Rule-based procedures in short-term electricity load forecasting

A short-term load-forecasting system has been developed to predictload demand for the Irish Electricity Supply Board from 1 to10 days in advance. Model output is acceptably accurate at mosttimes, but special days such as public holidays and the Easterweekend etc. require individual treatment. The basic model usedin everyday load forecasting is presented first, and specialdays when this model fails in accuracy are then examined andtreated separately using rule-based procedures. These proceduresare based on identified relationships between weather conditionsand prevailing daily load shapes. Comparisons are made betweenthe forecasts for these special days as given by the standardmodel and the ruled-based procedures.     

Kinetics of zinc(II) cloride extraction with tributyl phosphate

The equilibrium and rate of solvent extraction of zinc chloride complexes from HCl solutions into benzene solutions of tributyl phosphate (TBP) have been studied. The extracted species are discussed in the light of the results. The extraction was found to be first order with respect to both Zn(II) and TBP, and zero order for HCl. The rate-controlling steps are discussed and the rate constants for these reactions are calculated.     

Frontiers in 2D NMR of paramagnetic metalloproteins

The possibilities and the limitations of 2D NMR for the structural characterization of paramagnetic metalloproteins are reviewed. We survey the general strategies for 2D¹H NMR investigations of hyperfine shifted signals. Careful adaptation of classical 2D NMR experiments to fast relaxing systems results in the detection of previously not observed scalar and dipolar connectivities, thus leading to the specific assignment of selected resonances. The approach is of general applicability for paramagnetic metalloproteins. We report here on the application of the application of the method to an iron sulfur protein and a heme protein. In both cases specific assignment of several hyperfine shifted signals, corresponding to active site protons, were obtained; this allowed significant insight into the structure-function relationships of these metalloproteins.     

Classical solutions to a quadratically nonlinear gauge theory

We present some classical solutions to a gauge theory based on quadratically nonlinear Lie algebras without a central term. We observe that instanton-like and meron-like solutions force the internal fields to behave like solitons.     

Developing a risk-assesment methodology in the U.K.defence industry

As a leading defence equipment company, the Dynamics Divisionof British Aerospace Defence Company (BAeDef(DD)) has experiencedthe worst effects of post-Coldwar defence cuts, a global recession,and a determination by the U.K. Government to achieve greatervalue for money in defence procurement. The major tenet of thisnew approach to defence prwurement was 'eyes on, hands off',promoting a shift of the management of project risks from theMinistry of Defence (MOD) to industry. Initial industry reactionwas sceptical but bxame increasingly compliant as tenderingrequirements included visibility of contractors' risk assessment.This paper describes the risk-assessment methodology createdby BAeDef(DD) to meet these changed conditions. The human and organizational aspects of these developments onrisk have helped create a pro-active risk-management cultureat BAeDef(DD). Continuous assessment of project risks providesthe impetus for wider thinking beyond risk-taking or risk-aversionpreferences, leading to greater realism in planning. Decisionsto implement risk resolution measures require competence incost-benefit analysis. The conditions to foster this new behaviourare better-informed senior management, with the rejection ofbad news eliminated at all levels, and the laying of a pathto becoming a learning company.     

Some inverse problems of internal-diffusion kinetics of adsorption

Methods are proposed for determining the diffusion coefficients of adsorbed molecules and the adsorption isotherms from given concentrations of the solutes in the external solution. The methods are based on a comparison of experimental data with the numerical results produced by a mathematical model of internal-diffusion kinetics of adsorption from a constant bounded volume.Translated from Vychislitel'naya i Prikladnaya Matematika, No. 66, pp. 41–46, 1988.