Stock Index Prediction Based on Time Series Decomposition and Hybrid Model

The stock index is an important indicator to measure stock market fluctuation, with a guiding role for investors’ decision-making, thus being the object of much research. However, the stock market is affected by uncertainty and volatility, making accurate prediction a challenging task. We propose a new stock index forecasting model based on time series decomposition and a hybrid model. Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (CEEMDAN) decomposes the stock index into a series of Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs) with different feature scales and trend term. The Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) method judges the stability of each IMFs and trend term. The Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) model is used on stationary time series, and a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model extracts abstract features of unstable time series. The predicted results of each time sequence are reconstructed to obtain the final predicted value. Experiments are conducted on four stock index time series, and the results show that the prediction of the proposed model is closer to the real value than that of seven reference models, and has a good quantitative investment reference value.     

关于合理确定集装箱码头装船顺序的算法

如何在给出箱区图和配载图的情况下,根据不同的装船方式,运用计算机程序确定合理的发箱和装箱顺序?本文主要依据实际数据,针对两种在码头实际装船作业中应用性较强的装船方式进行了研究,分别对其做了建立数学矩阵模型,制定合理算法,编写M ATLAB程序等工作,并论证了它们在实际操作中的可行性.本文的研究结果会在集装箱码头的实际装船作业中具有很强的应用性.     

Metal-free cascade boron-heteroatom addition and alkylation with diazo compounds

Transition metal-catalyzed carbene transfer reaction is one of the most notable advances for C-C bond formation reactionsduring the past decade,which has been widely employed in the preparation of C3-substituted indoles,Here,we described an efficient exa mple of catalyst-and metal-free aminobo ration of alkynes and C—C bond formation with diazo compounds to produce C3-substituted indoles,Diverse alkynyla nilines and diazo compounds ca n be utilized for this tandem transfo rmation under mild reaction conditions,re sulting in broad functional group co mpatibility.Additionally,this metal-free strategy can be extended to construct substituted benzofurans.     

Potential Value of Wood Tar as a Natural Fungicide against Valsa mali

The Valsa canker caused by Valsa mali seriously harmed the production of East Asian apples and caused very significant economic losses. Considering the chemical residues and the improvement of people’s awareness of environmental protection, there is a need for screening new green pesticides for the control of Valsa canker. Therefore, we conducted systematic evaluations on the antifungal activity of wood tar. In this research, the effective concentration (EC₅₀) of six strains of V. mali to wood tar was determined, and the EC₅₀ ranged from 69.54 to 92.81 μg/mL. After treatment with wood tar, the hyphae of V. mali broke, swelled, and deformed; the permeability of the cell membrane increased; and the activity of pectinase reduced. Moreover, the expression levels of five genes related to pectinase also decreased significantly. In addition, the activities of phenylalanine ammonia lyase (PAL) and peroxidase (POD) of apple leaves treated with wood tar also increased. On detached apple branches, wood tar also showed therapeutic and protective activities. In the 2016–2019 field experiments, wood tar also showed good efficacy against Valsa canker and promoted the formation of callus. (In the experiments from 2016 to 2019, it can be seen that the control effect of 50% wood tar and 100% wood tar in the field is above 75% and promoted the formation of callus.) This study is the first to report the bidirectional efficacy of wood tar against Valsa mali and for trunk wound healing. The above results evidenced that wood tar has great potential to be developed as a natural alternative to commercial fungicides for the management of apple Valsa canker.     

D形光纤Bragg光栅弯曲灵敏度的理论和实验研究

用材料力学理论分析了D形光纤Bragg光栅（D-shaped fiber Bragg grating,D-FBG）以及常规光纤Bragg光栅由弯曲引起的轴向应变,得到了光栅Bragg波长漂移的弯曲敏感特性.实验结果和理论计算结果基本相符.与常规FBG相比,该D-FBG的弯曲灵敏度要高近80倍.因此D-FBG可以直接应用于弯曲形变的测量,以及间接应用于压力、加速度等物理量的测量.理论分析和实验结果对采用该类型光纤光栅的器件和传感系统的设计具有参考意义.     

