全文获取类型
收费全文 | 78001篇 |
免费 | 345篇 |
国内免费 | 379篇 |
专业分类
化学 | 24182篇 |
晶体学 | 790篇 |
力学 | 6736篇 |
数学 | 31969篇 |
物理学 | 15048篇 |
出版年
2018年 | 10448篇 |
2017年 | 10276篇 |
2016年 | 6083篇 |
2015年 | 850篇 |
2014年 | 302篇 |
2013年 | 335篇 |
2012年 | 3772篇 |
2011年 | 10488篇 |
2010年 | 5627篇 |
2009年 | 6046篇 |
2008年 | 6593篇 |
2007年 | 8755篇 |
2006年 | 210篇 |
2005年 | 1292篇 |
2004年 | 1523篇 |
2003年 | 1961篇 |
2002年 | 1004篇 |
2001年 | 244篇 |
2000年 | 288篇 |
1999年 | 153篇 |
1998年 | 191篇 |
1997年 | 142篇 |
1996年 | 197篇 |
1995年 | 114篇 |
1994年 | 75篇 |
1993年 | 93篇 |
1992年 | 52篇 |
1991年 | 62篇 |
1990年 | 49篇 |
1989年 | 58篇 |
1988年 | 58篇 |
1987年 | 57篇 |
1986年 | 57篇 |
1985年 | 46篇 |
1984年 | 42篇 |
1983年 | 36篇 |
1982年 | 41篇 |
1981年 | 38篇 |
1980年 | 46篇 |
1979年 | 44篇 |
1978年 | 34篇 |
1973年 | 25篇 |
1914年 | 45篇 |
1913年 | 40篇 |
1912年 | 40篇 |
1910年 | 24篇 |
1909年 | 41篇 |
1908年 | 40篇 |
1907年 | 32篇 |
1904年 | 28篇 |
排序方式: 共有10000条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
51.
Andrew Barton 《The Journal of the Operational Research Society》1987,38(10):965-974
This paper describes some work carried out in the Scientific Research and Development Branch (SRDB) of the Home Office, intended to contribute to an overall aim of building up internal expertise in the field of expert systems. This was done by carrying out a number of pilot and demonstrator projects, two of which are described in some detail. The plan, which proved successful, was to build as far as possible on the relevant skills already possessed by an OR group in the branch. The lessons learned from these are summarized in the hope that they will be of use to other groups who wish to become involved in this important area. 相似文献
52.
Sven Walter 《Acta Analytica》2005,20(3):32-47
Frank Jackson and Philip Pettit have defended a non-reductive account of causal relevance known as the ‘program explanation
account’. Allegedly, irreducible mental properties can be causally relevant in virtue of figuring in non-redundant program explanations which convey information not conveyed by explanations in terms of the physical properties that actually do the ‘causal work’.
I argue that none of the possible ways to spell out the intuitively plausible idea of a program explanation serves its purpose,
viz., defends non-reductive physicalism against Jaegwon Kim’s Causal Exclusion Argument according to which non-reductive physicalism is committed to epiphenomenalism because irreducible mental properties are ‘screened
off’ from causal relevance by their physical realizers. Jackson and Pettit’s most promising explication of a program explanation
appeals to the idea of invariance of effect under variation of realization, but I show that invariance of effect under variation of realization is neither necessary nor sufficient for causal relevance. 相似文献
53.
54.
Omer Ozturk Steven N. MacEachern 《Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics》2004,56(4):701-720
We develop a method of randomizing units to treatments that relies on subjective judgement or on possible coarse modeling
to produce restrictions on the randomization. The procedure thus fits within the general framework of ranked set sampling.
However, instead of selecting a single unit from each set for full measurement, all units within a set are used. The units
within a set are assigned to different treatments. Such an assignment translates the positive dependence among units within
a set into a reduction in variation of contrasting features of the treatments.
A test for treatment versus control comparison, with controlled familywise error rate, is developed along with the associated
confidence intervals. The new procedure is shown to be superior to corresponding procedures based on completely randomized
or ranked set sample designs. The superiority appears both in asymptotic relative efficiency and in power for finite sample
sizes. Importantly, this test does not rely on perfect rankings; rather, the information in the data on the quality of rankings
is exploited to maintain the level of the test when rankings are imperfect. The asymptotic relative efficiency of the test
is not affected by estimation of the quality of rankings, and the finite sample performance is only mildly affected. 相似文献
55.
56.
Chris Hope 《The Journal of the Operational Research Society》2003,54(11):1167-1176
What strategy should a football (soccer, in American parlance) club adopt when deciding whether to sack its manager? This paper introduces a simple model assuming that a club's objective is to maximize the number of league points that it scores per season. The club's strategy consists of three choices: the length of the honeymoon period during which it will not consider sacking a new manager, the level of the performance trapdoor below which the manager get the sack, and the weight that it will give to more recent games compared to earlier ones. Some data from the last six seasons of the English Premiership are used to calibrate the model. At this early stage of the research, the best strategy appears to have only a short honeymoon period of eight games (much less than the actual shortest period of 12 games), to set the trapdoor at 0.74 points per game, and to put 47% of the weight on the last five games. A club adopting this strategy would obtain on average 56.8 points per season, compared to a Premiership average of 51.8 points. 相似文献
57.
58.
