On estimating the hidden periodicities in linear time series models

In this paper the tollowing modelX(n)=sum from j=1 to p α_je~(inλj)+ξ_nis considered,where p,λ_1,λ_2,…,λ_p,are constants α=(α_1,α_2,…,α_p) is a random vector and {ξ_n;n=0,±1,±2,…} is a wide-sense stationary sequence with zero means.In [4],theorem about thestrong consistent estimates of λ_1,λ_2.…,λ_p and α are proved under the assumption that α is a constantvector and p and δ are known constants such that0<δ<(?){λ_i-λ_j}.The main purpose of the present paper is to prove theorems on the strong consistent estimates ofparameters p,λ_1,λ_2,…,λ_p and random vector α without knowing p and δ.Numerical examples arealso given to illustrate our method of estimation.     

右删失数据下的时间序列数据分析

当平稳时间序列{Xn}被另外的平稳序列{Yn}删失后,我们研究{Xn}的协方差,相关系数的估计问题．特别当{Xn}是AR(p)序列时,我们研究AR(p)的参数估计和一步预测问题．给出的估计量是强相合的．计算机模拟结果说明所提供的方法是适用的．     

一种估计Clayton模型中关联参数的方法

在右删失情形下,基于二元风险函数的核估计,我们对Clayton模型中的关联参数给出了一种新的估计方法.新的估计量具有相合性和渐近分布,随机模拟也显示这种估计方法是非常有效的.     

Central limit theorem of linear regression model under right censorship

In this paper,the estimation of joint dlstribution F(y,z)of(Y,Z)and the estimation in thelinear regression model Y=b'Z+εfor complete data are extended to that of the right censored data.Theregression parameter estimates of b and the variance of ε are weighted least square estimates with randomweights. The central limit theorems of the estimators are obtained under very weak conditions and the derivedasymptotic variance has a very simple form.     

对左截断数据估计平稳序列

设平稳信号过程$\{X_t\}$被白噪声序列$\{Y_t\}$干扰. 只有$X_t>Y_t$时可以观测到信号过程$X_t$, 否则只能观测到白噪声$Y_t$. 这种数据模型被称为左截断数据模型. 本文在左截断数据模型下估计平稳信号过程的$\{X_t\}$均值, 自协方差函数, 和自相关系数. 证明所给的估计量是强相合估计. 当$X_t$是自回归序列时, 本文给出自回归模型的强相合的参数估计.     

ESTIMATION OF THE MIXED AR AND HIDDEN PERIODIC MODEL

ThisresearchissupportedbytheNationalNaturalScienceFoundationofChina.1.IntroductionGeneralizedhiddenperiodicmodelhasthefollowingformwhereacisthesetofallpositiveintegers,('~{((t);tEac}isastationarysequencewithzeromeanandcontinuousspectraldensity,i=n,qisanonnegativeinteger,'f=0,X=(Al,Az,',A,)isarealvectorwith--T相似文献   

乘积极限估计的重对数律

利用右删失数据估计寿命分布时,常用乘积极限估计.本文给出乘积极限估计是均匀强相合估计的充要条件.证明乘积极限估计的均匀收敛的重对数律.     

平均经验似然方法

经验似然方法自提出以来,得到了广泛的应用.但是,经验似然方法也存在一些问题,特别是在样本量较小时覆盖率较低.针对这个问题,以往文献中有许多讨论.本文用全新的数据处理方法来解决这个问题,这个方法称为平均经验似然方法.它的基本想法就是将原始数据两两平均,然后用新的数据集来构造经验似然比统计量.本文证明新构造的平均经验似然比统计量仍然满足Wilks性质,而且容易推广.随机模拟表明,新方法计算简单快速,与以往方法相比较,新方法所构造的置信区间覆盖率大大提高.     

ESTIMATING A DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION WITH TRUNCATED DATA

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