Phase formation and magnetic properties of Nd2Fe14B-type Nd16Co76B8−xCx alloys and their hydrides

An attempt is made to synthesize Nd₂Co₁₄C compound by mechanical alloying Nd₁₆Co₇₆B_8−xC_x (0x8) alloys and subsequent annealing. Phase formation and magnetic properties of Nd₂Fe₁₄B-type Nd₁₆Co₇₆B_8−xC_x alloys and their hydrides are investigated. The Nd₂Co₁₄(B,C) phase with Nd₂Fe₁₄B-type structure is formed for Nd₁₆Co₇₆B_8−xC_x (0x7) alloys, while NdCo₇C_δ phase with TbCu₇-type structure is observed in Nd₁₆Co₇₆C₈ alloy. The lattice parameter c of the Nd₂Co₁₄(B,C) phase decreases with increasing the carbon content. A limit volume of the unit cell to form the Nd₂Fe₁₄B-type structure is estimated to be 0.870 nm³. The spin-reorientation temperature T_SR increases with increasing the carbon content, due to an enhancement of magnetocrystalline anisotropy caused by carbon substitution for boron. After hydrogenation, the lattice expansion is observed for Nd₁₆Co₇₆B_8−xC_x (0x7) alloys. The spin-reorientation temperature of Nd₁₆Co₇₆B_8−xC_xH_y (0x7) is much lower than that of the host alloys. Some structural and magnetic properties of hypothetic Nd₂Co₁₄C and Nd₂Co₁₄CH_y compounds are estimated by extrapolation.     

纳米ZnO的制备及其在不同牺牲试剂下的光催化产氢性能

采用沉淀法与异相共沸蒸馏技术相结合制备了ZnO纳米粉体,并利用X射线粉末衍射、扫描电镜、透射电镜和液氮吸-脱附等技术对制备的样品进行了分析与表征．考察了Pt的负载量、煅烧温度以及牺牲试剂的种类和浓度对制备的纳米ZnO的光催化产氢效率的影响．结果表明：与其他温度下煅烧获得的产物相比,400 oC煅烧产物表现出最佳的光催化产氢效率,且以甲醇为牺牲试剂时纳米ZnO悬浮体系的光催化产氢效率远高于以三乙醇胺为牺牲试剂时的产氢效率．其原因在于光催化过程中甲醇氧化也对体系的产氢有贡献．此外,探讨了基于实验结果对含甲醇的     

La1/3Sr2/3Fe1-xCoxO3体系中的Co替代效应研究

本文通过对La1/3Sr2/3Fe1-xCoxO3系列样品进行X射线衍射(XRD)和变温电阻率(p～T)、比热(C～T)、磁化率(M～T)等测试,研究了Co掺杂对该系列样品的晶体结构和电热磁性质的影响.结果表明,随着Co掺杂量的增加,晶胞体积单调减小;电阻中电荷有序(charge ordering,CO)的特征逐渐消失.Co含量低的样品随着温度降低发生顺磁-反铁磁(PM-AFM)转变和金属-绝缘体(M-I)转变;Co含量高的样品则在磁转变温度以下表现出团簇玻璃型短程铁磁有序行为,并且在整个测量温区内具有金属导电特性.这些证明Co掺杂引起电子的局域化效应是导致体系电磁和输运行为发生变化的主要原因.     

Dynamical properties of a stochastic predator-prey model with functional response

A stochastic prey-predator model with functional response is investigated in this paper. A complete threshold analysis of coexistence and extinction is obtained. Moreover, we point out that the stochastic predator-prey model undergoes a stochastic Hopf bifurcation from the viewpoint of numerical simulations. Some numerical simulations are carried out to support our results.     

An incremental bundle method for portfolio selection problem under second-order stochastic dominance

Numerical Algorithms - We propose a preconditioner to accelerate the convergence of the GMRES iterative method for solving the system of linear equations obtained from discretize-then-optimize...