Rule-based procedures in short-term electricity load forecasting

A short-term load-forecasting system has been developed to predictload demand for the Irish Electricity Supply Board from 1 to10 days in advance. Model output is acceptably accurate at mosttimes, but special days such as public holidays and the Easterweekend etc. require individual treatment. The basic model usedin everyday load forecasting is presented first, and specialdays when this model fails in accuracy are then examined andtreated separately using rule-based procedures. These proceduresare based on identified relationships between weather conditionsand prevailing daily load shapes. Comparisons are made betweenthe forecasts for these special days as given by the standardmodel and the ruled-based procedures.     

非晶Nd-Fe薄膜电阻的温度效应与非晶稳定性

用闪光蒸镀法在77K制备了Nd_xFe_1-x(x=0.06-0.80)非晶薄膜,原位测定了其电阻随温度的变化。结果表明:在0.192和ρ(T)∝T。晶化不是在一个固定的温度,而是在一个温度区间发生。     

Kinetics of zinc(II) cloride extraction with tributyl phosphate

The equilibrium and rate of solvent extraction of zinc chloride complexes from HCl solutions into benzene solutions of tributyl phosphate (TBP) have been studied. The extracted species are discussed in the light of the results. The extraction was found to be first order with respect to both Zn(II) and TBP, and zero order for HCl. The rate-controlling steps are discussed and the rate constants for these reactions are calculated.     

Solution of the 2D ising model on a triangular lattice by the method of auxiliaryq-deformed Grassmann fields

A representation in the form of a functional integral is obtained for the partition function of the inhomogeneous 2D Ising model on a triangular lattice where the coupling parameters are arbitrary functions of coordinates. The method for transforming the partition function into an integral uses an auxiliary six-component Grassmann field in which the Grassmann fields corresponding to one of the components commute with the others. Thus, one pair of components realizes a representation of the q-deformed group SL_q(2, R) with q=–1 and the other two pairs correspond to the usual Grassmann spinors (q=1). An explicit expression in terms of the modified Pfaffian is found for the Gaussian integral over these fields and its relation to the ordinary Grassmann functional integral is established.Translated from Teoreticheskaya i Matematicheskaya Fizika, Vol. 109, No. 3, pp. 441–463, December, 1996.     

Numerical simulation of solar flares

We have developed the Peresvet program for numerical simulation of energy accumulation above active regions. This program solves 3D MHD equations for the compressible plasma with allowance for the dissipative terms. It is shown that the energy can be stored in a layer of current by focusing the photospheric disturbances.