Dominique Fourdrinier William E. Strawderman 《Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics》2003,55(4):803-816
We consider estimation of loss for generalized Bayes or pseudo-Bayes estimators of a multivariate normal mean vector, θ. In
3 and higher dimensions, the MLEX is UMVUE and minimax but is inadmissible. It is dominated by the James-Stein estimator and by many others. Johnstone (1988,
On inadmissibility of some unbiased estimates of loss,Statistical Decision Theory and Related Topics, IV (eds. S. S. Gupta and J. O. Berger), Vol. 1, 361–379, Springer, New York) considered the estimation of loss for the usual
estimatorX and the James-Stein estimator. He found improvements over the Stein unbiased estimator of risk. In this paper, for a generalized
Bayes point estimator of θ, we compare generalized Bayes estimators to unbiased estimators of loss. We find, somewhat surprisingly,
that the unbiased estimator often dominates the corresponding generalized Bayes estimator of loss for priors which give minimax
estimators in the original point estimation problem. In particular, we give a class of priors for which the generalized Bayes
estimator of θ is admissible and minimax but for which the unbiased estimator of loss dominates the generalized Bayes estimator
of loss. We also give a general inadmissibility result for a generalized Bayes estimator of loss.
Research supported by NSF Grant DMS-97-04524. 相似文献
59.
On effectiveness of wiretap programs in mapping social networks 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Maksim Tsvetovat Kathleen M. Carley 《Computational & Mathematical Organization Theory》2007,13(1):63-87
Snowball sampling methods are known to be a biased toward highly connected actors and consequently produce core-periphery networks when these may not necessarily be present. This leads to a biased perception of the underlying network which can have negative policy consequences, as in the identification of terrorist networks. When snowball sampling is used, the potential overload of the information collection system is a distinct problem due to the exponential growth of the number of suspects to be monitored. In this paper, we focus on evaluating the effectiveness of a wiretapping program in terms of its ability to map the rapidly evolving networks within a covert organization. By running a series of simulation-based experiments, we are able to evaluate a broad spectrum of information gathering regimes based on a consistent set of criteria. We conclude by proposing a set of information gathering programs that achieve higher effectiveness then snowball sampling, and at a lower cost.
Maksim Tsvetovat is an Assistant Professor at the Center for Social Complexity and department of Public and International Affairs at George Mason University, Fairfax, VA. He received his Ph.D. from the Computation, Organizations and Society program in the School of Computer Science, Carnegie Mellon University. His dissertation was centered on use of artificial intelligence techniques such as planning and semantic reasoning as a means of studying behavior and evolution of complex social networks, such as these of terrorist organizations. He received a Master of Science degree from University of Minnesota with a specialization in Artificial Intelligence and design of Multi-Agent Systems, and has also extensively studied organization theory and social science research methods. His research is centered on building high-fidelity simulations of social and organizational systems using concepts from distributed artificial intelligence and multi-agent systems. Other projects focus on social network analysis for mapping of internal corporate networks or study of covert and terrorist orgnaizations. Maksim’s vita and publications can be found on
Kathleen M. Carley is a professor in the School of Computer Science at Carnegie Mellon University and the director of the center for Compuational Analysis of Social and Organizational Systems (CASOS) which has over 25 members, both students and research staff. Her research combines cognitive science, social networks and computer science to address complex social and organizational problems. Her specific research areas are dynamic network analysis, computational social and organization theory, adaptation and evolution, text mining, and the impact of telecommunication technologies and policy on communication, information diffusion, disease contagion and response within and among groups particularly in disaster or crisis situations. She and her lab have developed infrastructure tools for analyzing large scale dynamic networks and various multi-agent simulation systems. The infrastructure tools include ORA, a statistical toolkit for analyzing and visualizing multi-dimensional networks. ORA results are organized into reports that meet various needs such as the management report, the mental model report, and the intelligence report. Another tool is AutoMap, a text-mining systems for extracting semantic networks from texts and then cross-classifying them using an organizational ontology into the underlying social, knowledge, resource and task networks. Her simulation models meld multi-agent technology with network dynamics and empirical data. Three of the large-scale multi-agent network models she and the CASOS group have developed in the counter-terrorism area are: BioWar a city-scale dynamic-network agent-based model for understanding the spread of disease and illness due to natural epidemics, chemical spills, and weaponized biological attacks; DyNet a model of the change in covert networks, naturally and in response to attacks, under varying levels of information uncertainty; and RTE a model for examining state failure and the escalation of conflict at the city, state, nation, and international as changes occur within and among red, blue, and green forces. She is the founding co-editor with Al. Wallace of the journal Computational Organization Theory and has co-edited several books and written over 100 articles in the computational organizations and dynamic network area. Her publications can be found at: http://www.casos.cs.cmu.edu/bios/carley/publications.php 相似文献
60.
A new stochastic method of reconstructing porous media 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
We present a new stochastic method of reconstructing porous medium from limited morphological information obtained from two-dimensional
micro- images of real porous medium. The method is similar to simulated annealing method in the capability of reconstructing
both isotropic and anisotropic structures of multi-phase but differs from the latter in that voxels for exchange are not selected
completely randomly as their neighborhood will also be checked and this new method is much simpler to implement and program.
We applied it to reconstruct real sandstone utilizing morphological information contained in porosity, two-point probability
function and linear-path function. Good agreement of those references verifies our developed method’s powerful capability.
The existing isolated regions of both pore phase and matrix phase do quite minor harm to their good connectivity. The lattice
Boltzmann method (LBM) is used to compute the permeability of the reconstructed system and the results show its good isotropy
and conductivity. However, due to the disadvantage of this method that the connectivity of the reconstructed system’s pore
space will decrease when porosity becomes small, we suggest the porosity of the system to be reconstructed be no less than
0.2 to ensure its connectivity and conductivity. 相似文献