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41.
A forecasting model is developed for the number of daily applications for loans at a financial services telephone call centre. The purpose of the forecasts and the associated prediction intervals is to provide effective staffing policies within the call centre. The model building process is constrained by the availability of only 2 years and 7 months of data. The distinctive feature of the data is that demand is driven in the main by advertising. The analysis given focuses on applications stimulated by press advertising. Unlike previous analyses of broadly similar data, where ARIMA models were used, a model with a dynamic level, multiplicative calendar effects and a multiplicative advertising response is developed and shown to be effective. 相似文献
42.
Chee Sing Yap 《The Journal of the Operational Research Society》1989,40(7):649-658
This paper describes three case studies which investigated issues relating to the implementation and management of advanced information technology. The benefits derived from information technology were found to vary from one organization to another. These studies provide further evidence to support earlier research findings that senior management has an important role to play in the effective exploitation of information technology, and that the investment approach taken by an organization has a significant effect on the development of computer-based information systems. The effectiveness of a system depends not only on applying the appropriate technology, but also on how successfully technical and behavioural issues are resolved. 相似文献
43.
Second-order random wave solutions for interfacial internal waves in N-layer density-stratified fluid 下载免费PDF全文
This paper studies the random internal wave equations describing the density interface displacements and the velocity potentials of N-layer stratified fluid contained between two rigid walls at the top and bottom. The density interface displacements and the velocity potentials were solved to the second-order by an expansion approach used by Longuet-Higgins (1963) and Dean (1979) in the study of random surface waves and by Song (2004) in the study of second- order random wave solutions for internal waves in a two-layer fluid. The obtained results indicate that the first-order solutions are a linear superposition of many wave components with different amplitudes, wave numbers and frequencies, and that the amplitudes of first-order wave components with the same wave numbers and frequencies between the adjacent density interfaces are modulated by each other. They also show that the second-order solutions consist of two parts: the first one is the first-order solutions, and the second one is the solutions of the second-order asymptotic equations, which describe the second-order nonlinear modification and the second-order wave-wave interactions not only among the wave components on same density interfaces but also among the wave components between the adjacent density interfaces. Both the first-order and second-order solutions depend on the density and depth of each layer. It is also deduced that the results of the present work include those derived by Song (2004) for second-order random wave solutions for internal waves in a two-layer fluid as a particular case. 相似文献
44.
M I Salema A P B Póvoa A Q Novais 《The Journal of the Operational Research Society》2006,57(6):615-629
In this paper, an MILP formulation is proposed for the design of a reverse logistics network based on a warehouse location–allocation model, which optimizes, simultaneously, the forward and reverse networks. A single product model with unlimited capacity is first defined. Subsequently, the model is extended to a multi-product capacitated recovery network model, where capacity limitations and a multi-product system can be considered. The proposed model is compared to published work in the field, where different model assumptions have been proposed. Two cases are described so as to gain a better insight into the model and allow a comparative analysis. 相似文献
45.
Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) offers a piece-wise linear approximation of the production frontier. The approximation tends to be poor if the true frontier is not concave, eg in case of economies of scale or of specialisation. To improve the flexibility of the DEA frontier and to gain in empirical fit, we propose to extend DEA towards a more general piece-wise quadratic approximation, called Quadratic Data Envelopment Analysis (QDEA). We show that QDEA gives statistically consistent estimates for all production frontiers with bounded Hessian eigenvalues. Our Monte-Carlo simulations suggest that QDEA can substantially improve efficiency estimation in finite samples relative to standard DEA models. 相似文献
46.
Zygmunt Bak 《Czechoslovak Journal of Physics》2002,52(1):A25-A28
We consider RKKY interaction in a quasi 2D system with nonparabolic dispersion. In our paper we calculate the RKKY range function assuming the in-layer confinement via effective dimensionality approach. We show, that indirect magnetic exchange in our system can be modelled by the effective spectral dimension which equals one. 相似文献
47.
应用不可约张量理论构造了三角对称晶场中3d2/3d8态离子的45阶可完全对角化的微扰哈密顿矩阵,研究了CsNiCl3晶体的光谱精细结构、晶体结构、零场分裂参量、Jahn-Telller效应以及自旋单重态对Ni2+离子基态能级的影响,理论与实验相符合.在此基础上,进一步研究了以前工作中被忽略的自旋-自旋耦合作用和Trees修正对CsNiCl3晶体的光谱精细结构和零场分裂参量的影响,发现有四种机理会影响零场分裂参量:1)自旋-轨道耦合机理,2)自旋-自旋耦合机理;3)自旋-轨道与自旋-自旋联合耦合机理;4)自旋-轨道与Trees修正联合耦合机理,其中自旋-轨道耦合机理是最主要的,其他三种机理也是不可忽略的.
关键词:
基态能级
精细结构
零场分裂
自旋-自旋耦合 相似文献
48.
为了描述复杂的噪声环境,考虑了一种具有频率结构的噪声——简谐速度噪声,包括它的产生、关联函数、功率谱以及作为热噪声时的频率特性所导致的一些行为.结果表明:在频谱空间中简谐速度噪声是一种带通噪声,存在一个峰值频率,且噪声带宽由参量Γ控制.当简谐势中的一个布朗粒子受热简谐速度噪声驱动时,粒子能量极大值出现在两种频率相等的情况下.这表明噪声和势场的频率之间存在动力学共振,决定着粒子能量的大小.
关键词:
简谐噪声
简谐速度噪声
功率谱
频率共振 相似文献
49.
在弱场图像下,利用Racah不可约张量算符方法得到了三角对称3d4/3d6电子组态的210阶可完全对角化的微扰哈密顿矩阵、最近邻点电荷模型晶体结构常量公式和电子顺磁共振g因子公式.研究了LiCoO2晶体和掺入Ni的LiCoO2:Ni晶体中Co3+的基态能级、晶体结构和电子顺磁共振g因子.考虑了LiCoO2晶体和LiCoO2:Ni晶体中自旋单重态和三重态对Co3+基态能级的影响,讨论了LiCoO2晶体和在LiCoO2晶体中掺杂Ni后Co3+局域结构常量大小的变化是引起Co3+的基态能级变化的主要原因,理论和实验都证实了这一点.还计算了掺杂前后的电子顺磁共振g因子,计算结果与实验值符合得较好. 相似文献
50.