A review of Bayesian dynamic forecasting models: Applications in marketing

We briefly review the main developments of Bayesian dynamic models. The emphasis is on marketing applications. Typical examples in this area are discussed. The concepts of monitoring and intervention are carefully explained with illustrative examples and open source computational routines. We avoid algebraic developments and instead use graphical examples to illustrate theoretical aspects. Two real-world problems using Bayesian dynamic models are discussed. Finally, we describe recent developments and alternative proposals to formally address the dependence when dealing with the modeling of multiple time series.     

Immobilization of Distinctly Capped CdTe Quantum Dots onto Porous Aminated Solid Supports

Immobilization of quantum dots (QDs) onto solid supports could improve their applicability in the development of sensing platforms and solid‐phase reactors by allowing the implementation of reusable surfaces and the execution of repetitive procedures. As the reactivity of QDs relies mostly on their surface chemistry, immobilization could also limit the disruption of solution stability that could prevent stable measurements. Herein, distinct strategies to immobilize QDs onto porous aminated supports, such as physical adsorption and the establishment of chemical linking, were evaluated. This work explores the influence of QD capping and size, concentration, pH, and contact time between the support and the QDs. Maximum QD retention was obtained for physical adsorption assays. Freundlich and Langmuir isotherms were used to analyze the equilibrium data. Gibbs free energy, enthalpy, and entropy were calculated and the stability of immobilized QDs was confirmed.     

Vibrational Dephasing in Ionic Liquids as a Signature of Hydrogen Bonding

Understanding both structure and dynamics is crucial for producing tailor‐made ionic liquids (ILs). We studied the vibrational and structural dynamics of medium versus weakly hydrogen‐bonded C?H groups of the imidazolium ring in ILs of the type [1‐alkyl‐3‐methylimidazolium][bis(trifluoromethanesulfonyl)imide] ([C_nmim][NTf₂]), with n=1, 2, and 8, by time‐resolved coherent anti‐Stokes Raman scattering (CARS) and quantum‐classical hybrid (QCH) simulations. From the time series of the CARS spectra, dephasing times were extracted by modeling the full nonlinear response. From the QCH calculations, pure dephasing times were obtained by analyzing the distribution of transition frequencies. Experiments and calculations reveal larger dephasing rates for the vibrational stretching modes of C(2)?H compared with the more weakly hydrogen‐bonded C(4,5)?H. This finding can be understood in terms of different H‐bonding motifs and the fast interconversion between them. Differences in population relaxation rates are attributed to Fermi resonance interactions.     

Two novel organic–inorganic hybrid materials from tetrachloridometallate(II) salts and 4‐[(E)‐2‐(pyridin‐1‐ium‐2‐yl)ethenyl]pyridinium

Two organic–inorganic hybrid compounds have been prepared by the combination of the 4‐[(E)‐2‐(pyridin‐1‐ium‐2‐yl)ethenyl]pyridinium cation with perhalometallate anions to give 4‐[(E)‐2‐(pyridin‐1‐ium‐2‐yl)ethenyl]pyridinium tetrachloridocobaltate(II), (C₁₂H₁₂N₂)[CoCl₄], (I), and 4‐[(E)‐2‐(pyridin‐1‐ium‐2‐yl)ethenyl]pyridinium tetrachloridozincate(II), (C₁₂H₁₂N₂)[ZnCl₄], (II). The compounds have been structurally characterized by single‐crystal X‐ray diffraction analysis, showing the formation of a three‐dimensional network through X—H...Cl_nM⁻ (X = C, N⁺; n = 1, 2; M = Co^II, Zn^II) hydrogen‐bonding interactions and π–π stacking interactions. The title compounds were also characterized by FT–IR spectroscopy and thermogravimetric analysis (TGA).     

Isoguanine and 5‐Methyl‐Isocytosine Bases,In Vitro and In Vivo

The synthesis, base‐pairing properties and in vitro and in vivo characteristics of 5‐methyl‐isocytosine (isoC^Me) and isoguanine (isoG) nucleosides, incorporated in an HNA(h) (hexitol nucleic acid)–DNA(d) mosaic backbone, are described. The required h‐isoG phosphoramidite was prepared by a selective deamination as a key step. As demonstrated by T_m measurements the hexitol sugar showed slightly better mismatch discrimination against dT. The d‐isoG base mispairing follows the order T>G>C while the h‐isoG base mispairing follows the order G>C>T. The h‐ and d‐isoC^Me bases mainly mispair with G. Enzymatic incorporation experiments show that the hexitol backbone has a variable effect on selectivity. In the enzymatic assays, isoG misincorporates mainly with T, and isoC^Me misincorporates mainly with A. Further analysis in vivo confirmed the patterns of base‐pair interpretation for the deoxyribose and hexitol isoC^Me/isoG bases in a cellular context, through incorporation of the bases into plasmidic DNA. Results in vivo demonstrated that mispairing and misincorporation was dependent on the backbone scaffold of the base, which indicates rational advances towards orthogonality.     

