secondary: 82B26     

The negative gradient flow for the <Emphasis Type="Italic">L</Emphasis><Superscript>2</Superscript>-integral of Ricci curvature

 In this paper, the negative gradient flow for the L ²-integral of Ricci curvature on a 3-manifold is considered. It is not known whether the solution to this fourth order geometric evolution equation exists, and whether it will develop singularities in finite time. Based on the trick of De Turck and the idea of Hamilton on the flow of Ricci curvature, the local existence on any compact Riemannian manifold is obtained. In addition, the conditions for the occurences of singularities in finite time during the evolution and the asymptotic behavior of the flow on a 3-manifold are discussed. Received: 22 April 2002 / Revised version: 5 January 2003 Published online: 24 April 2003 This work is partially supported by the Foundations of NNSF of China, the Foundation for University Key Teacher by MEC and Shanghai Priority Academic Discipline.     

The speed of biased random walk on percolation clusters

 We consider biased random walk on supercritical percolation clusters in ℤ². We show that the random walk is transient and that there are two speed regimes: If the bias is large enough, the random walk has speed zero, while if the bias is small enough, the speed of the random walk is positive. Received: 20 November 2002 / Revised version: 17 January 2003 Published online: 15 April 2003 Research supported by Microsoft Research graduate fellowship. Research partially supported by the DFG under grant SPP 1033. Research partially supported by NSF grant #DMS-0104073 and by a Miller Professorship at UC Berkeley. Mathematics Subject Classification (2000): 60K37; 60K35; 60G50 Key words or phrases: Percolation – Random walk     

Wiener path integrals and the fundamental solution for the Heisenberg Laplacian

In this paper, we present an explicit calculation of the heat kernel, fundamental solution and Schwartz kernel of the resolvent for the Heisenberg Laplacian using Wiener path integrals and their realizations via the Trotter product formula. This also gives another derivation of mehler’s formula.     

Characterization theorems for the projective space and vector bundle adjunction

 We consider some conditions under which a smooth projective variety X is actually the projective space. We also extend to the case of positive characteristic some results in the theory of vector bundle adjunction. We use methods and techniques of the so called Mori theory, in particular the study of rational curves on projective manifolds. Received: 16 May 2002 / Revised version: 18 November 2002 Published online: 3 March 2003 Mathematics Subject Classification (2000): 14E30, 14J40, 14J45