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In developing travel demand models it is generally assumed that the base-year data used in developing the parameters, as well as the forecasted data to be used as independent variables for the design year, are of acceptable quality. The purpose of this paper is to present the application of error propagation theory in assesing the predictive quality of one type of travel demand forecasting model (multinomial logit models) and to demonstrate how error considerations can be used as a tool for identifying the optimal model. The general conclusions of this study are that: (1) it is indeed possible to quantify errors in dependent variables in logit models as a consequence of errors in independent variables; and (2) error consideration can be used as a tool for identifying the optimal model from a set of candidate models. Further research is recommended to develop better insights into the phenomenon of error propagation so that the consideration of errors can be a factor in decisions on model selection. 相似文献
13.
Theoretical and experimental investigations on the performance of micro-perforated -panel absorbers are reviewed in this paper. By reviewing recent research work, this paper reveals a relationship between the maximum absorption coefficient and the limit of the absorption frequency bandwidth. It has been demonstrated that the absorption frequency bandwidth can be extended up to 3 or 4 octaves as the diameters of the micro-holes decrease. This has become possible with the development of the technologies for manufacturing micro-perforated panels, such as laser drilling, powder metallurgy, welded meshing and electro-etching to form micrometer order holes. In this paper, absorption characteristics of such absorbers in random fields and in high sound intensity are discussed both theoretically and experimentally. A new absorbing structure based on micro-perforated-panel absorbers demonstrate experimentally high sound absorption capability. This review shows that the micro-perforated-panel absorber has potentials to be one of ideal absorbing materials in the 21st century. 相似文献
14.
Guofen Yu Yuanci Gao Shenggang Liu Wenxiang Wang Jin Wu 《International Journal of Infrared and Millimeter Waves》2002,23(8):1261-1269
Analysis of the field distributions in a single biological cell under electromagnetic wave is given. With Debye approximation, the dielectric relaxation of each part of the cell, including the extracellular and cellular media, the cell membrane and the nuclear membrane, was taken into account. Making use of some typical parameters for a cell, the voltage across nuclear and cytoplasma membranes under electromagnetic waves are calculated up to millimeter wave frequency range. The calculated result indicates that it is unlikely to generate electroporation by present available millimeter wave sources. 相似文献
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A comprehensive study of the long pulse Nd:YAG laser drilling of multi-layer carbon fibre composites 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
W. S. O. Rodden S. S. Kudesia D. P. Hand J. D. C. Jones 《Optics Communications》2002,210(3-6):319-328
The results of an extensive experimental study of the free running Nd:YAG laser drilling of a multi-layer carbon fibre composite, where adjacent layers have differently orientated fibres, are reported. For holes drilled with the laser operating in fixed-Q mode at 1064 nm, parallel sections of blind holes illustrating discontinuities in the hole size along a given section direction will be shown to occur at the interface between adjacent layers. An explanation for this effect is proposed. Detailed single pulse drilling characteristics will be presented illustrating the exit hole diameter as a function of pulse energy and material thickness. These characteristics illustrate a ‘stable' drilling regime in which the exit hole diameters are least sensitive to changes in pulse energy or material thickness and a less ‘stable' regime in which they are more strongly dependent on these parameters. Drilling characteristics will be given for two different beam qualities, illustrating the greater drilling depth and reduced hole size achievable with an improved beam quality. Finally holes drilled through a 2 mm thick sample of material with multiple pulses are considered. Size distribution curves for entrance and exit holes will be presented. The total energy required (number of pulses × pulse energy) to drill through 2 mm thick material will be reported as a function of pulse energy in stationary air and argon atmospheres and in a partial vacuum, illustrating a threshold energy which is dependent upon the drilling atmosphere. The threshold energies will be discussed with reference to plasma formation and the reactivity of the drilling atmosphere. 相似文献
17.
A three-dimensional quasiclassical trajectory study of the dynamics of the light atom transfer reaction O(3P) + HCl(ν=0)→ OH + Cl was carried out employing two LEPS potential energy surfaces (I and II). Attention was focused mainly on three-dynamical properties; the oscillatory behavior of partial cross sections as a function of collision energy; the rotational excitation of the products; and the influence of reagent rotation on reactivity. Distinct differences were found between surfaces I and II with respect to these properties. The examination of individual trajectories indicated that there is a significant difference in the nature of these surfaces. While surface I is governed by weak repulsive forces, surface II is governed by strong attractive forces which tend to direct the reactants toward a collinear geometry. The present results confirm conclusions reached from an earlier study of the reaction Cl+HCl→ClH+Cl concerning correlations between dynamical properties and features of potential energy surfaces. For surfaces of the type that we termed HREP, since they are of repulsive nature and they lead to highly rotationally excited products, no significant oscillations of partial cross sections are obtained and reagent rotation promotes the reaction. On the other hand, for surfaces of the type that we termed COLD (collinearly directing), since they tend to direct the reactants toward a collinear geometry and form rotationally “cold” products, significant oscillations of partial cross sections are obtained and reagent rotation causes a decline in reactivity. 相似文献
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P. R. Latthe P. S. Shinge Bharati V. Badami P. B. Patil S. N. Holihosur 《Journal of Chemical Sciences》2006,118(3):249-256
3-[4-(Azidocarbonyl)]phenylsydnone (2) obtained from 3-(4-hydrazinocarbonyl) phenylsydnone (1) on Curtius rearrangement with alcohols, water and amines afforded the corresponding carbamates (3a-h), 4,4′-(sydnone-3-yl) diphenyl urea (4) and 4-(heterocyclyl)phenyl ureas (5a-l). Compounds (5a-l) on one-pot ring conversion yielded the 1,3,4-oxadiazolin-2-one derivatives (6a-l), which on reaction with N2H4 gave the 4-amino-1,2,4-triazolin-3-ones (7a-l). All these compounds exhibited moderate antimicrobial activity against the few microbes tested. The carbamates have been
found to be more toxic against fourth instar larvae ofAedes aegypti, in particular, then-butyl derivative (3e). 相似文献