Synthesis of MgB4O7 and Li2B4O7 crystals by proteic sol–gel and Pechini methods

Journal of Sol-Gel Science and Technology - Magnesium-tetraborates and lithium-tetraborates are excellent detectors for ionizing radiation. However, manufacturing these crystalline structures is...     

Solid state radiolysis of sulphur-containing amino acids: cysteine,cystine and methionine

The sulphur-containing proteinaceous amino acids l-cysteine, l-cystine and l-methionine were irradiated in the solid state to a dose of 3.2 MGy. This dose corresponds to that delivered by radionuclide decay in a timescale of 1.05 × 10⁹ years to the organic matter buried at a depth >20 m in comets and asteroids. The purity of the sulphur-containing amino acids was studied by differential scanning calorimetry (DSC) before and after the solid state radiolysis and the preservation of the chirality after the radiolysis was studied by chirooptical methods (optical rotatory dispersion, ORD) and by FT-IR spectroscopy. Although the high radiation dose of 3.2 MGy delivered, all the amino acids studied show a high radiation resistance. The best radiation resistance was offered by l-cysteine. The radiolysis of l-cysteine leads to the formation of l-cystine. The radiation resistance of l-methionine is not at the level of l-cysteine but also l-methionine is able to survive the dose of 3.2 MGy. Furthermore in all cases examined the preservation of chirality after radiolysis was clearly observed by the ORD spectroscopy although a certain level of radioracemization was measured in all cases. The radioracemization is minimal in the case of l-cysteine and is more pronounced in the case of l-methionine. In conclusion, the study shows that the sulphur-containing amino acids can survive for 1.05 × 10⁹ years and, after extrapolation of the data, even to the age of the Solar System i.e. to 4.6 × 10⁹ years.     

Thermal characterization of HCN polymers by TG-MS, TG, DTA and DSC methods

This paper presents a thermogravimetry (TG) study of hydrogen cyanide polymers, synthesized from the reaction of equimolar aqueous solutions of sodium cyanide and ammonium chloride. Differential thermal analysis (DTA) and differential scanning calorimetry (DSC) were also used to evaluate the thermal behaviour of these black polymers, which play an important role in prebiotic chemistry. A coupled TG-mass spectrometer (MS) system allowed us to analyze the principal volatile thermal decomposition and fragmentation products of the isolated HCN polymers under dynamic conditions and an inert atmosphere. After dehydration, a multi-step decomposition occurred in this particular polymeric system, due to the release of ammonia, hydrogen cyanide (depolymerization reaction), isocyanic acid (or cyanic acid) and formamide; these two latter species allow us identify bond connectivities. Finally, data collected from TG experiments in an oxidative atmosphere showed significant differences at higher temperatures, above 400 °C. According to these results, the different techniques of thermal analysis here applied have demonstrated to be an adequate methodology for the study and characterization of this complex macromolecular system, whose structure remains controversial even today.     

Assessment and formation mechanism of laser-induced periodic surface structures on polymer spin-coated films in real and reciprocal space

In this work we evaluate the potential of grazing incidence X-ray scattering techniques in the investigation of laser-induced periodic surface structures (LIPSSs) in a series of strongly absorbing model spin-coated polymer films which are amorphous, such as poly(ethylene terephthalate), poly(trimethylene terephthalate), and poly(carbonate bisphenol A), and in a weaker absorbing polymer, such as semicrystalline poly(vinylidene fluoride), over a narrow range of fluences. Irradiation was performed with pulses of 6 ns at 266 nm, and LIPSSs with period lengths similar to the laser wavelength and parallel to the laser polarization direction are formed by devitrification of the film surface at temperatures above the characteristic glass transition temperature of the polymers. No crystallization of the surface is induced by laser irradiation, and crystallinity of the material prevents LIPSS formation. The structural information obtained by both atomic force microscopy and grazing incidence small-angle X-ray scattering (GISAXS) correlates satisfactorily. Comparison of experimental and simulated GISAXS patterns suggests that LIPSSs can be well described considering a quasi-one-dimensional paracrystalline lattice and that irradiation parameters have an influence on the order of such a lattice.